Tips for Tikay

[exstream]

fed an even bigger price now

[TightEnd]

King 125/1 at bwin for world darts. Have the max they will allow you on.  If anyone can get me on pm me.

I wasn't on late last night so missed this i am afraid. they are still a bit out of line at 75-1 but not too far

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/winner

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/grand-slam-of-darts/dave-chisnall-v-kim-huybrechts/most-180s

Huybrechts most 180s out of line with betfair sportsbook, 19/10.

His line is set at 7.5 180s whereas Chisnalls is 8.5 but the way Huybrechts is playing right now, it may have been a decent bet at the common 6/5, 19/10 makes it a must bet.

£50?

again, didn't see this in time, sorry

[TightEnd]

Two bets I like tomorrow. 

Firstly Australia playing South Africa in the 2nd ODI tomorrow. I really liked a bet for top series batsman before the first ODI but I was waiting for team news. Steve Smith has been in brilliant form but Shane Watson's return from injury gives him an instant spot in the starting 11. Anyway the bet for the early hours I really like is Smith top batsman @ 6's he will replace the skipper Clarke who's injured (again).

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/australia-v-south-africa/2nd-odi/top-australia-batsman

£20 with veeeeceeeee.

Second bet never thought I'd put this up - Croatia to beat Italy tomorrow evening in Milan. Outside chance it gets called of cos of flash floods in Milan.

Italy have a lot of inuries atm and Conte is still trying to get his ideas across. Pirlo is out/Balotelli's gone back to Liverpool with an inury/Montolivo is still out/Verrati's out.

De Rossi (100th cap tomorrow) and Marchisio will be starters but rumours are De Rossi could play at the back as part of a 3 in Conte's preferred 352 formation.

I feel the teams quiet unbalanced atm and not a particularly suited to 352 - well not right now anyway.

This is going to be Conte's toughest match in charge so far and a lot of the newer inexperienced players may well struggle.

Croatia have a full bag to choose from.

You could lay Italy but Croatia have enough quality and firepower to win the game.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/italy-v-croatia/winner

£20 with Billy @ 11/4

Fwiw I really like Croatia for the euros @ current price of 40's. There's no outstanding country atm imo

the cricket is underway Mitchell Marsh top scored for Australia, who are about to lose badly.



Croatia is tonight

16 Nov 2014 - Italy v Croatia - Match Betting
Tip It

Croatia @ 11/4

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
75.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001132/F

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £481.79

Outstanding Bets £4128.76

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

A profit of £25 yesterday

Judy Murray 24 points for her Viennese Waltz on SCD, over 19.5 points for a profit of £40

"If they can put a spaceship on a comet , Anton can teach Judy Murray to dance"

Click to see full-size image.

Oscar Whisky 4th, for an each way profit of £15, in the PP Gold Cup at Cheltenham. Came from way back, just about in the shot here going over the last behind winner Caid du Berlias in blue and yellow

Click to see full-size image.

loser

Walsall H-T/F-T for £30

ongoing positions


Tennis

Federer beat Wawrinka in three hard fought sets to reach the ATP final today at O2 where he will be underdog to Djokovic

Click to see full-size image.

Chess

In a game where Anand missed a chance to win after a Carlsen blunder, where even i saw the move to make for black, Carlsen won to go 3.5-2.5 up after 6 games. He has white next match too

Click to see full-size image.

Strictly

Murray's 24 points was 6 points behind the rest of the field at Blackpool. The moment she hits the bottom two she's gone so the question is once again is whether, and why, the public are voting for her to stay in and if they will do so again

Click to see full-size image.

Football

League One

Peterborough drew 0-0 at Walsall. They are 7th

Doncaster lost at home to Sheffield United. A relegation bet they are 17th, two points above the relegation positions

In the big Peterborough/Dncaster match bet, Peterborough are 9 points ahead

Michael Smith scored again for Swindon, the winner against leaders Bristol City, and he has 9 for the season now in the league, equal 4th behind Eoin Doyle with 14

Click to see full-size image.

League Two

Top scorer bet Ricky Miller scored the winner for Luton against Tranmere

Click to see full-size image.

Conference

Dover won away at Alfreton 3-2 to climb to 17th, 5 points off the relegation position we are looking for

Scottish Championship

Hearts won at Falkirk 2-1 and Rangers were held 1-1 by Alloa

Hearts are six points clear at the top of the table

Click to see full-size image.

X Factor

I didn't see it, so purely going from social media observations Only the young struggled and fleur was impressive again? I see she is now into 3/1 to win

Click to see full-size image.

Basketball

Cleveland Cavs 127-Atlanta 94

The Cavs are coming into some form

Toronto Raptors 111 Utah Jazz 93

Continuing their lead in their division

Indiana Pacers 99 Chicago Bulls 90

Dallas Mavs 131 Minnesota Timberwolves 117

Sacramento 94 San Antonio Spurs 91


Also yesterday

this was recorded

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5 losses in a row for England

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Scotland come close to beating the All Blacks in a fine Murrayfield game

Click to see full-size image.

some footballers spoilt the Wembley pitch for next year's NFL International series

[Waz1892]

That last comment made me smile.

