Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £201.16

Outstanding Bets £3562.13

Free bets to use: One William Hill by 24th

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=34

No bets completed yesterday

As we heard above Sharapova survived a major scare in Melbourne, coming back from two breaks down and two match points against in the final set to win her second round match 6-1, 4-6, 7-5

Click to see full-size image.

in football our relegation and peterborough match bet Doncaster drew 0-0 at home to Notts County in amatch notable for a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted

Doncaster are now 4 points above Peterborough, who last won a match in 2012

Click to see full-size image.

in the conference Dover, another relegation bet, beat Wrexham to go 8th and have hardly stopped winning since October

in the Tour Down Uder Tom Dmoulin was 4th in stage 2 of 6. Overall he is 15th, 13 seconds off the lead

Click to see full-size image.

in the NBA only one of our teams was in action last night, the San Antonio Spurs beat the Denver Nuggests 109-99. Kawhi Leonard was the star performer

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

[TightEnd]

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

yes

this was in the process of walking off

the substitute laughed, turned round and put his tracksuit top back on

the manager showed less sang froid, and got into it with the officials, and was himself sent off

[tikay]

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

yes

this was in the process of walking off

the substitute laughed, turned round and put his tracksuit top back on

the manager showed less sang froid, and got into it with the officials, and was himself sent off

If he had already been subbed, it does not seem right that he can be sent off.

[scotty2hatty]

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

yes

this was in the process of walking off

the substitute laughed, turned round and put his tracksuit top back on

the manager showed less sang froid, and got into it with the officials, and was himself sent off

If he had already been subbed, it does not seem right that he can be sent off.

I guess the debate would be whether he should be sent off and thus his replacement cannot enter the game or whether he should just receive the red card just as any non-playing player can.

I'd imagine it's the former since they probably deem the substitution to not be completed til he leaves the field.

[tikay]

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

a player being sent off for walking off the pitch too slowly when substituted


Can you be sent off AFTER being substituted?

yes

this was in the process of walking off

the substitute laughed, turned round and put his tracksuit top back on

the manager showed less sang froid, and got into it with the officials, and was himself sent off

If he had already been subbed, it does not seem right that he can be sent off.

I guess the debate would be whether he should be sent off and thus his replacement cannot enter the game or whether he should just receive the red card just as any non-playing player can.

I'd imagine it's the former since they probably deem the substitution to not be completed til he leaves the field.

Probably, I'm just a little unclear as to the EXACT point at which he is deemed to be subbed.

Is it at this point?

[TightEnd]

basketball ante-post round up

Book size: £955

Teams
      
basketball   nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50            
basketball   NBA Championship   Cavaliers   7/2   100            £50 e/w 1/2 1,2

Currently the 5th seed in the Eastern conference, 4.5 games behind chicago in their division

After a poor run, now Lebron is back they have won their last three games

 

basketball    NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15    Toronto Raptors   5/6   100   
basketball   NBA Championship   Toronto Raptors   66/1   20            £10 e/w 1/2 1,2

Toronto are top of the Eastern-Atlantic with a 27-14 record, but have only won three of their last ten games

10 games clear in their Division, 3rd seed in the conference
   
basketball    NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    Dallas Mavericks   10/1   10   

The Western-South west division. the Mavs are only half a game behind the division lead, number five seeds in the conference
         
basketball    NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    San Antonio Spurs   1.83   60   


in the same division the Spurs are 4th with a 27-16 record and currently 7th play-off seeds in the conference, 3.5 games off the division lead. Have won 8 of their last 10

basketball   NBA Championship   Chicago Bulls   8/1   40            £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Bulls lead in Cleveland's division, 4.5 games clear and currently 4th seeds in their conference

basketball   NBA Championship   LA Clippers   12/1   40            £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Clippers (28-14) are second in the Western-Pacific behind the team with the best record in the NBA currently, the Golden State Warriors (24-5). The Clippers are currently the 6th seed in the conference

basketball   NBA Northwestern division   Portland Trailblazers   10/11   55

Portland are 9.5 games clear games clear in the Western-Northwest with a 31-11 record

basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5            
basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10   10      

Duke are currently nationally ranked 4, with a 16-2 record. They go for their coach's 1000th win against St Johns in Madison Square garden this weekend http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/schedule/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils


players
         
basketball   nba season most assists    Rajan Rondo   5/2   200            £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)

Rondo's stats have fallen dramatically since his trade to the mavericks, now fourth in the assist averages and fourth in total assists over 60 behind 3rd

