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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13546348 times)
DropTheHammer
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« Reply #118245 on: June 08, 2016, 12:47:42 AM »

You can also easily see Betvvay's max they'll allow you (before you commit to the C0ral bet) by using their button, love it when they have those.
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bergeroo
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« Reply #118246 on: June 08, 2016, 01:32:58 AM »

Thanks Nellberg!

Lads offer a market for the number of penalty shootouts in the euros as follows in decimal

3-4  2.1
1-2 2.38
5-6 5.5
7-9 17
None 17
10 or more 51

There are 15 knock out matches at the euros this year, up from 7 in the past five competitions. There have been two penalty shootouts in the past three euro championships. Here is the full list

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_UEFA_European_Championship_penalty_shoot-outs
And for world cups
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_FIFA_World_Cup_penalty_shoot-outs

In the two competitions we have a total of 41 penalty shootouts from 184 matches. 22.28%.

If we apply these stats to the forthcoming competition then we should be due 3.342 penalty shootouts in the competition this year.

There is a massive overround in this market, but with 1-2shootouts clearly far too short in my opinion, is there still any value despite the unsightly overround?
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bergeroo
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« Reply #118247 on: June 08, 2016, 01:43:37 AM »

PP goes
under 2.5 shootouts at 1.83
Over 2.5 shootouts at 1.9
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bergeroo
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« Reply #118248 on: June 08, 2016, 03:08:15 AM »

Not for Fred but this market is pretty interesting as none of these players are really first choice
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/top-liverpool-goalscorer

For me this is a three horse race - Benteke, Sturridge, Origi. With Lallana fourth favourite.

In the overall top scorer betting the three are priced closely together. However here they go 7/2 Benteke, 6/1 Sturridge and 8/1 Origi. In Belgiums last warm up match Lukaku started with Origi coming on as sub. Benteke didn't get on the pitch.

Bizarrely they have Skrtel and Can up there in the betting too.

I'd say Origi looks well priced in this market at 8/1. But perhaps the value is on no goalscorer at 12/1?



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Cavey007
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« Reply #118249 on: June 08, 2016, 08:05:03 AM »

Not for Fred but this market is pretty interesting as none of these players are really first choice
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/top-liverpool-goalscorer

For me this is a three horse race - Benteke, Sturridge, Origi. With Lallana fourth favourite.

In the overall top scorer betting the three are priced closely together. However here they go 7/2 Benteke, 6/1 Sturridge and 8/1 Origi. In Belgiums last warm up match Lukaku started with Origi coming on as sub. Benteke didn't get on the pitch.

Bizarrely they have Skrtel and Can up there in the betting too.

I'd say Origi looks well priced in this market at 8/1. But perhaps the value is on no goalscorer at 12/1?





I'd be wary of signings before going for the Liverpool bet. If Higuain signs. He'll play
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rinswun
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« Reply #118250 on: June 08, 2016, 09:51:53 AM »

Not for Fred but this market is pretty interesting as none of these players are really first choice
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/top-liverpool-goalscorer

For me this is a three horse race - Benteke, Sturridge, Origi. With Lallana fourth favourite.

In the overall top scorer betting the three are priced closely together. However here they go 7/2 Benteke, 6/1 Sturridge and 8/1 Origi. In Belgiums last warm up match Lukaku started with Origi coming on as sub. Benteke didn't get on the pitch.

Bizarrely they have Skrtel and Can up there in the betting too.

I'd say Origi looks well priced in this market at 8/1. But perhaps the value is on no goalscorer at 12/1?





I'd be wary of signings before going for the Liverpool bet. If Higuain signs. He'll play

Looking forward to seeing how many Messi gets as well.
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exstream
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« Reply #118251 on: June 08, 2016, 09:53:54 AM »

Not for Fred but this market is pretty interesting as none of these players are really first choice
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/top-liverpool-goalscorer

For me this is a three horse race - Benteke, Sturridge, Origi. With Lallana fourth favourite.

In the overall top scorer betting the three are priced closely together. However here they go 7/2 Benteke, 6/1 Sturridge and 8/1 Origi. In Belgiums last warm up match Lukaku started with Origi coming on as sub. Benteke didn't get on the pitch.

Bizarrely they have Skrtel and Can up there in the betting too.

I'd say Origi looks well priced in this market at 8/1. But perhaps the value is on no goalscorer at 12/1?





