Tips for Tikay

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

Tonight's superleague has Leeds hosting Leigh. Leigh don't score enough points to make this an interesting fixture, I envisage a Leeds win by 36-10 ish. Our 2 Leeds favourites, Moon and Parcell, are both priced too short in the anytime try scorer markets, but I like their odds in the 1st try scorer market. I wouldn't put anyone backing them with betfred, who offer 2 x the odds if the player scores a 2nd try in the match, but do have slightly lower odds for each player. We can get 12 to 1 on both selections with paddy power which is decent.

Suggest  £5 Moon @ 12-1
             £5 Parcell @ 12-1  Both with PP

[exstream]

Dd/hh not available on the Leeds game on betfred

[TightEnd]

Joel Moon Leeds v Leigh First Tryscorer
12/1
Total Stake: £5.00
Total Returns: £65.00


Matt Parcell Leeds v Leigh First Tryscorer
12/1
Total Stake: £5.00
Total Returns: £65.00

[arbboy]

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/most-seats

Amazing how much the fav/long shot bias works in politics they love laying a short one.  No one willing to go bigger than 13/2 labour even though you could easily go 7/1 or 15/2 and just have it back on the machine if you didn't want the money and make risk free cash as a firm.

Victor 1/8 tories now when you can lay 1/9 for 6 figures.

[winshoes]

Really looking forward to the Lions opener tomorrow morning.
I feel that bookmakers are over estimating the ability level of the Provincial Barbarians, and this will be the only cricket score of the tour.
This is a side made up of players not good enough to get into most Super Rugby sides who have been thrown together.
Had this game of been a midweek game half way through the tour, I think the Lions would of been 60 point plus favourites.
The Lions are expected to be rusty, but have selected a strong and relatively fresh side for the opener.
They will have trained together more over the past two weeks than the Barbarians, and will all be desperate to lay down a marker for test contention.
Teams:
Provincial Barbarians: L Laulala; S Vaka, I Finau, D Sweeney, S Reece, B Gatland, J Stratton, A Ross, S Anderson-Heather, O Jager, J Goodhue, K Mewett, J Tucker, L Boshier, M Dunshea.
Replacements: A Makalio, T Fahamokioa, M Renata, M Matich, P Rowe, R Judd, J Lowe, J Ngaluafe.
British and Irish Lions: S Hogg; A Watson, J Joseph, B Te'o, T Seymour; J Sexton, G Laidlaw; J Marler, R Best, K Sinckler, AW Jones, I Henderson, R Moriarty, S Warburton, T Faletau.
Replacements: J George, M Vunipola, T Furlong, G Kruis, J Tipuric, R Webb, O Farrell, E Daly.

Unsure of staking, but I would Recommend £33 @ 10/11, Lions - 34points.
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/new-zealand-barbarians-v-lions/handicaps

[TightEnd]

Really looking forward to the Lions opener tomorrow morning.
I feel that bookmakers are over estimating the ability level of the Provincial Barbarians, and this will be the only cricket score of the tour.
This is a side made up of players not good enough to get into most Super Rugby sides who have been thrown together.
Had this game of been a midweek game half way through the tour, I think the Lions would of been 60 point plus favourites.
The Lions are expected to be rusty, but have selected a strong and relatively fresh side for the opener.
They will have trained together more over the past two weeks than the Barbarians, and will all be desperate to lay down a marker for test contention.
Teams:
Provincial Barbarians: L Laulala; S Vaka, I Finau, D Sweeney, S Reece, B Gatland, J Stratton, A Ross, S Anderson-Heather, O Jager, J Goodhue, K Mewett, J Tucker, L Boshier, M Dunshea.
Replacements: A Makalio, T Fahamokioa, M Renata, M Matich, P Rowe, R Judd, J Lowe, J Ngaluafe.
British and Irish Lions: S Hogg; A Watson, J Joseph, B Te'o, T Seymour; J Sexton, G Laidlaw; J Marler, R Best, K Sinckler, AW Jones, I Henderson, R Moriarty, S Warburton, T Faletau.
Replacements: J George, M Vunipola, T Furlong, G Kruis, J Tipuric, R Webb, O Farrell, E Daly.

Unsure of staking, but I would Recommend £33 @ 10/11, Lions - 34points.
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/new-zealand-barbarians-v-lions/handicaps

yes but....

the weather has been atrocious. six hour monsoon overnight and still raining.

game in doubt it is said.

