Tips for Tikay

[nellberg]

This morning The Heat play their last league game, 13/8 away at The Stars. If they win, we've had a nice sweat but we've done our money. Lose and we're all but home on them coming bottom. They've been underdogs for each of their 8 games so we had the best of it at 9/2 either way. Stars missing 4 players to international duty (3 bowlers) so should be a high scoring game given The Heat's bowling has been their weakness. We could do with The Stars winning the toss and chasing, which is both teams favoured method. Stars coach Stephen Fleming loves to chase, as it's 1 less uncertainty for his team. One time ...

[nellberg]

This morning The Heat play their last league game, 13/8 away at The Stars. If they win, we've had a nice sweat but we've done our money. Lose and we're all but home on them coming bottom. They've been underdogs for each of their 8 games so we had the best of it at 9/2 either way. Stars missing 4 players to international duty (3 bowlers) so should be a high scoring game given The Heat's bowling has been their weakness. We could do with The Stars winning the toss and chasing, which is both teams favoured method. Stars coach Stephen Fleming loves to chase, as it's 1 less uncertainty for his team. One time ...

Heat 78 off 6 overs ... Jesus

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit yesterday £50

Profit on Month £286.97

Outstanding Bets £3697.38

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Yesterdays profit the second snooker double, Higgins winning 6-4 and Robertson 6-0

South Africa lose wicketkeeper Quinton de Kock to a knee injury just hours before the third test, and that bet is void

ongoing

Arsenal's point at Lverpool in a thriller helped keep them above the rightful champions, Leicester City, who recorded a huge win at Tottenham to drive another nail into the coffin of the relegation bet







Leicester's 374-minute Premier League goal drought ended by huth with 7 minutes to go



Arsenal still title favourites



Watford faltered, at Southampton



Sunderland with a Defoe hat-trick went above Newcastle and seven points clear at the bottom



Norwich win the award for away kit of the year

Click to see full-size image.

That awkward moment when your mate comes in the same fancy dress outfit



at the big bash we need the heat to lose to win, but its not looking good this morning

[TightEnd]

playoff latest from WH US

[TightEnd]

BetStars says new Spin & Bet product is a "game-changer" for UK sportsbetting

For subscribers http://www.egrmagazine.com/news/betstars_launches_game-changing_spin_bet_feature

[fatcatstu]

Coral have some specials on Middlesbrough FC by all accounts.

Middlesbrough to remain unbeaten in the Championship for the rest of the season - 67.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 1001.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal at home in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 201.0

The first one probably wont happen, I have us down to lose 1 game, away at Burnley, so dont think that will happen.

Now we get to the interesting bits.

Boro are currently on a run of 9 games without conceding a goal in the Championship, which has equaled the Championship record held by Chelsea and Leeds, we have a shot at breaking that away at Bristol City this weekend who are 3rd bottom of the league.

Anyone who has seen Boro this season knows that we are a beast of a team in this division. At home, we have P13 W10 L1 GF20 GA2. The last goal we conceded at home was on the 5/9/15 against Brentford.

Obviously, we are going to concede again this season in all matches, but I think there is a shot we dont concede again at home in the league, and certainly think it is worth £10 at 201.0

Recommend £10 Boro to not concede at home for the rest of the season in the Championship with Coral

[fatcatstu]

Coral have some specials on Middlesbrough FC by all accounts.

Middlesbrough to remain unbeaten in the Championship for the rest of the season - 67.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 1001.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal at home in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 201.0

The first one probably wont happen, I have us down to lose 1 game, away at Burnley, so dont think that will happen.

Now we get to the interesting bits.

Boro are currently on a run of 9 games without conceding a goal in the Championship, which has equaled the Championship record held by Chelsea and Leeds, we have a shot at breaking that away at Bristol City this weekend who are 3rd bottom of the league.

Anyone who has seen Boro this season knows that we are a beast of a team in this division. At home, we have P13 W10 L1 GF20 GA2. The last goal we conceded at home was on the 5/9/15 against Brentford.

Obviously, we are going to concede again this season in all matches, but I think there is a shot we dont concede again at home in the league, and certainly think it is worth £10 at 201.0

Recommend £10 Boro to not concede at home for the rest of the season in the Championship with Coral

By the way...

I recognise that it is a bit of a long shot bet, but I think there is definitely a chance that it can happen, and it is worth risking a tenner on.

[doubleup]

BetStars says new Spin & Bet product is a "game-changer" for UK sportsbetting

For subscribers http://www.egrmagazine.com/news/betstars_launches_game-changing_spin_bet_feature

They would say that.

