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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16541264 times)
tikay
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« Reply #88065 on: October 02, 2014, 04:31:22 PM »


Big rumour of twins today does that make any difference before i steam in?  Not having any kids i am not a specialist in this area!

Yes, big difference. Toss of a coin if it's twins. Didn't see those rumours before - supposedly Will Hill took 200 bets on twins before removing the market...

Real odds of twins is one birth in 70 and identical twins is 1 in 1000. Insurance companies generally offer 'twin insurance' and pay about 30/1 to your premium.

Much more likely to have a caesarean if it is twins. Paddy still offer 2/1. Not rushing to take that. Hoping that twins is a bit like a rush on a new manager market, mostly speculation and no substance.

Interested to hear if Dubai, or anyone, likes a Monday birth (11/2 general) whether twins or otherwise.

And what exactly would YOU know about Twins, Joe?

There are two reasons why there could be money for twins. One is a leak from the scanner at the hospital and the second is an (over) reaction to Kate's terrible morning sickness. Morning sickness with twins is far more acute than with one baby and at the first sign of an expectant mother reaching for the sick bag the question is asked by observers. It's far more likely that the rumour starts here rather than at the hospital. Morning sickness is not new to Kate, she suffered badly last time too:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2270378/Severe-morning-sickness-early-pregnancy-puts-Kate-Middleton-expectant-mothers-risk-pre-eclampsia.html

2/1 twins at this point is redic, at least Dick Turpin wore a mask.

I tried to work out the likely due date and got a bit of a headache. April is currently 4/6 favourite. One thing to watch for though is that IF twins are confirmed then March at 9/4 would be wrong (and a decent bet) as it would likely be an earlier birth and depending on what the 'real' due date was Feb at 12/1 may be tempting too.

I do apologise Joe, it was not a serious question, I'm not really turned on by "personality" Betting & all this sort of Chompy-esque stuff. I'm stuck in the days of old-fashioned stuff, the 3.30 Novice Chase @ Sedgefield, or whatever.

It was really a failed comedic reference to your own situation, you know, Millie & Lola. They must be 2 or 3 now, & will soon be potty-trained, I'm guessing?

For those who were not aware, Joe ought to be our "Twin Corry", as he has persdonal experience of, you know, how it all works.
« Last Edit: October 02, 2014, 04:34:04 PM by tikay » Logged

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JoeBeevers
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« Reply #88066 on: October 02, 2014, 05:10:20 PM »


Big rumour of twins today does that make any difference before i steam in?  Not having any kids i am not a specialist in this area!

Yes, big difference. Toss of a coin if it's twins. Didn't see those rumours before - supposedly Will Hill took 200 bets on twins before removing the market...

Real odds of twins is one birth in 70 and identical twins is 1 in 1000. Insurance companies generally offer 'twin insurance' and pay about 30/1 to your premium.

Much more likely to have a caesarean if it is twins. Paddy still offer 2/1. Not rushing to take that. Hoping that twins is a bit like a rush on a new manager market, mostly speculation and no substance.

Interested to hear if Dubai, or anyone, likes a Monday birth (11/2 general) whether twins or otherwise.

And what exactly would YOU know about Twins, Joe?

There are two reasons why there could be money for twins. One is a leak from the scanner at the hospital and the second is an (over) reaction to Kate's terrible morning sickness. Morning sickness with twins is far more acute than with one baby and at the first sign of an expectant mother reaching for the sick bag the question is asked by observers. It's far more likely that the rumour starts here rather than at the hospital. Morning sickness is not new to Kate, she suffered badly last time too:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2270378/Severe-morning-sickness-early-pregnancy-puts-Kate-Middleton-expectant-mothers-risk-pre-eclampsia.html

2/1 twins at this point is redic, at least Dick Turpin wore a mask.

I tried to work out the likely due date and got a bit of a headache. April is currently 4/6 favourite. One thing to watch for though is that IF twins are confirmed then March at 9/4 would be wrong (and a decent bet) as it would likely be an earlier birth and depending on what the 'real' due date was Feb at 12/1 may be tempting too.

I do apologise Joe, it was not a serious question, I'm not really turned on by "personality" Betting & all this sort of Chompy-esque stuff. I'm stuck in the days of old-fashioned stuff, the 3.30 Novice Chase @ Sedgefield, or whatever.

