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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16556883 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #97605 on: March 23, 2015, 11:03:24 PM »

Cant Find the Kane bet on the betty sportsbook. Anyone got a UrL?

Football/Specials
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« Reply #97606 on: March 23, 2015, 11:05:39 PM »

Gone now I think
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Junior Senior
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« Reply #97607 on: March 23, 2015, 11:12:09 PM »

Think its gone. Taken down all scorer markets. Must have got filled in by Fred watchers.
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The Camel
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« Reply #97608 on: March 23, 2015, 11:29:42 PM »

Think its gone. Taken down all scorer markets. Must have got filled in by Fred watchers.

Yeah taken down.

Sturridge withdrawn from squad.

Kane must be 1/10 to start now.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #97609 on: March 23, 2015, 11:53:53 PM »

Nice, gl all who got on.
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Tal
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« Reply #97610 on: March 23, 2015, 11:59:18 PM »

Tighty and other baseball folk...

As much as I'd like the Yankees to be crushing again (I know this is not how you endear yourself to baseball fans, but hear me out) and as much as I think the line of 81 wins is low, provided the injury count isn't as utterly hideous as it was last season, I'm figuring value is not in backing the pinstripe team from the Bronx.

Two teams in divisions with big odds on jollies seem interesting to me from what I've read and I wonder if there are any views.

The Miami Marlins have three young prospects in the backfield who put up impressive numbers last season:

Stanton: .288 BA, .950 OPS, 37 HR, 105 RBI, 89 R, 6.5 WAR
Ozuna: .269 BA, .772 OPS, 23 HR, 85 RBI, 72 R, 4.4 WAR
Yelich: .284 BA, .764 OPS, 9 HR, 54 RBI, 94 R, 3.6 WAR

(I only know what most of those mean but I'm sure someone will explain if needs be)

They also have a strong pitching unit, which will be strengthened when the star pitcher returns in the summer from something called Tommy John surgery.

8/1 second favourite, behind the massive Washington Nationals. Is there any scope here? Nationals have the best pitching rotation in baseball, but that's surely reflected in the price?

The second is a team that had a good pitching rotation (4th overall) but an awful offense (as in worst in the whole league). They've managed to get some batters in without compromising on the mound-dwellers. A new GM and only a 77-85 season to overturn suggests there's hope, if the team can gel quickly. San Diego Padres anyone? 11/2 with BMU for their division.

I don't follow baseball so much these days, keeping only a passing interest and watching a few games in sportsbooks when in Vegas. Am more than happy for people to explain why this fag packet analysis isn't good enough.

Baseball sweats ftw.
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« Reply #97611 on: March 24, 2015, 12:10:43 AM »

^ Baseball sweats,spoken like a true gambling addict.  Does the thread have a few baseball nuts?
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« Reply #97612 on: March 24, 2015, 12:15:01 AM »

^ Baseball sweats,spoken like a true gambling addict.  Does the thread have a few baseball nuts?


Three pages ago, tikay posted the baseball bet stats to-date:

Bets placed = 42

Amount staked = £1,823

Amount won = £1,037

ROI = 56.9%
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« Reply #97613 on: March 24, 2015, 12:26:48 AM »

Does this place become a little dormant during the world series of poker?
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« Reply #97614 on: March 24, 2015, 01:45:48 AM »

Does this place become a little dormant during the world series of poker?

You're allowed to use phones at the table nowadays!
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tikay
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« Reply #97615 on: March 24, 2015, 07:01:18 AM »

Does this place become a little dormant during the world series of poker?

Not in previous years, no.

The WSOP runs parallel to Wimbledon Tennis, Royal Ascot, & US Open Golf. For those that go to Vegas, it's business as usual, though over there, they are 8 hours behind, so they get to watch Royal Acot, for example, early in the morning.

I would doubt that more than 2 or 3 of the Fred regulars will attend the WSOP, though. 

