Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

My uncle's horse Panda Boy is 3rd favourite for the Grand National so I'm not saying anything hugely interesting but he says "he's as right as he could be", if anyone fancied a bet.
It's a dream for him. He had a horse Doubleuagain that won at Cheltenham about 40 years ago. That ran in the Grand National, finished but didn't place. Winning the Grand National has always been a life long dream and to be so close is amazing.

good luck. Sorry in advance, I backed him in my pinstickers before i saw this

[tikay]

My uncle's horse Panda Boy is 3rd favourite for the Grand National so I'm not saying anything hugely interesting but he says "he's as right as he could be", if anyone fancied a bet.
It's a dream for him. He had a horse Doubleuagain that won at Cheltenham about 40 years ago. That ran in the Grand National, finished but didn't place. Winning the Grand National has always been a life long dream and to be so close is amazing.

That's gotta be well exciting.

VBOL, hope it runs well & gets home safely.

[Marky147]

My uncle's horse Panda Boy is 3rd favourite for the Grand National so I'm not saying anything hugely interesting but he says "he's as right as he could be", if anyone fancied a bet.
It's a dream for him. He had a horse Doubleuagain that won at Cheltenham about 40 years ago. That ran in the Grand National, finished but didn't place. Winning the Grand National has always been a life long dream and to be so close is amazing.

That's awesome 

Best of luck to the Panda!

[TheDazzler]

Ah well, Panda Boy didn't have the best of outings but he came home safe, he's young and he'll go again next year!

[The Camel]

They’ve lost Thomas Frank and all the back room staff. Replaced him with a rookie.

They’ve lost nearly half their playing squad and now it looks like Wissa is off too.

I think Leeds and Sunderland are going to be much more competitive than several other recently relegated clubs

My fiist bet on this thread for many years

£50 Brentford to be relegated in 25/26 7/2 widely available

Good luck!

[EssexPhil]

Exactly this.

Nothing is ever certain. But 7/2 is absolutely massive. Evens at best.

Lost an experienced Manager, and replaced him with someone with zero experience. They've sold their goalie, their midfield anchor, 1 of their 2 best forwards, and appear about to sell the other one.

Signed a Reserve GK, and Jordan Henderson.

[tikay]

Incredible. Fred is back. Thanks Keith.

Before I comment further, I have it in my mind that the nick for this thread was "Fred", but for the life of me, I can't remember why? Anyone care to jog my memory?

[tikay]

Proposed by Keith, endorsed by Phil, so under the "rules" of the thread, I guess I have to get on.

I must add the caveat that I'm at the age where I'm not madly enthusiastic about "long-term" bets, next May is a very long time away at my age, & the thought of passing away & leaving the winnings in a bookies account does not fill me with pleasure.

Anyway, we are on, & VBOL to all who follow us in.

Brentford

7/2
Relegation - English Premier League - Relegation 2025/26

Bet Reference O/0457483/0005367/F

Total Stake:
£50.00
Total Returns:
£225.00

[tikay]

We all made a small fortune thanks to this thread, & all those who gave us value bets, but my biggest memory of it was all the nasty arguments. I never understood the need for that. Debates are great, arguments & rudeness not so much. 

[tikay]

Exactly this.

Nothing is ever certain. But 7/2 is absolutely massive. Evens at best.

Lost an experienced Manager, and replaced him with someone with zero experience. They've sold their goalie, their midfield anchor, 1 of their 2 best forwards, and appear about to sell the other one.

Signed a Reserve GK, and Jordan Henderson.

Must confess, I did lol at the Jordan Henderson dig.

[tikay]

Long-term bets & age got me thinking.

If you were making a Market, what price would you give for a, say, 77 year old Gentleman in average health for his age still being around in....



1 year

2 years

5 years





If only we had a resident actuary....

[Enut]

I'm not boring enough to be an actuary but ONS gives average life expectancy of a 77 year old male as another 11 years (to 88). If you want to play around with your chances or reaching certain ages have a look here

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/healthandlifeexpectancies/articles/lifeexpectancycalculator/2019-06-07

Obviously this doesn't give credit for being fit and active (i.e. golfing 4x a week), or penalise for a diet of Fray Bentos pies.

[tikay]

Wow, that's a pleasant surprise, though maybe I have to adjust my cash flow projections now and be a little more careful with my spending.

By way of an introduction, Enut, aka Paul, is a special friend from Next Door and by profession is an IFA so probably knows what he is talking about.

[tikay]

As to EssexPhil, another migrant from Next-Door and claims to know a great deal about football, but in the ultimate contradiction is a Spurs fan, lol.

[EssexPhil]

Football is tribal. You pick your tribe. And stick with it.

Unless you're a Chelsea fan

Jordan Henderson has been under-rated for much of his career. He is/was a Nobby Stiles. One of those players who didn't catch the eye, but made his team-mates better. The water carrier, if you like. Every team needs them.

But he is now 35. Played over 600 Senior games over 17 years. The reason I say that is that some players come to the game late and can still play at 35-Ian Wright, Jamie Vardy etc.

Could he have done a job at, say, Sunderland (his first club), who need experience and nous? Probably. But Brentford in 2025 don't lack experience. They lack flair, and goals.