-34 in good weather? yes ok. on a padi field? not sure

[exstream]

roccat face g2 in eu lcs today
7/4 roccat
g2 have 3 subs playing
paddy power price out of line

[winshoes]

Really looking forward to the Lions opener tomorrow morning.
I feel that bookmakers are over estimating the ability level of the Provincial Barbarians, and this will be the only cricket score of the tour.
This is a side made up of players not good enough to get into most Super Rugby sides who have been thrown together.
Had this game of been a midweek game half way through the tour, I think the Lions would of been 60 point plus favourites.
The Lions are expected to be rusty, but have selected a strong and relatively fresh side for the opener.
They will have trained together more over the past two weeks than the Barbarians, and will all be desperate to lay down a marker for test contention.
Teams:
Provincial Barbarians: L Laulala; S Vaka, I Finau, D Sweeney, S Reece, B Gatland, J Stratton, A Ross, S Anderson-Heather, O Jager, J Goodhue, K Mewett, J Tucker, L Boshier, M Dunshea.
Replacements: A Makalio, T Fahamokioa, M Renata, M Matich, P Rowe, R Judd, J Lowe, J Ngaluafe.
British and Irish Lions: S Hogg; A Watson, J Joseph, B Te'o, T Seymour; J Sexton, G Laidlaw; J Marler, R Best, K Sinckler, AW Jones, I Henderson, R Moriarty, S Warburton, T Faletau.
Replacements: J George, M Vunipola, T Furlong, G Kruis, J Tipuric, R Webb, O Farrell, E Daly.

Unsure of staking, but I would Recommend £33 @ 10/11, Lions - 34points.
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/new-zealand-barbarians-v-lions/handicaps

yes but....

the weather has been atrocious. six hour monsoon overnight and still raining.

game in doubt it is said.

-34 in good weather? yes ok. on a padi field? not sure

All valid points, but just feel that the gulf in class is sufficient to take a chance on the weather.
Happy for you to leave it until we see how bad the conditions are in the morning, or leave altogether.

[exstream]

Of course that's the race Moore loses

[TightEnd]

Skybet 5 places on the derby. 4 or 5 also rans. Where should my pin stick? Weather, your idea needs to stay 12f please....

[winshoes]

Really looking forward to the Lions opener tomorrow morning.
I feel that bookmakers are over estimating the ability level of the Provincial Barbarians, and this will be the only cricket score of the tour.
This is a side made up of players not good enough to get into most Super Rugby sides who have been thrown together.
Had this game of been a midweek game half way through the tour, I think the Lions would of been 60 point plus favourites.
The Lions are expected to be rusty, but have selected a strong and relatively fresh side for the opener.
They will have trained together more over the past two weeks than the Barbarians, and will all be desperate to lay down a marker for test contention.
Teams:
Provincial Barbarians: L Laulala; S Vaka, I Finau, D Sweeney, S Reece, B Gatland, J Stratton, A Ross, S Anderson-Heather, O Jager, J Goodhue, K Mewett, J Tucker, L Boshier, M Dunshea.
Replacements: A Makalio, T Fahamokioa, M Renata, M Matich, P Rowe, R Judd, J Lowe, J Ngaluafe.
British and Irish Lions: S Hogg; A Watson, J Joseph, B Te'o, T Seymour; J Sexton, G Laidlaw; J Marler, R Best, K Sinckler, AW Jones, I Henderson, R Moriarty, S Warburton, T Faletau.
Replacements: J George, M Vunipola, T Furlong, G Kruis, J Tipuric, R Webb, O Farrell, E Daly.

Unsure of staking, but I would Recommend £33 @ 10/11, Lions - 34points.
https://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/new-zealand-barbarians-v-lions/handicaps

yes but....

the weather has been atrocious. six hour monsoon overnight and still raining.

game in doubt it is said.

-34 in good weather? yes ok. on a padi field? not sure

All valid points, but just feel that the gulf in class is sufficient to take a chance on the weather.
Happy for you to leave it until we see how bad the conditions are in the morning, or leave altogether.

Not sure if you are on in time to place, but weather and pitch both in good shape as of one hour ago.
https://twitter.com/lionsofficial/status/870856329463648257

[BigAdz]

Skybet 5 places on the derby. 4 or 5 also rans. Where should my pin stick? Weather, your idea needs to stay 12f please....

The two I like are Venice Beach, who has a beautiful stamina laden pedigree and ticks more of the trends boxes, I use, than the rest.

Also Rekindling, who ,although beat in the Dante, looked to be the one I would take out of the race.

14s and 28s respectively.

[TightEnd]

Skybet 5 places on the derby. 4 or 5 also rans. Where should my pin stick? Weather, your idea needs to stay 12f please....

The two I like are Venice Beach, who has a beautiful stamina laden pedigree and ticks more of the trends boxes, I use, than the rest.

Also Rekindling, who ,although beat in the Dante, looked to be the one I would take out of the race.

14s and 28s respectively.

ta on both.

obviously can't get the 5 places on the thread, and offline all day

but all ideas welcome for others

[PokerBroker]

BetFred are going 6/4 Laugh Out Loud - clean account can get £101 on. 

2:35 Epsom.

[PokerBroker]

BetFred are going 6/4 Laugh Out Loud - clean account can get £101 on. 

2:35 Epsom.

Won easy.  I'd the forecast as well and 2nd e/w.  Need to spin some of the winning in live casino or Fred will be closing me down.