We often run Tipping Comps & the like on Royal Ascot, too, so that revs up interest as well. For the record, I've won the blonde Royal Ascot Tipping comp the last 3 years on the bounce. (I have an algorithm).
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tikay
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« Reply #97616 on: March 24, 2015, 07:13:21 AM »

Tighty and other baseball folk...

As much as I'd like the Yankees to be crushing again (I know this is not how you endear yourself to baseball fans, but hear me out) and as much as I think the line of 81 wins is low, provided the injury count isn't as utterly hideous as it was last season, I'm figuring value is not in backing the pinstripe team from the Bronx.

Two teams in divisions with big odds on jollies seem interesting to me from what I've read and I wonder if there are any views.

The Miami Marlins have three young prospects in the backfield who put up impressive numbers last season:

Stanton: .288 BA, .950 OPS, 37 HR, 105 RBI, 89 R, 6.5 WAR
Ozuna: .269 BA, .772 OPS, 23 HR, 85 RBI, 72 R, 4.4 WAR
Yelich: .284 BA, .764 OPS, 9 HR, 54 RBI, 94 R, 3.6 WAR

(I only know what most of those mean but I'm sure someone will explain if needs be)

They also have a strong pitching unit, which will be strengthened when the star pitcher returns in the summer from something called Tommy John surgery.

8/1 second favourite, behind the massive Washington Nationals. Is there any scope here? Nationals have the best pitching rotation in baseball, but that's surely reflected in the price?

The second is a team that had a good pitching rotation (4th overall) but an awful offense (as in worst in the whole league). They've managed to get some batters in without compromising on the mound-dwellers. A new GM and only a 77-85 season to overturn suggests there's hope, if the team can gel quickly. San Diego Padres anyone? 11/2 with BMU for their division.

I don't follow baseball so much these days, keeping only a passing interest and watching a few games in sportsbooks when in Vegas. Am more than happy for people to explain why this fag packet analysis isn't good enough.

Baseball sweats ftw.

None of which makes an iota of sense to me, I just sing the song at the bottom of the 7th.

But I would very much like us to have a few season long Baseball sweats, last year was so much fun, quite apart from us making a good few bob. If no serious objections arise, I think we should start with this, we don't need to invest fortunes.

Tighty loves following MLB, too, he gets to report on it 162 times. The perfect sport for an OCD stats geek.

I'll drop dear old singheeeee a PM today, see if he can give us a steer, too.

Pretty sure Tighty tipped up (very porofitably) a cload of baseball stuff last year, too.

Do we have any other baseball buffs here?

Baseball trivia - attendance at MLB through the season comes to around 74 million, &, supposedly, that makes it the "most watched" sports league in the world. No idea what the aggregate TV audience is, but it must be several hundred million.
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tikay
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« Reply #97617 on: March 24, 2015, 07:21:46 AM »


Happy Vegas memories......

These photos were taken by Longy.

Vegas 51's are Triple A affiliates of the New York Mets, effectively their "reserve team" (one of several) I think.

Those seats, smack behind the wicketkeeper bloke, cost just $25.


 Click to see full-size image.



 Click to see full-size image.



 Click to see full-size image.
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Mark_Porter
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« Reply #97618 on: March 24, 2015, 09:40:16 AM »

Does this place become a little dormant during the world series of poker?

Last year's WSOP was ripe for a bet. We had a max bet on the overs for the field size and had the winner for a combined total of something like +£700. Must be the most profitable part of the 'misc' section unless it comes under sport.
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tikay
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« Reply #97619 on: March 24, 2015, 09:43:25 AM »

Does this place become a little dormant during the world series of poker?

Last year's WSOP was ripe for a bet. We had a max bet on the overs for the field size and had the winner for a combined total of something like +£700. Must be the most profitable part of the 'misc' section unless it comes under sport.

So we did, I had clean forgotten that. Watching the daily numbers was com, but we got there. Think the bookie made a total rick of their line.

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