Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

End of May 2017

Year to Date Profit of £2008.17
ROI of 25.8% on 211 completed bets

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39
May £518.59

Top Sports NFL +£690 Horses +£516 Football £490
Worst sports Golf -£214 Tennis -£110 Basketball -£95

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £15,216.43
ROI of 7.91%
6333 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £6188 at 14%
Horses £2778 at 5.5%
NFL £1867 at 15%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1211 at 15%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
RU -£482
Basketball -£388
Snooker -£245
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £879

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

[arbboy]

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/overall-majority

Hills sticking out way above betfair here at 2/7 for the arbers.  Can probably lay 1.25 if you get in the queue.  1.26 is sitting waiting to hoovered now for nearly 5 figures

[TightEnd]

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

[ripple11]

Ealing acton and central

" EALING CENTRAL & ACTON    LABOUR MAJORITY: 274    prediction LAB HOLD
    
Considering they're projected to win well over 50 seats from Labour, one would expect number three on the Tory target list to be a foregone conclusion. Yet due to this being in London, it is far from impossible that Rupa Huq hangs on, even on a bad night for the party. The Greens have withdrawn to help support her, thus more or less cancelling out the effect of UKIP's withdrawal.

If recent elections and polls are the guide, London will vote very differently from the rest of the country on June 8th. That was very much the case in 2015 and polls show little or no swing to the Tories since. This is a seat that voted 72% for Remain and prime for tactical voting."

published this morning in https://betting.betfair.com/politics/general-election-2017/betting-guide/index.html?utm_medium=SocialOrganic&utm_source=2147150&utm_campaign=8882721&utm_term=4945338&utm_content=120463926&utm_ad=293559990&rfr=798967&dclid=CJXL7eDxj9QCFaaHUQodPYQEFw

i have been speaking to neil about this,his patch

my thoughts the other day to him were

"obviously the big problem is the ukip collapse into con,running around 50% of their vote on some canvassing returns in other constituencies. lib dem to lab to stop con offsets this a bit.

2015

haq 22.2k

con 21.7k

lib 3.1k

ukip 1.7k

so lets assume ukip goes to 800k thats con 22.5k ish this time round. can't see many lab leavers going con so that should be a clean enough figure

leaves rupa needing 400kish or about 13% of the lib votes to hold on

this is a lot more winnable than other high profile lab marginals further north (gedling, bolsover, tom watson seats etc) where the ukip vote is huge so the consolidation into con really puts them at risk

of course london, remain vote big and ukip vote comparatively low

its also why lab at 35% in polls now may beat milibands vote share but might not be matched in seat gains, even though the campaign has been a big hit

anyway could certainly make the case for rupa being favourite here"


and you can still get 5/2

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/ealing-central-and-acton/winning-party


tikay is on already, i am on, neil is on.

Ashcroft poll info that was posted on the politics thread....  gives this a 58% chance to labour.

https://dashboards.lordashcroftpolls.com/Storyboard/RHViewStoryBoard.aspx?RId=%C2%B2&RLId=%C2%B2&PId=%C2%B1%C2%B4%C2%BA%C2%B5%C2%B4&UId=%C2%B4%C2%B9%C2%B9%C2%B9%C2%BC&RpId=2

fwiw.... the tory candidate boycotted a hustings the other night, and is threatening legal action over Neil's Huq's leaflet. 

Feels like a flip...so 5/2 looks value.

ohh...Neil's non stop leafleting might be working.

5/4 best price now....as low as 8/13.

[junior91]

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

[exstream]

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

thanks for your input

[bergeroo]

I haven't had chance to watch much ladies tennis this week. Who is playing well that we can hop on?

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

[exstream]

I haven't had chance to watch much ladies tennis this week. Who is playing well that we can hop on?

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

Yes junior, please enlighten us all

[SuuPRlim]

Darts World Cup.
Finland +1.5 vs Wales at 13/8 - Boyles Paddy Fred 365

Mark Webster is in terrible form at the moment and the two finnish lads are solid players with some reasonable competitive experience. Gerwyn Price is one of the better form players but the doubles format really calls for 2 guys doing decent+. 1 on song and 1 struggling is trouble waiting to happen.

I like the outright at 3/1+ too but I think the +1.5 is nice.

[BigAdz]

I haven't had chance to watch much ladies tennis this week. Who is playing well that we can hop on?

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

Yes junior, please enlighten us all

Looks like she lost

6-4 in the final set........shocking!

[bergeroo]

Quarter is wide open, need to find someone to oppose Pliskova - she is too short on a surface that she doesn't like!

Was surprise Kasatkina won today after reading an interview with her talking about her injury, she made out she has hardly practiced...

Enjoying the tennis though this week. Have had some quality couch and TV time!

I haven't had chance to watch much ladies tennis this week. Who is playing well that we can hop on?

Kasatkina through to the third round in straight sets, so is Venus

murray, wawrinka playing now

Pavlyuchenkova playing later

Pavlyuchenkova absolutely shocking

Yes junior, please enlighten us all

Looks like she lost

6-4 in the final set........shocking!

[Jamier-Host]

Darts World Cup.
Finland +1.5 vs Wales at 13/8 - Boyles Paddy Fred 365

Mark Webster is in terrible form at the moment and the two finnish lads are solid players with some reasonable competitive experience. Gerwyn Price is one of the better form players but the doubles format really calls for 2 guys doing decent+. 1 on song and 1 struggling is trouble waiting to happen.

I like the outright at 3/1+ too but I think the +1.5 is nice.

GL. Fancied a punt tonight so followed you in here to cheer something on. Scotland result something of a surprise...!

[SuuPRlim]

I went for 5-0 Scotland. Whoops

[nuros]

Nice Dave, so close to the scoop! The bald Finns 141 checkout to get the handicap in was beautiful.

[SuuPRlim]

Nice Dave, so close to the scoop! The bald Finns 141 checkout to get the handicap in was beautiful.

Yeah that was excellent :-) what a boss.