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2015/seasontype/2
            
basketball   NBA MVP   A Davies   6/1   30

currently 3rd in scoring average and second in MVP voting in the NBA

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/scoring-per-game
   
basketball   NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40            
basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   20   
basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80
      

Wiggins remains a short odds-on favourite for this title. He leads all rookies in scoring

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/scoring-per-game/sort/avgPoints/position/rookies


82 games in the regular season so we are over half way

Current number one seeds in each conference are the Atlanta Hawks who have won 13 ina  row and 26 out of 28, and in the other conference the Golden State Warriors

Our main concern is Rondo, as a number of the team bets look well placed

[TightEnd]

John Carver is the new favourite for the Newcastle manager's job following a gamble

"There's been a significant move in the next Newcastle manager market this morning with John Carver replacing Reme Garde as the favourite.

Carver may not have managed a win during his four-game spell in caretaker charge yet but that hasn't put punters off backing him as short as evens which is the price Sky Bet and BetVictor are now at.

Sky Bet report some "chunky bets for the North East" with the money having begun to come late last night.

The firm's rules mean they will pay out if he manages the side for 10 competitive games which may explain why they are keen to keep him onside.

Carver is 5/2 at Unibet and 888sport.

Former Lyon boss Garde is out to 3/1 with bet365, Ladbrokes and bwin.

Derby manager Steve McClaren (4/1) and Michael Laudrup (6/1) are also at single-figure prices but ex-Spurs chief Tim Sherwood, who was among the early frontrunners, is out to a best price of 18/1."

[Marky147]

Drag it out another week, and then say JC has it until the summer.

[TightEnd]

our 16-1 aussie open 3rd quarter bet is through to round 3

Tomic beat 22nd seed    P Kohlschreiber in 4 sets, having lost the first


bit of a shame Nadal scraped through, the 3rd quarter now looks as follows

berdych v troicki
tomic v groth
anderson v gasquet
sela v nadal

[TightEnd]

there was another 1.03-1.04 gubbing this morning

Perth scorchers were that short in the big bash league when they reduced melboure to 113 for 5 off 15 chasing 180

Handscomb then smashed a hundred off 64 balls to take melbourne home

over £3.5m was traded at less than 1.05 Perth

[TightEnd]

William Hill shares slump on 7pc profit fall from leaked results

 http://bit.ly/1yEj9bE

William Hill’s trading update revealed that the bookmaker has endured a “difficult start to the new year” due to “unfavourable football results”.

[Graham C]

Couple of the bookies that have been on Talksport in the mornings have mentioned that they're having a hard time at the moment.  Accas are doing quite well it seems.

[arbboy]

Couple of the bookies that have been on Talksport in the mornings have mentioned that they're having a hard time at the moment.  Accas are doing quite well it seems.

I was talking to someone about this at the weekend and i can't remember in my 14 years in the game where they have had 6 or 7 really bad football weekends in an 18 months period like they have recently where literally every big fav has gagged up on the same weekend so many times.  Pretty sure it's not PR hype this time when they are moaning.  The other thing that is hurting them margin wise is they are all trying to out do each other being top price every fav (ie virtually always laying the 'right' price compared to bf so they are really squeezing their acca margins).  for example if you keep going 1/3 the big 10 jollies each week and they are tight 1.32/1.33 on bf even laying accas there is no long term margin in the bets even laying 10 team accas.

[tikay]

Couple of the bookies that have been on Talksport in the mornings have mentioned that they're having a hard time at the moment.  Accas are doing quite well it seems.

I was talking to someone about this at the weekend and i can't remember in my 14 years in the game where they have had 6 or 7 really bad football weekends in an 18 months period like they have recently where literally every big fav has gagged up on the same weekend so many times.  Pretty sure it's not PR hype this time when they are moaning.

It's just a fact really, not "moaning".

Boxing Day broke records for most Firms as the biggest losing day on Football ever.

Last Saturday eclipsed even that, & by some way.

But it all comes back eventually, or most of it does, or re-circulates in other Gaming areas.

The Arsenal result on Sunday saved them a bit, too, as lots of accas were running on to that.

Monday Night Footrball bet volumes are the biggest of any single match as a rule, & on Monday it was 0-0, thanks to that daft penalty affair, so that was a great result for the Firms.

Last night, same thing, Liverpool & Chelsea drawing, & most of the other fancied teams failing to win, was a great night for trhe Firms.

It comes, it goes, it ebbs, it flows, but eventually it sticks to the satchels. The maths say it must.