Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Hello TfT, been AWOL for a month or so, just life & stuff getting complicated. Found a few minutes for a possible ski bet.

Womens GS in Flachau, Sunday, two runs, the first early 8.15 UK.

http://medias1.fis-ski.com/pdf/2016/AL/5100/2016AL5100SLR1.pdf

Simply, Lindsey Vonn is the best speed skier ever. But not a Giant Slalom specialist (GS). However, over her career she has 4 firsts (last one in December at Are, Sweden)




 & plenty of podium places. She excels on the easier hills, where she can carve her trade mark turns & find a fast rhythme. Flachau is rarely run on the womens tour & considered one of the less difficult slopes. Alot depends on the course set by the Swiss coach, but I'll only get that info after inspection around 7am. A fair dump of snow expected, but that should give Vonn a small edge with her size & power.
 
The top GS women: Eva-Maria Brem is consistent & technicaly excellent, but has lacked spark this year. Lara Gut, full on dynamic skier, but prone to errors. Federica Brigone, probably the fastest & most committed GS skier this season, but can throw in the odd DNF (tempted at around 8/1) but I think this hill does'nt quite fit her skills.

Vonn is out of the top 6 seeds for GS, but has got a decent bib draw of #10. Always races on the edge, relying on her skills to get her out of trouble, but when she rips a clean run she'll be in with a decent shot. Available at 18/1 Hills & 16/1 elsewhere (under Winter Sports, Oddschecker, don't seem have it at the moment). Scuy allow me £1.56   But worth a tenner if you like & see this in time.

Hopefully, be around a bit more. Belated Happy New Year all.

Welcome back Tonji, & HNY to you, too.

[tikay]

HNY Tonji, all the best for 2016.


£10 on for Fred @ 18/1

Top man Mark, thank you. I'll not have a bad word said about you.

[tikay]

Posh bet hits the crossbar, and my Starbucks fund for the summer now has £15 of Tikay's in it


Great shout in the tennis, Hector!

Like Ralph, I didn't weigh you down with my cash, unfortunately.


Even Shrewdie popping in with a winner

No need, what a complete nob you are Mark.

[BigAdz]

Echo Fox stomped Team Impulse in the least closest game today.

Good work again mate.

[BigAdz]

Romford dogs tonight it's not a card that is popular on a Saturday night but I was waiting opening show for the 9.04, however Bet365 have priced early for some reason.

Pretty sure they are out a little even though they have priced up a 134% book. Totti Louise dropped in grade, into an that certainly isn't the toughest either. Drawn to have a chance at leading the inside and should she do that I can see her winning this with a bit to spare. They've opened 3/1 don't think you will get this at any point later tonight so anyone able to get a bet there i'd recommend taking it.

Race went exactly as planned, only hiccup was the 3 dog coming from behind us. It's a strong dog for sure but we should have had enough in hand ourselves to lead from the 3rd and win. Nevermind, also surprised to see the 3/1 SP.

Only one more bet for me tonight at Romford and thats in the 10.24, Tonerich @ 9/2.

Excellent again.

Easy on Sunday Morning.

[horseplayer]

good work all

Not anything betting related really but saw Bournemouth v Norwich live yesterday.

Firstly Norwich presumably a complete off day, out ran out passed out thought and take away Russell Martin from that defence and it would have been six.

Bournemouth excellent especially Charlie Daniels the ex Spurs reserve winger looks a different species at left back some job done on the training ground there. A high number of the Bournemouth side are players who did not quite make it first time around (Afobe, Francis, Gosling and a few others). Can see in the way they play not letting it slip this time.

Love Afobe's attitude still very raw but can tell had plenty of loan spells at lower levels very happy to mix it physically very strong lots of pace and at times intelligent running.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Day £85

Profit on Month £539.47

Outstanding Bets £3608.88

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Yesterday

Troicki wins ATP Sydney £155



A rare Peterborough blank on the overs goals bet -£30

Charlie Austin out of the championship on £80,000 a week and 5 year contract with one knee, no less -£40

ongoing

Harry Kane goal takes him one closer to Vardy for the top english scorer bet. He has now scored 11 in his last 13



Sunderland concede four and remain in the relgation zone



For a day at least, a team returns to the top of the table. Leicester have now been top of the Premier League table for 33 days this season, the same number of days that Spurs have been top. Ever.

Leicester's last 30 Premier League games: P30 W18 L3 Ps 63, 2.1 ppg



relegation bet Norwich lose and are 4 points above the bottom 3

In the Championship, on tuesday the Charlton team offered to reimburse fans for their costs after losing 5-0 away. Yesterday they lost 6-0 at Hull. Two round trips of 830 miles for away fans to lose a combined 11-0.  Just as well we don't have a points spread bet on them really, oh wait....

Click to see full-size image.

QPR finally won under JFH

Leeds lost, Preston drew, a small adverse move on that spread match bet


In league one Wigan 3 Chesterfield 1 a nice double whammy as we have Wigan to go up and Cesterfield to go down

Peterborough are after their 0-0 draw

In league two Cambridge drew at Luton. A top seven bet they are 12th but only 2 points off 7th

Remarkable win in Joburg, with another Stuart Broad match winning spell, 6 for 17 and all ten opposition wickets falling in a session 







in the NFL

Tom Brady is going to his 10th championship game in only 14 seasons as starter. Unprecendented success, only six TEAMs have ever been to that many ever



in Arizona, a remarkable finish, and Carson Palmer wins his first play off game in a 13 year career

Click to see full-size image.

Click to see full-size image.

[ripple11]

good work all

Not anything betting related really but saw Bournemouth v Norwich live yesterday.

Firstly Norwich presumably a complete off day, out ran out passed out thought and take away Russell Martin from that defence and it would have been six.

Bournemouth excellent especially Charlie Daniels the ex Spurs reserve winger looks a different species at left back some job done on the training ground there. A high number of the Bournemouth side are players who did not quite make it first time around (Afobe, Francis, Gosling and a few others). Can see in the way they play not letting it slip this time.

Love Afobe's attitude still very raw but can tell had plenty of loan spells at lower levels very happy to mix it physically very strong lots of pace and at times intelligent running.

Nice to hear horsey....and although we have spent a bit of cash, seven players in that starting XI  played for us in League One 

[BigAdz]

Haha.

Loving the Leicester/5pur2 stat.

They have been shit for a long long time now.

[bookiebasher]

Haha.

Loving the Leicester/5pur2 stat.

They have been shit for a long long time now.

Yeah , great write up Tighty , thanks.

[tikay]

Loved the write up. Don't think Tal Bloke will.

PS - Good start to the chessathon Tal, well done, ding ding.

[Tal]

Loved the write up. Don't think Tal Bloke will.

PS - Good start to the chessathon Tal, well done, ding ding.

[horseplayer]

Valencia fans sing " we are fucking tired of this" at half time (or similar)

1-0 down at home to Rayo, Neville not got to much longer already if things dont pick up

[Tonji]

Click to see full-size image.

Poor 2nd run, opps 

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

Toulon host Wasps later today and as weak as the French are away they can be brutal at home, especially in games that matter and this is a huge game for them. Wasps have Haskell and Launchbury out of the pack and I expect the Toulon forwards to dominate. Their go to man in the driving mauls is Steffon Armitage and for that reason I think he is a decent bet for anytime try scorer today.

I would be happy with 5/2 or better so I suggest £15 with one of these firms that you can.

Betfair 3's, betway or Paddy @ 11/4, or bet victor @ 5/2.