[simonnatur]

2.40 Cheltenham Dodging Bullets 9/4 William Hill Mobile offer recommend £25 win.
Nicholls' horses going well, C&D winner who has gone well fresh in past, Trip and ground fine. 6 runners, Betfair place market has him slight odds on to make the frame in this - making it a compelling bet imo with the benefit of the offer.
Some doubt as to whether Uxizandre will be at his best over this shorter trip.
(personally I will be betting to save a little more than my stake on Module at 15/2 with Stan James) 

[icles test]

2.40 Cheltenham Dodging Bullets 9/4 William Hill Mobile offer recommend £25 win.
Nicholls' horses going well, C&D winner who has gone well fresh in past, Trip and ground fine. 6 runners, Betfair place market has him slight odds on to make the frame in this - making it a compelling bet imo with the benefit of the offer.
Some doubt as to whether Uxizandre will be at his best over this shorter trip.
(personally I will be betting to save a little more than my stake on Module at 15/2 with Stan James)  

Was concerned it hadnt had a race this season but has a great record fresh.

365 and sky are 5 places in the 1.00, race also has moneyback if fav wins on sky. Skybet are also 4 places on the 3.15 (15 runners; condition of 14 runners minimum). Like katgary whos form last season would be more then enough to take this and think it just needed its first run and blue heron who beat parlour games, who won the grade 2 on friday both trading around 16/1.

[simonnatur]

2.10 Chelt Court Minstrel 4/1 again with WH Mobile offer recommend £25 win.   Looking at his sole run on heavy - it seemed to me that he went well enough on it (other opinions welcomed - race was 5/1/13 Sandown)  Think he may well have that bit of pace to win this.
Seems a must bet on maths terms alone to bet anything you remotely fancy in this race with the offer. Given you need 5 to run for the offer , you might like to wait till closer the off on the off chance of a NR.

[Tal]

Probably too good not to share from the Chess Thread...

Most chess players at the top aren't known for giving much away at the board, at least while the result is in the balance. There are exceptions (Nakamura hides his opinion of his position about as well as Teddy KGB), but don't give away the strength of your hand until your opponent realises it. Bobby Fischer famously said he enjoyed watching the moment he saw a man's ego break.

Carlsen hid the fact he had blundered with his twentyfifth move by maintaining his body language and acting like nothing other than the optimal move in that position had been played.

Anand had his next move ready, not expecting anything particularly shocking from his opponent. He did a quick check to make sure this different move wasn't threatening anything his intended move wouldn't stop and, having satisfied himself he had the green light, he played the move he had always meant to play, after just a minute's thought.

Then, perhaps because Carlsen breathed a sigh of relief, Anand realised what he'd missed. The cameras caught that moment; that rare display of emotion which could prove to be the iconic picture of this match:

[TightEnd]

the two WH Mobile offer bets places

£25 each

2.10 Court Minstrel 4/1

2.40 Dodging Bullets 9/4

money back as free bet if 2nd

[T_Mar]

1.00 Chelts looks great for EW bet, 5 places with 365, sky or PP ...Not sure if you can get on with those or not

Be Bob Boru was progreesive last year, and form of 2nd at Chelts last time is stong.... looks solid EW @ 10/1 ish

[Doobs]

1.00 Chelts looks great for EW bet, 5 places with 365, sky or PP ...Not sure if you can get on with those or not

Be Bob Boru was progreesive last year, and form of 2nd at Chelts last time is stong.... looks solid EW @ 10/1 ish

Can do a tenner each way 5 places at 11/1 if thread wants it.

[TightEnd]

1.00 Chelts looks great for EW bet, 5 places with 365, sky or PP ...Not sure if you can get on with those or not

Be Bob Boru was progreesive last year, and form of 2nd at Chelts last time is stong.... looks solid EW @ 10/1 ish

thank you

(by the way there is a list on the opening post of the thread, where we can get on with, where we can't, where we don't have accounts)

Bet365 £2.73 e/w sir? that's the restriction for this one. it is THE account we miss the most and if tikay knew then (when tft started) what he knows now i am sure attempts would have been made to preserve it better

Sky no go because of tikay's affiliation, so we avoid betting there

PP don't even make markets these days to 90%+ of people, as far as i can tell. Just a marketing organisation/non bookmaker

everywhere else is 4 places



keep the ideas coming though, soon one will fit with what we can dol

[TightEnd]

1.00 Chelts looks great for EW bet, 5 places with 365, sky or PP ...Not sure if you can get on with those or not

Be Bob Boru was progreesive last year, and form of 2nd at Chelts last time is stong.... looks solid EW @ 10/1 ish

Can do a tenner each way 5 places at 11/1 if thread wants it.

oh, thanks

go on then.

booked.