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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16388212 times)
BigAdz
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« Reply #109530 on: November 29, 2015, 12:44:32 AM »

Fury for SPOTY? Boxers have a good record, he's just done the world champ as an underdog and actually has a personality. Prices look to be adjusting as we speak but rec £20 at best price - looks to be around 20/1.

Adz probably has an 80-1 ticket on that.

Doesn't take long does it.

It's great you're on at 80-1 and are back posting. Welcome back Smiley


Pretty sure it was only 66s when we discussed it McG
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Tal
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« Reply #109531 on: November 29, 2015, 12:47:31 AM »

Fury for SPOTY? Boxers have a good record, he's just done the world champ as an underdog and actually has a personality. Prices look to be adjusting as we speak but rec £20 at best price - looks to be around 20/1.

Started out as such a lovely day and now we have to consider the bloke who headbutts melons for SPOTY.

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Doobs
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« Reply #109532 on: November 29, 2015, 12:53:40 AM »

Fury for SPOTY? Boxers have a good record, he's just done the world champ as an underdog and actually has a personality. Prices look to be adjusting as we speak but rec £20 at best price - looks to be around 20/1.

Started out as such a lovely day and now we have to consider the bloke who headbutts melons for SPOTY.



Price has long gone. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
McGlashan
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« Reply #109533 on: November 29, 2015, 12:54:44 AM »

Fury for SPOTY? Boxers have a good record, he's just done the world champ as an underdog and actually has a personality. Prices look to be adjusting as we speak but rec £20 at best price - looks to be around 20/1.

Adz probably has an 80-1 ticket on that.

Doesn't take long does it.

It's great you're on at 80-1 and are back posting. Welcome back Smiley


Pretty sure it was only 66s when we discussed it McG

Either way it was a good shout.
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Chompy
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« Reply #109534 on: November 29, 2015, 02:14:25 AM »

Well done adz

Chesterfield sack Saunders ffs

FFS, Deano was just starting to weave his magic. Paul Jewell or Paul Ince to take over please.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
horseplayer
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« Reply #109535 on: November 29, 2015, 08:42:12 AM »

Tyson

That is all
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Tal
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« Reply #109536 on: November 29, 2015, 10:30:37 AM »

I have to declare a bias on this one, so I am primarily asking for views, over an explicit recommend for Fred.

There's a potentially huge game in Kansas City this evening, where the Chiefs host the Buffalo Bills. These are two teams vying for an AFC Wildcard spot to get into the playoffs and the head to head will likely be a factor, the way things are going, as it's very close, with a cluster of teams competing for the two fastest loser spots.

These are two teams built on their defense and running games. The Chiefs have been without their stellar running back for most of the season but still have the offensive line to create space for whoever carries the rock. The defense struggled early but has really kicked into gear the last few weeks. In Maclin and Thomas, they have two competent wide receivers and a tight end in Travis Kelce who can make big plays through the air in support.

The Bills have their elite running back fit and firing again, plus have found a gem in his understudy, rookie, Karlos Williams. The defense has some injuries (two of the big four are out today: Kyle Williams and Mario Williams, though Marcel "Williams" Dareus is fit) but the team shapes well to stop the run. The Bills have rotated well in the defensive line during games of late, so the next batters up are familiar with the systems and the occasion.

Through the air on defense, we get to see two of the best cornerback pairings in the NFL at work and the circumstances of the game are likely to dictate a more cautious, run-first approach from both teams. Whilst Kansas City clearly have the edge at quarterback in Alex Smith, Tyrod Taylor has surprised many with his low-risk style of attack and good scrambling (which he may well need today against elite linebacker, Justin Houston). The Bills primarily just need their quarterback not to lose them the game. He's having a good season and will play today.

The Bills have been inconsistent but have tended to play up to better teams and down to worse.

The line is 6 points in favour of the Chiefs, according to Better Fred. I see this being a close game and Buffalo plus the points feels rather enticing.

What do the neutrals think?
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #109537 on: November 29, 2015, 10:45:16 AM »

I think its likely to be low scoring. I wont lie, I dont really rate the Bills, and the way the Kansas D is playing, I think that the chiefs to win by about 7 points feels about right to me.
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Tal
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« Reply #109538 on: November 29, 2015, 10:52:16 AM »

I think its likely to be low scoring. I wont lie, I dont really rate the Bills, and the way the Kansas D is playing, I think that the chiefs to win by about 7 points feels about right to me.

It's one of those days where I fancy some underdogs. Denver at home to the Pats, with them down to their bare bones on offense and Brock Osweiler not being terrible. I also fancy the Saints to beat Houston and Tampa to win in Indy.

Some delicious spreads out there for a contrarian like me.
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #109539 on: November 29, 2015, 10:56:10 AM »

I think its likely to be low scoring. I wont lie, I dont really rate the Bills, and the way the Kansas D is playing, I think that the chiefs to win by about 7 points feels about right to me.

It's one of those days where I fancy some underdogs. Denver at home to the Pats, with them down to their bare bones on offense and Brock Osweiler not being terrible. I also fancy the Saints to beat Houston and Tampa to win in Indy.

Some delicious spreads out there for a contrarian like me.

Oh i definitely agree with Denver and Tampa, surely even Brady wont be able to work with what he has left against that D!!
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« Reply #109540 on: November 29, 2015, 11:15:41 AM »

The shouty red man has put up a market on Tyson Fury's next opponent. It's a strange decision given Vlad has an immediate rematch clause he can invoke at any time. He's also only 2 fights into a 5 fight deal with HBO and a German network so it's not as if he's had retirement on the mind.

6/4 Vlad should be a lot shorter - that's essentially laying 4/6 he retires. A (funded) 10% account will get on £16.66




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TightEnd
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« Reply #109541 on: November 29, 2015, 11:19:24 AM »

The shouty red man has put up a market on Tyson Fury's next opponent. It's a strange decision given Vlad has an immediate rematch clause he can invoke at any time. He's also only 2 fights into a 5 fight deal with HBO and a German network so it's not as if he's had retirement on the mind.

6/4 Vlad should be a lot shorter - that's essentially laying 4/6 he retires. A (funded) 10% account will get on £16.66






that seems sensible. we can't so ladbrokes at the moment, if anyone is able to help please let me know
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Chompy
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« Reply #109542 on: November 29, 2015, 11:25:01 AM »

You have £50 at 6-4. Will put it on the tab.
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Simon Galloway
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« Reply #109543 on: November 29, 2015, 11:27:49 AM »

Beaten on the draw by Chompy.. time to retire!

I have a further £20 you can have... no probs either way.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #109544 on: November 29, 2015, 11:43:29 AM »

ok we have £70 at 6-4 then as above, thank you
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