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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16550285 times)
ripple11
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« Reply #110205 on: December 16, 2015, 04:55:22 PM »

Was sort of hoping the ACDC bet had slipped under the radar- can't get on myself due to living in Asia for the time being. Messaged someone back home to get the bet on for me only to find out they've not checked they're messages this morning. Doh. 22/1 just won't do it. Best of luck with the bet for those who got on, hopefully it won't be as miserable as my Gomis top PL Scorer this season 

Opps.......happy to give you £5 at 66/1 if you want?
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baldock92
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« Reply #110206 on: December 16, 2015, 05:17:47 PM »

Was sort of hoping the ACDC bet had slipped under the radar- can't get on myself due to living in Asia for the time being. Messaged someone back home to get the bet on for me only to find out they've not checked they're messages this morning. Doh. 22/1 just won't do it. Best of luck with the bet for those who got on, hopefully it won't be as miserable as my Gomis top PL Scorer this season 

Opps.......happy to give you £5 at 66/1 if you want?

Can't say no to that, thanks!
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« Reply #110207 on: December 16, 2015, 05:56:12 PM »

11/1 Sunderland to win at Chelsea surely has to be a good price? Chelsea can't be 1/3 at home to anybody right now?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-sunderland/winner
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arbboy
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« Reply #110208 on: December 16, 2015, 06:01:46 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/highest-average-o-u

I put this up on the darts thread as close to a max.  Under 107.5.  See darts thread for the explanation if you interested.

£300 at 4/5 with betfred.  Think you said we can still get on at bald.  They have moved the price from 5/6 to 4/5 (Mrs Bandit obviously been smashing up those west midlands shops - poor pete!).  The most pointless price move in gambling going from 5/6 to 4/5.  Decreases your overround from 109% to 107% as  a bookie.  Not surprise to see bald make this mistake.  Difference between 5/6 and 4/5 isn't worth worrying about.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #110209 on: December 16, 2015, 06:05:55 PM »

Charlie Austin Championship Top Goalscorer
10/1 Each Way (4 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £40.00
Potential Returns: £290.00
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« Reply #110210 on: December 16, 2015, 06:08:20 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/highest-average-o-u

I put this up on the darts thread as close to a max.  Under 107.5.  See darts thread for the explanation if you interested.

£300 at 4/5 with betfred.  Think you said we can still get on at bald.  They have moved the price from 5/6 to 4/5 (Mrs Bandit obviously been smashing up those west midlands shops - poor pete!).  The most pointless price move in gambling going from 5/6 to 4/5.  Decreases your overround from 109% to 107% as  a bookie.  Not surprise to see bald make this mistake.  Difference between 5/6 and 4/5 isn't worth worrying about.

"My idea of a maximum bet for the darts is this:

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/highest-average-o-u

HIghest average in the event being under 107.5 5/6.  Only once in the last 3 years has any player averaged over 105 in a match (Barney 108 in 2013 in the first round).  Only twice in the last 3 years apart from that 108 average has anyone average 104 or 105 in a world championship match.  These matches are long brutal affairs where it is very hard to average such high scores as we are used to in the premier league.

Given Taylor is a shadow of his former self with no major wins this year this bet really does look a cracking bet.  Apart from Taylor only MVG, Ando and Lewis (on a proper red hot going day) can average 108 at this level.  Even then they will struggle at this level/length of match.

If the bet hasn't gone over in the first round then it should be effectively weighed in.  107.5 average really is a truely sensational effort to do in any game.  95% of this field literally can't average that in any given game."
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« Reply #110211 on: December 16, 2015, 06:08:58 PM »

i am just watching the balance. we use betfred a lot but can do a chunk of it

PDC World Championship 2016 - Specials
Highest Match Average
   Under 107.5   4/5   
Total stake   £ 170.00
Estimated return   £ 306.00
Full stake   £ 170.00
Full estimated return   £ 306.00
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arbboy
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« Reply #110212 on: December 16, 2015, 07:33:12 PM »

i am just watching the balance. we use betfred a lot but can do a chunk of it

PDC World Championship 2016 - Specials
Highest Match Average
   Under 107.5   4/5   
Total stake   £ 170.00
Estimated return   £ 306.00
Full stake   £ 170.00
Full estimated return   £ 306.00

Bald pulled the market now.  Comical Warrington jokers.
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ripple11
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« Reply #110213 on: December 16, 2015, 07:36:57 PM »

i am just watching the balance. we use betfred a lot but can do a chunk of it

PDC World Championship 2016 - Specials
Highest Match Average
   Under 107.5   4/5   
Total stake   £ 170.00
Estimated return   £ 306.00
Full stake   £ 170.00
Full estimated return   £ 306.00

Bald pulled the market now.  Comical Warrington jokers.

back.... at 106.5     5/6
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arbboy
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« Reply #110214 on: December 16, 2015, 07:38:56 PM »

i am just watching the balance. we use betfred a lot but can do a chunk of it

PDC World Championship 2016 - Specials
Highest Match Average
   Under 107.5   4/5   
Total stake   £ 170.00
Estimated return   £ 306.00
Full stake   £ 170.00
Full estimated return   £ 306.00

Bald pulled the market now.  Comical Warrington jokers.

back.... at 106.5     5/6

Still think it is a bet on those terms just for lower stake with smaller edge.
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arbboy
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« Reply #110215 on: December 16, 2015, 07:47:42 PM »

.
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BorntoBubble
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« Reply #110216 on: December 16, 2015, 07:53:07 PM »

Wow, leave Warrington out of this.

I will alert you if you made the local papers!
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« Reply #110217 on: December 16, 2015, 08:55:35 PM »

11/1 Sunderland to win at Chelsea surely has to be a good price? Chelsea can't be 1/3 at home to anybody right now?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-sunderland/winner

Haven't studied it properly but on the face of it looks a bet. I was thinking about offering up the Sunderland/draw double chance at around 3.6 later on in the week.

From memory Sunderland's gritty away performance to Arsenal recently was proof that they can compete well with a lack of possession. Lost 3-1 I think but could have been a different story.
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arbboy
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« Reply #110218 on: December 16, 2015, 09:03:24 PM »

looks wide at romford dogs on ch 212 if anyone is playing.  Looks pretty large this outside now.  railers who are big stayers finding nothing coming home
« Last Edit: December 16, 2015, 09:24:20 PM by arbboy » Logged
BorntoBubble
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« Reply #110219 on: December 16, 2015, 09:40:38 PM »

looks wide at romford dogs on ch 212 if anyone is playing.  Looks pretty large this outside now.  railers who are big stayers finding nothing coming home

2 6 dog winners in a row since you posted! Cheers.
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