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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16368852 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #79200 on: June 03, 2014, 11:04:42 AM »



williamhill   may-2014   basketball   NBA - Championship Winner 2014   san antonio spurs   7/2   50
Ladbrokes   may-2014   basketball   NBA Championship NBA Finals MVP tony parker   11/1   10
Ladbrokes   may-2014   basketball   NBA Championship NBA Finals MVP tim duncan   9/1   10
paddypower   may-2014   basketball   NBA Championship NBA Finals MVP Lebron james   21/10   50
paddypower   june-2014   basketball   nba finals mvp   any other listed   60/1   10
sportingbet   jun-2014   basketball   San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat - Series Result Spurs 4-1   7/1   25
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Nico29
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« Reply #79201 on: June 03, 2014, 11:12:03 AM »

I def think Kingston Hill@10-1 should be a £50 ew bet for fred with the lads first 4 offer-b4 12pm.

Beats betfair and we get a great place bet.

There a couple of others which are decent enough, but this is by far the best way to exploit this offer whilst available imo.
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« Reply #79202 on: June 03, 2014, 11:12:13 AM »

Tighty - actually from your selections I think dutching the two straight forecasts on Swiss and French may be the way to go?  I don't fancy Honduras to put a fly in the ointment.
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Mark_Porter
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« Reply #79203 on: June 03, 2014, 11:27:39 AM »

for Mark Porter

Scott Seiver: I Will be Playing in the ONE DROP! http://dlvr.it/5sRVXl

not quoted anywhere http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/all-poker/wsop-the-big-one-for-one-drop/winner

if he is priced up above 56-1 can you let me know please?

Yes, am keeping an eye on the market.

There are 4 or 5 that look to have a decent chance of playing at 60-80/1. Waiting on the next announcement of names before doing anything.

Coral have taken down their market on lambert goals. I didn't need a reason to route for him to do well but I did like that bet.
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« Reply #79204 on: June 03, 2014, 11:53:24 AM »

Ladbrokes paying 4 places on derby on bets placed before 12pm today.

I guess more offers will follow from others.

thank you, i think people like the e/w shape of the race, awaiting offers like these....

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/flat/the-derby/winner

this morning's puff was

"Kingston Hill has been backed into 8/1 from 9/1 with Betfred for the Investec Derby this weekend at Epsom.

The market move oddly coincided with his name appearing in chalk on the famous wishing well at the Amato Inn in Epsom.

Geoffrey Chaucer, on the other hand, is on the slide and has been eased to 8/1 (rom 7/1.

Betfred spokesman Andrew Griffiths said: "Each-way backers have been out in force for Kingston Hill.

"Maybe it's just coincidence, but since his name appeared on the well, he's been the best backed horse in the race."

Kingston Hill has also been cut to 9/2 from 11/2 in Betfred's without Australia market and shares favouritism with Geoffrey Chaucer"

I think if we are going to bet something in the Derby ew using this offer it should be True Story.  What it did in its first run was pretty remarkable and impressive.  On the face of it the form of its run in the Derby was very disappointing but then The Grey Gatsby (which won the race) came out and won the French Derby in pretty impressive fashion making that form look pretty good and it was only its second ever run so it should stlll be improving with a thought that maybe the softer ground at York didn't suit.  At 12/1 I think it is probably the best valuein the race and extra place in a race that doesn't seem that deep would make it a bet for me.
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« Reply #79205 on: June 03, 2014, 11:58:31 AM »

Ladbrokes are taking no chances on these 4 place bets

appear to be on a 10% restriction


e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4


Kingston Hill
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £72.50
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000614

True Story 12/1
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £85.00


we can add to these, or others, when the other offers come out and I can stick our book up on request
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« Reply #79206 on: June 03, 2014, 12:01:18 PM »

Tighty - actually from your selections I think dutching the two straight forecasts on Swiss and French may be the way to go?  I don't fancy Honduras to put a fly in the ointment.

ok, horsey was a bit more positive on ecuador

will get a few more opinions, no rush, on whether to bet/what market is best before stepping in
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horseplayer
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« Reply #79207 on: June 03, 2014, 12:08:01 PM »

Tighty - actually from your selections I think dutching the two straight forecasts on Swiss and French may be the way to go?  I don't fancy Honduras to put a fly in the ointment.

ok, horsey was a bit more positive on ecuador

will get a few more opinions, no rush, on whether to bet/what market is best before stepping in

As will be seen if he players against England without stretching it if Montero plays well on the left wing then they will do better than suggested, if he doesnt they will go out.

Very simplified but he is very up and down even for a winger on his day as he was at times in qualifying he is one of the best around.
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« Reply #79208 on: June 03, 2014, 12:09:30 PM »

Ladbrokes are taking no chances on these 4 place bets

appear to be on a 10% restriction


e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4


Kingston Hill
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £72.50
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000614

True Story 12/1
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £85.00


we can add to these, or others, when the other offers come out and I can stick our book up on request

I can try to get on for you if you want, how much for?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #79209 on: June 03, 2014, 12:14:52 PM »

Ladbrokes are taking no chances on these 4 place bets

appear to be on a 10% restriction


e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4


Kingston Hill
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £72.50
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000614

True Story 12/1
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £85.00


we can add to these, or others, when the other offers come out and I can stick our book up on request

I can try to get on for you if you want, how much for?

another £15 each way each?

that gives us the same size position as Western Hymn
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TightEnd
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« Reply #79210 on: June 03, 2014, 12:20:00 PM »

Tighty - actually from your selections I think dutching the two straight forecasts on Swiss and French may be the way to go?  I don't fancy Honduras to put a fly in the ointment.

ok, horsey was a bit more positive on ecuador

will get a few more opinions, no rush, on whether to bet/what market is best before stepping in

As will be seen if he players against England without stretching it if Montero plays well on the left wing then they will do better than suggested, if he doesnt they will go out.