I messed about with some more figures.  If you bet £10 on a genuine 4/5 shot the return would be:

(£7.20 x 1 + £9) *.8 plus

(£7.20 x 1.5 + £9) *.1 plus

(£7.20 x 2 + £9) *.085 plus

(£7.20 x 5 + £9) *.01 plus

(£7.20 x 10 + £9) *.005

= 17.78

So the bet would win 55% of the time and that is a return of £9.78 for £10 invested.

A genuine 2-1 chance on the other hand would return £10.31 for £10 invested.

So if you can find a decent bet at odds against it seems to be ok.  However, the margins on betstars are pretty big so doesn't seem like they will make many mistakes at larger odds.

[horseplayer]

Polar river general bit shorter in places

We have value at the least

[Chompy]

Smoggies have ten league games left at home?

Don't think I've ever backed a team to keep a clean sheet but, looking at this weekend, Hull are 4-11 to win at home and 4-6 to keep a clean sheet.

Without proper research it feels like this should be a four-figure price?

[exstream]

This week sees the return of competitive League of Legends.
In North American LCS, one game stands out.
Echo Fox vs Team Impulse.
http://www.oddschecker.com/e-sports/league-of-legends/echo-fox-v-team-impulse/winner

Everywhere has Echo Fox as favourite, other than Betfair Sportsbook.
Even so, nowhere has reacted to the news that Team Impulse are going to be without two of their starters who are still to receive visas.
The owner of Team Impulse tried to sell the team at the end of last split but failed, he doesn't care about the team anymore and the new roster still hasn't even been announced.
Their support player is going to have to play mid lane vs one of the most consistent mid laners in the world and I think it's going to be complete domination. A role swap vs the best just won't work.

17/20 with betfair, recommend £100.

[TightEnd]

This week sees the return of competitive League of Legends.
In North American LCS, one game stands out.
Echo Fox vs Team Impulse.
http://www.oddschecker.com/e-sports/league-of-legends/echo-fox-v-team-impulse/winner

Everywhere has Echo Fox as favourite, other than Betfair Sportsbook.
Even so, nowhere has reacted to the news that Team Impulse are going to be without two of their starters who are still to receive visas.
The owner of Team Impulse tried to sell the team at the end of last split but failed, he doesn't care about the team anymore and the new roster still hasn't even been announced.
Their support player is going to have to play mid lane vs one of the most consistent mid laners in the world and I think it's going to be complete domination. A role swap vs the best just won't work.

17/20 with betfair, recommend £100.

not in a position to do that currently. anywhere apart from betfair?

[exstream]

Leave it, big differences in odds elsewhere.

[TightEnd]

Coral have some specials on Middlesbrough FC by all accounts.

Middlesbrough to remain unbeaten in the Championship for the rest of the season - 67.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 1001.0
Middlesbrough to not concede a goal at home in the Championship from 16/1/16 - 201.0

The first one probably wont happen, I have us down to lose 1 game, away at Burnley, so dont think that will happen.

Now we get to the interesting bits.

Boro are currently on a run of 9 games without conceding a goal in the Championship, which has equaled the Championship record held by Chelsea and Leeds, we have a shot at breaking that away at Bristol City this weekend who are 3rd bottom of the league.

Anyone who has seen Boro this season knows that we are a beast of a team in this division. At home, we have P13 W10 L1 GF20 GA2. The last goal we conceded at home was on the 5/9/15 against Brentford.

Obviously, we are going to concede again this season in all matches, but I think there is a shot we dont concede again at home in the league, and certainly think it is worth £10 at 201.0

Recommend £10 Boro to not concede at home for the rest of the season in the Championship with Coral

what price is muiddlesborough to win to nil for a home game?

what does a tenfold pay?

ie what vig is in the 200-1 price?

[fatcatstu]

Smoggies have ten league games left at home?

Don't think I've ever backed a team to keep a clean sheet but, looking at this weekend, Hull are 4-11 to win at home and 4-6 to keep a clean sheet.

Without proper research it feels like this should be a four-figure price?

Yep, 10 home, 11 away.

As I said, I realise its a long shot bet, but I think that there is a decent enough chance of it coming in at home. We have conceded 1 against Bristol and 1 against Brentford in the league, and that is all we have to concentrate on now, so the players should be as fresh as they can be.

Already seen off Derby, Sheff Wed and Burnley at the Riverside in recent games, Hull and Ipswich are the only teams that I think will give us trouble at our place.

How would i figure all that out tighty?