Tips for Tikay

[Rubbish2407]

I meant to mention that Lydia Ko's top ten price is way out on Stan J. 7/2 compared to odds on everywhere else. Not sure if it's an account closer?

[doubleup]

I meant to mention that Lydia Ko's top ten price is way out on Stan J. 7/2 compared to odds on everywhere else. Not sure if it's an account closer?

its a palp, it is their top 5 price put in as top ten

[TightEnd]

the oldest bet on our book is £10 at 33-1 Valverde to be next Barcelona manager

Luis Enrique is stepping down at the end of the season

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/barcelona/next-permanent-manager

Valverde is currently 5/1 second favourite behind Sampaoli of Sevilla and ahead of a certain Monsieur Wenger at 8-1

[tikay]

£25 E/W Se Young Kim, 28/1 several firms

£30  Moriya Jutanugarn top 10 Finish, 8/1 Stan J, 15/2 in a few spots

£10 E/W, Stacy Lewis 25/1 Sporting, 22/1 in a few spots

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/hsbc-womens-champions/winner

This week sees the LPGA heading to Singapore. They are playing on a new course so there's no real historic data to look at. The initial thoughts of a few of the players is that the course is quite open, easier for the average length player but tough greens. Here's the Course designers thoughts.



Shanshan Feng tops the betting again with Aria Jutanugarn in second. I still have my doubts over their fitness so am happy to take them on.

Se Young Kim has played twice this year, coming third last week and T42 in the Bahamas. She's a proven tour winner, heading the field five times even though she has only been on tour since 2015. Most tellingly she ranks 4th in driving distance, 3rd in G.I.R, 23rd in Putts per G.I.R, 9th in scoring average and 21st in Birdies made. With the course looking like it may come down to the short game players Se Young Kim ticks a lot of boxes.

Moriya Jutanugarns price seems absolutely crazy. She was T7 last week on -12 and I'm pretty sure it was only the pressure of it being her home tournament that stopped her finishing higher. Unless she has had an arm amputated since Sunday I can't see why she is going off this high? Her stats aren't off the charts but she is 17th in putting average and 8th in Birdies so she can shoot low. She's never won an LPGA event hence the top ten pick but you can get 125/1 for her E/W which is a massive price and possibly worth a small investment.

It didn't happen for Stacy Lewis last week, two average rounds in the middle of the tournament cost her. In the Bahamas she was flying before a triple bogey 7 on the 14th put paid to her chances. Amazingly she still finished 3rd. Her stats are pretty awesome though which you would expect for a former World number 1. G.I.R. 7th, Putts per G.I.R. 4th, Putting average 10th, scoring average 4th. I know Golf is about a lot more than pure stats but Stacy Lewis does have an all round game and with supposed big wide fairways She has to have a chance of getting off the mark this year.

Last weeks winner for us, Lexi Thompson, is going off at 12/1 again and I will probably have a bet on her. Below is where Thompson ranks in short game categories compared to how she finished 2016.

 
                     2017               2016   
Putting          28.13 (21)      30.70 (139)
GIR Putting     1.68 (11)        1.80 (49)
Scrambling     75.76% (6)     54.79% (115)
Sand Saves    66.67% (24)   42.00% (100)

As you can see she has made huge strides in her putting and she will definitely be winning events this year. At the prices though I've had to go for Kim and Lewis.

Okay, change of heart, I've had a tenner on Lexi to win. She can definitely get up in two on the par fives so I'm going all or nothing on her this week. She does like this tournament as well.



As I stated earlier I'm looking to be against the top two in the betting. That is other than 1st round 3 balls when both of them are fit and raring to go. Not many bookies offer these markets but I've had a tenner treble on Stanley James of Stacy Lewis, Feng and Ariaya Jutanugarn which pays just over 10/1. I think Lewis at 20/21 to beat Webb and Creamer is a great bet.

Good luck if you fancy having a go.

Later.

Great stuff again, thanks Rubbish.

Not sure what we can get on, but I'm sure we'll get some of them placed.

