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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16548913 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #102135 on: June 04, 2015, 06:17:08 PM »

things looking ok for Joe's girl

to quote a couple of tennis correspondents on twitter

"At times it appears the court is made of wet cement on her side the way Serena is moving!"

"Serena trying to hold serve is like watching someone attempting DIY dentistry"



currently 6-4 3-3
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« Reply #102136 on: June 04, 2015, 06:36:06 PM »

Bold Lass probably worth a tenner ew for the first at Epsom on Friday if you can get the 10-1 with Fred or Tote

Currently /11-2 with Lads and Hills which probably a better reflection of price in a race where this improver looks to have a decent e/w chance


Don't think Fred took it up, but best priced now.

sorry i don't recall seeing it. my fault.

too late?


Yup. Think so, certainly from a value perspective. Keep hearing about thunderstorms despite feeling hottest all year, and all the form is on quicker ground.
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arbboy
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« Reply #102137 on: June 04, 2015, 06:42:15 PM »

fuck me its never easy this punting lark!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #102138 on: June 04, 2015, 06:44:57 PM »

fuck me its never easy this punting lark!

we only need her to win 2 games in the final set

like pulling teeth.
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« Reply #102139 on: June 04, 2015, 06:51:58 PM »

Williams looks like most of the TOWIE cast, the morning after a 2-4-1 night at Sugar Hut, and this other girl is still getting slapped about.

 Sad
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« Reply #102140 on: June 04, 2015, 06:54:57 PM »

I rename this page:



Ridiculously expert bokistry on display.

Sort it out, lads!



Meanwhile, why are Australia and the Windies playing a test match at Hove?
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« Reply #102141 on: June 04, 2015, 06:55:10 PM »

good grief

i feel like this keeper http://zippy.gfycat.com/CookedOblongClam.webm
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« Reply #102142 on: June 04, 2015, 06:58:47 PM »

Where is Adz to say he locked in at 1.02 laying the +5.5 on betfair!!  

Fuck me i have took some beats but that is right up there.  Great work joe win or lose.  Cracking bet.
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« Reply #102143 on: June 04, 2015, 06:59:37 PM »

Bold Lass probably worth a tenner ew for the first at Epsom on Friday if you can get the 10-1 with Fred or Tote

Currently /11-2 with Lads and Hills which probably a better reflection of price in a race where this improver looks to have a decent e/w chance


Don't think Fred took it up, but best priced now.

sorry i don't recall seeing it. my fault.

too late?


Yup. Think so, certainly from a value perspective. Keep hearing about thunderstorms despite feeling hottest all year, and all the form is on quicker ground.

I presume you'll be doing your raindance upon completion of racing tomorrow Cheesy
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« Reply #102144 on: June 04, 2015, 07:05:28 PM »

Where is Adz to say he locked in at 1.02 laying the +5.5 on betfair!!  

Fuck me i have took some beats but that is right up there.  Great work joe win or lose.  Cracking bet.


Still smarting after backing Reed at 2-1 in his 3 ball in similar circs, with Day having been ill all week, and Tiger out of form, going down the last he is -1 against Day and Tigers +1, only to chop it.

Not been a good half hour.
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« Reply #102145 on: June 04, 2015, 07:10:35 PM »




England have released Captain Cook to play in a T20 pyjama match. Makes sense to shore an end up, perhaps.
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« Reply #102146 on: June 04, 2015, 09:04:19 PM »

William Hill have Team Dragon Knight vs Team Dignitas as both 5/6

Pinnacle are closer to 4/5 for Dignitas and evens for Team Dragon Knight.

I reckon this should be an easy win for Dignitas as again, TDK are playing with their 3 substitute players and are having problems with their main roster.

TDK's other match is against Enemy who are 4/6, can leave that one though as Enemy are also a new team this season.

Dignitas 5/6!

http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/g/5173149/Match-Betting.html
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« Reply #102147 on: June 04, 2015, 09:11:47 PM »

My pre-event Canadian GP bets:

To Reach Qualifying Session Three - Nico Hulkenberg AND Sergio Perez @ 4/1 with Fembrokes. I think Force India should get one car into Q3 this weekend, either way, 4/1 is far too high. This should be much closer to evens. Given the price being so far out of line, I suggest £25 on each.

Not To Finish The Race - Daniel Ricciardo @ 9/2 with lots of bookies. The Renault engine will struggle on the demanding Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Suggest £10.

Need some advice on the points finish bets, all three prices are value - not sure which ones to bet on, if not all of them. Can we talk it out?

Points Finish - Nico Hulkenberg AND Sergio Perez @ 5/2 with various bookies AND/OR Force India Double Points - Yes @ 6/1 with Blose. The latter bet is better value than the first two, but obviously it's more unlikely.

Number of Finishers Odd/Even - I'm not sure if this is a suggestion or not, but curiously, the price on "even" is above evens (42/41) with Blose .. seems odd!
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« Reply #102148 on: June 04, 2015, 09:40:47 PM »

FWIW Pricewise has tipped up Doobs choice Al Naamah in the Oaks

He has clearly been reading here, as he has also put up Bold Lass. Wink

How many times Tom? You should really do more than copy what you read on Blonde to earn your crust.


Also put up Regulation 3.45 and Seagull Star 2.35

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« Reply #102149 on: June 04, 2015, 11:04:38 PM »

My pre-event Canadian GP bets:

To Reach Qualifying Session Three - Nico Hulkenberg AND Sergio Perez @ 4/1 with Fembrokes. I think Force India should get one car into Q3 this weekend, either way, 4/1 is far too high. This should be much closer to evens. Given the price being so far out of line, I suggest £25 on each.

Not To Finish The Race - Daniel Ricciardo @ 9/2 with lots of bookies. The Renault engine will struggle on the demanding Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Suggest £10.

Need some advice on the points finish bets, all three prices are value - not sure which ones to bet on, if not all of them. Can we talk it out?

Points Finish - Nico Hulkenberg AND Sergio Perez @ 5/2 with various bookies AND/OR Force India Double Points - Yes @ 6/1 with Blose. The latter bet is better value than the first two, but obviously it's more unlikely.

Number of Finishers Odd/Even - I'm not sure if this is a suggestion or not, but curiously, the price on "even" is above evens (42/41) with Blose .. seems odd!

I don't think it is at all clear that the double points finish is better value.  (2/7)^2 is 0.08.  So if the two bets weren't related, 12/1 would be about right.  Obviously if one force india does well, the other should too, but if the first force india gets in the top 10, that is only 9 places that the 2nd car can go for.  Well in reality the number of positions they can get in the top 10 is a lot less, because even if they do improve significantly, they aren't going to be as quick as (at least) the top 6.  We are effectively betting about evens that the 2nd Force India gets a top 10 if the first one does.  That definitely feels tight to me.  Overall it feels that the 6/1 is less likely to be value than the separate 5/2s.

If you do this bet, I'd just stick to the separate singles.     
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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