Very simplified but he is very up and down even for a winger on his day as he was at times in qualifying he is one of the best around.

we'll take a look at them tomorrow night first then

opinions afterwards
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TightEnd
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« Reply #79211 on: June 03, 2014, 12:22:29 PM »

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/article/2/9336158/graham-cunningham-answers-the-big-investec-derby-questions

hopefully this is interesting
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« Reply #79212 on: June 03, 2014, 12:24:33 PM »

Ladbrokes paying 4 places on derby on bets placed before 12pm today.

I guess more offers will follow from others.

thank you, i think people like the e/w shape of the race, awaiting offers like these....

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/flat/the-derby/winner

this morning's puff was

"Kingston Hill has been backed into 8/1 from 9/1 with Betfred for the Investec Derby this weekend at Epsom.

The market move oddly coincided with his name appearing in chalk on the famous wishing well at the Amato Inn in Epsom.

Geoffrey Chaucer, on the other hand, is on the slide and has been eased to 8/1 (rom 7/1.

Betfred spokesman Andrew Griffiths said: "Each-way backers have been out in force for Kingston Hill.

"Maybe it's just coincidence, but since his name appeared on the well, he's been the best backed horse in the race."

Kingston Hill has also been cut to 9/2 from 11/2 in Betfred's without Australia market and shares favouritism with Geoffrey Chaucer"

I think if we are going to bet something in the Derby ew using this offer it should be True Story.  What it did in its first run was pretty remarkable and impressive.  On the face of it the form of its run in the Derby was very disappointing but then The Grey Gatsby (which won the race) came out and won the French Derby in pretty impressive fashion making that form look pretty good and it was only its second ever run so it should stlll be improving with a thought that maybe the softer ground at York didn't suit.  At 12/1 I think it is probably the best valuein the race and extra place in a race that doesn't seem that deep would make it a bet for me.

I am not against True Story, but the Dante was its fourth run.    Despite this you could probably back a few with 4 places and be fine.  A bit late to the party though.  Hopefully someone else will do the offer whilst I am around.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #79213 on: June 03, 2014, 12:31:02 PM »

Ladbrokes are taking no chances on these 4 place bets

appear to be on a 10% restriction


e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4


Kingston Hill
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £72.50
Receipt No: O/142640973/0000614

True Story 12/1
Investec Derby: 4 Places
Singles - Ante Post - Each Way
2 lines @ £5.00 per line
Total Stake £10.00
Potential Return £85.00


we can add to these, or others, when the other offers come out and I can stick our book up on request

I can try to get on for you if you want, how much for?

another £15 each way each?

that gives us the same size position as Western Hymn

Sorry Rich, was on the phone with one of the old man's clients and didn't realise it was so close to 12 Sad
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« Reply #79214 on: June 03, 2014, 12:44:00 PM »

Ladbrokes paying 4 places on derby on bets placed before 12pm today.

I guess more offers will follow from others.

thank you, i think people like the e/w shape of the race, awaiting offers like these....

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/flat/the-derby/winner

this morning's puff was

"Kingston Hill has been backed into 8/1 from 9/1 with Betfred for the Investec Derby this weekend at Epsom.

The market move oddly coincided with his name appearing in chalk on the famous wishing well at the Amato Inn in Epsom.

Geoffrey Chaucer, on the other hand, is on the slide and has been eased to 8/1 (rom 7/1.

Betfred spokesman Andrew Griffiths said: "Each-way backers have been out in force for Kingston Hill.

"Maybe it's just coincidence, but since his name appeared on the well, he's been the best backed horse in the race."

Kingston Hill has also been cut to 9/2 from 11/2 in Betfred's without Australia market and shares favouritism with Geoffrey Chaucer"

I think if we are going to bet something in the Derby ew using this offer it should be True Story.  What it did in its first run was pretty remarkable and impressive.  On the face of it the form of its run in the Derby was very disappointing but then The Grey Gatsby (which won the race) came out and won the French Derby in pretty impressive fashion making that form look pretty good and it was only its second ever run so it should stlll be improving with a thought that maybe the softer ground at York didn't suit.  At 12/1 I think it is probably the best valuein the race and extra place in a race that doesn't seem that deep would make it a bet for me.

I am not against True Story, but the Dante was its fourth run.    Despite this you could probably back a few with 4 places and be fine.  A bit late to the party though.  Hopefully someone else will do the offer whilst I am around.

I have no idea why I thought its seasonal debut this year was its debut.  Clearly a ridiculous oversight.  Apologies everyone although still think it is a fair price.
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