[tikay]

Settlement Day

Sorry I'm a day late, bit busy right now.

If anyone is owed by Fred for February bets, let me know please & I'll settle up.

I've settled K4Suited this morning (£40) & will reply to the M from RickBFA shortly.

Any more for any more?

[tikay]

End of February 2017

Year to Date Profit of £1007.81
ROI of 26.7%

January £625.50
February £382.31


Top Sports NFL +£763 Football £228 Darts +£191
Worst sports Horses -£82 Tennis -£80

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £14,216
ROI of 7.55%
6,214 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £5926 at 13%
Horses £2179 at 4%
NFL £1939 at 16%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1233 at 16%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£528
RU -£442
Snooker-£347
Basketball -£293
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £1702

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Thanks Tighty, appreciate all your work on Fred as always.

If only there were a Super Bowl every month, eh?

Next stop?

[TightEnd]

recommended were

£25 E/W Se Young Kim, 28/1 several firms

£30  Moriya Jutanugarn top 10 Finish, 8/1 Stan J, 15/2 in a few spots

£10 E/W, Stacy Lewis 25/1 Sporting, 22/1 in a few spots

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/hsbc-womens-champions/winner

--

i think it must be live now,Singapore,so its currently late afternoon, and not many firms have prices up

can you please update end of day's play as to whether any are still valid or not?

apologies i have been, with little exaggeration, lying in a dark room for 36 hours and only really back in the land of the living now

[tikay]

And on the subject of Cheltenham, I pass this on without comment;


https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/cheltenham-money-back-offer/39910

[tonytats]

And on the subject of Cheltenham, I pass this on without comment;


https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/cheltenham-money-back-offer/39910

Is that because most others are doing the same deal nrnb?

[tikay]

And on the subject of Cheltenham, I pass this on without comment;


https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/cheltenham-money-back-offer/39910

Is that because most others are doing the same deal nrnb?

No idea, Tony, sorry.

Most Firms do "Offers" around Cheltenham, as it's an extremely high volume business week, typically used as an acquisition tool. Firms don't mind losing money at Cheltenham if they achieve acquisition targets.   

[TightEnd]

Hills, Lads and Coral still aren't NRNB on any races at Cheltenham.

[Doobs]

And on the subject of Cheltenham, I pass this on without comment;


https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/cheltenham-money-back-offer/39910

Is that because most others are doing the same deal nrnb?

No idea, Tony, sorry.

Most Firms do "Offers" around Cheltenham, as it's an extremely high volume business week, typically used as an acquisition tool. Firms don't mind losing money at Cheltenham if they achieve acquisition targets.   

It is clearly very generous if you are new to Shy.  Take it up and you'll be limitted to pennies though 

[BigAdz]

Hills, Lads and Coral still aren't NRNB on any races at Cheltenham.

Hills are effectively NRNB.

Money back if your horse doesnt run. Free bet if it runs elsewhere at the festival(as I read it).

[T_Mar]

Settlement Day

Sorry I'm a day late, bit busy right now.

If anyone is owed by Fred for February bets, let me know please & I'll settle up.

I've settled K4Suited this morning (£40) & will reply to the M from RickBFA shortly.

Any more for any more?

Hi Tikay - You're due me 100 for the Gods Own antepost bet, I'm cool if we want to leave it until after the race though - Less than 2 weeks to go now!!

Details in the spready obv

Cheers

[tikay]

Settlement Day

Sorry I'm a day late, bit busy right now.

If anyone is owed by Fred for February bets, let me know please & I'll settle up.

I've settled K4Suited this morning (£40) & will reply to the M from RickBFA shortly.

Any more for any more?

Hi Tikay - You're due me 100 for the Gods Own antepost bet, I'm cool if we want to leave it until after the race though - Less than 2 weeks to go now!!

Details in the spready obv

Cheers

Think I'll settle now, in case things go a bit tits up at Cheltenham. Never been known, obv.

Anyway, it's nice to head into Cheltenham week having paid all my dues, returns (we wish) are all bonus then.

Remind me of your Bank Details please via PM, & I'll get it sorted.