I'd be wary of signings before going for the Liverpool bet. If Higuain signs. He'll play

Looking forward to seeing how many Messi gets as well.

Loooooool
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Cavey007
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« Reply #118252 on: June 08, 2016, 09:55:52 AM »

Clever
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118253 on: June 08, 2016, 11:14:29 AM »

We may aswell fill Choral in for as much as possible until they find someone who can price up cricket markets properly (if mr choral is reading, I'll have a crack for you), so tomorrow's game:

Kent v Hampshire - T20 blast - 6.30 tomorrow night.

£46 on over 9.5 sixes @ 2.15 with Choral
£54 on under 11.5 sixes @ 1.83 with sj or betweigh

win £97 quid for 10 or 11 sixes, lose £1.20 if it's not. Sixes so far for these lot in T20 blast - 18, 12, 5 (against each other), 3 and 8. Wouldn't say I fancy 10 or 11 sixes (batting has been very erratic), but it's not a 80/1 shot ...

we do not have betway and have been closed at stan j since 2012, so this is why we can't do it

but keep them coming, seems plenty can do them and are doing so
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118254 on: June 08, 2016, 11:34:13 AM »

quiz time

name the sportsperson

 Click to see full-size image.
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ripple11
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« Reply #118255 on: June 08, 2016, 11:42:58 AM »

T20 Kent v Hampshire tonight 6.30 live on Sky.

Handicap Match bet with Ladbrokes, Bell Drummond v Adams, where Bell D has a 1.5 run advantage. Both will open their teams innings.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/natwest-t20-blast/kent-v-hampshire/batsman-matchbet-1


Adams since 1st May runs are :

  26, 4,7,18,19,78,11,30,16,5,0,5,70
 
all matches ave 22.2.   T20 ave 12 (3 innings)
 
 
Bell D runs since 1st May

 56 25 64 65 4 80 83 47 69 0 84 86
 
all matches ave 55.2
 
 
T20 ave 57 (3 innings)


Bell D is definitely in form , Adams not so......yet Bell D is given 1.5 runs on handicap.

T20, anything can happen... but I think Bell D is a bet here, recommend £30 at 5/6.



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TightEnd
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« Reply #118256 on: June 08, 2016, 11:49:17 AM »

i can do that one, its Ladbrokes

D Bell-Drummond +1 5 Kent v Hampshire Batsman Matchbet 1
5/6
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Returns: £55.00
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Rod Paradise
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« Reply #118257 on: June 08, 2016, 12:01:10 PM »

We may aswell fill Choral in for as much as possible until they find someone who can price up cricket markets properly (if mr choral is reading, I'll have a crack for you), so tomorrow's game:

Kent v Hampshire - T20 blast - 6.30 tomorrow night.

£46 on over 9.5 sixes @ 2.15 with Choral
£54 on under 11.5 sixes @ 1.83 with sj or betweigh

win £97 quid for 10 or 11 sixes, lose £1.20 if it's not. Sixes so far for these lot in T20 blast - 18, 12, 5 (against each other), 3 and 8. Wouldn't say I fancy 10 or 11 sixes (batting has been very erratic), but it's not a 80/1 shot ...

we do not have betway and have been closed at stan j since 2012, so this is why we can't do it

but keep them coming, seems plenty can do them and are doing so
Billy Hills have the under bet as well if that helps?
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« Reply #118258 on: June 08, 2016, 12:07:56 PM »

SDS seems to have no rides from tomorrow through to the end of the week. Can't find any news of him being banned though?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118259 on: June 08, 2016, 12:30:58 PM »

We may aswell fill Choral in for as much as possible until they find someone who can price up cricket markets properly (if mr choral is reading, I'll have a crack for you), so tomorrow's game:

Kent v Hampshire - T20 blast - 6.30 tomorrow night.

£46 on over 9.5 sixes @ 2.15 with Choral
£54 on under 11.5 sixes @ 1.83 with sj or betweigh

win £97 quid for 10 or 11 sixes, lose £1.20 if it's not. Sixes so far for these lot in T20 blast - 18, 12, 5 (against each other), 3 and 8. Wouldn't say I fancy 10 or 11 sixes (batting has been very erratic), but it's not a 80/1 shot ...

we do not have betway and have been closed at stan j since 2012, so this is why we can't do it

but keep them coming, seems plenty can do them and are doing so
Billy Hills have the under bet as well if that helps?


thank you, the coral line has changed though, so will be a watching brief
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