It was really a failed comedic reference to your own situation, you know, Millie & Lola. They must be 2 or 3 now, & will soon be potty-trained, I'm guessing?

For those who were not aware, Joe ought to be our "Twin Corry", as he has persdonal experience of, you know, how it all works.

Obv not a serious question Tony, we knew that ;-)

8 and a 1/2 actually - yes I know!
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« Reply #88067 on: October 02, 2014, 07:51:53 PM »

Evening Mr T.

Andy Murray hasn't beaten a top 10 player for over a year. He plays Marin Cilic in the middle of the night and is priced up as favourite. It really should be the other way round. Cilic is rested, and Murray had a long week last week when he won the tournament. He didn't play anyone near the level of Cilic last week and it is time to go against Murray.

Suggest £20 Cilic @ 23/20 with Betvictor.
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« Reply #88068 on: October 02, 2014, 08:00:24 PM »

Evening Mr T.

Andy Murray hasn't beaten a top 10 player for over a year. He plays Marin Cilic in the middle of the night and is priced up as favourite. It really should be the other way round. Cilic is rested, and Murray had a long week last week when he won the tournament. He didn't play anyone near the level of Cilic last week and it is time to go against Murray.

Suggest £20 Cilic @ 23/20 with Betvictor.

Would have to agree with this.  Murray looked awful against the polish guy earlier in the week and only got through because of a huge amount of unforced errors from the Pole.
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« Reply #88069 on: October 02, 2014, 08:22:00 PM »

This is on, 2.15 betfair as Vic had cut
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« Reply #88070 on: October 02, 2014, 08:23:18 PM »

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« Reply #88071 on: October 02, 2014, 08:24:36 PM »

Force of habit now, but I was looking for Steve Bruce when you posted that...
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« Reply #88072 on: October 02, 2014, 08:28:43 PM »

The old Bielsa bluff
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« Reply #88073 on: October 02, 2014, 09:06:05 PM »

Serious question for Tal: Would you swop Hugo Lloris for Wojek Szcz?

I think they're two of the premier league's best fwiw.
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« Reply #88074 on: October 02, 2014, 09:33:58 PM »

Serious question for Tal: Would you swop Hugo Lloris for Wojek Szcz?

I think they're two of the premier league's best fwiw.

No way I'd swap. Really put Hugo in the top few in the world. Szcz is good but Hugo is so good as a shot stopper and somehow manages to cover for our defensive folly.
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« Reply #88075 on: October 02, 2014, 10:05:41 PM »

This is ridiculous. How are we still winning? Lloris has made three absolute worldies.
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« Reply #88076 on: October 02, 2014, 10:20:27 PM »

Serious question for Tal: Would you swop Hugo Lloris for Wojek Szcz?

I think they're two of the premier league's best fwiw.

Do you want Chiriches? Sends to have modelled his game on David Luiz.
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« Reply #88077 on: October 02, 2014, 10:34:19 PM »

Wouldn't put anyone off backing Hamilton to get something against Celtic on Sunday.  Pretty hard game tonight Celtic were ran ragged for large parts and Hamilton definitely a form team in the league.  the 13/1 on Betfair seems way out of line.   The best way to go might be laying Celtic and that gives us cover on the draw and if Celtic do score first  thencan always back it back for not a huge loss.

Quite possibly one of the worse Celtic teams I have seen.  The new manager doesn't seem to have a clueand the players look to be regressing.
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« Reply #88078 on: October 02, 2014, 11:02:08 PM »

West Ham v QPR this Sunday.

Rejuvenated West Ham side that are playing well and look capable of scoring goals. A poor QPR side, surprising frail defensively, that were flattered losing 2-1 to Saints last weekend.

I like James Tomkins first goal scorer 33/1 with Paddy. Can bet each way for 5 goals. Tomkins set up the goal for Winston Reid against Liverpool when he got up well at the back post. He has had 18 touches in the opposition penalty area so far this season - third best for defenders in the league. He has had 6 headed efforts on goal - only second in the league behind Stephen Caulker.

His goal scoring record doesn't read well but he has looked a danger so far this season. Fancy him to bullet one on Sunday. I have had a little interest each way.
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« Reply #88079 on: October 02, 2014, 11:43:57 PM »

Hes 12s anytime with pp. Better than the 11s ud get for first 5 on place part.
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