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Author Topic: The Cheltenham 2012 Thread  (Read 82323 times)
Biddy 62
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« Reply #15 on: January 28, 2012, 06:20:14 PM »

Erm do i get a mention for Kid cassidy, thats all.
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claypole
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« Reply #16 on: January 28, 2012, 06:36:52 PM »

25/1 Midnight Chase ew for the Gold Cup with Ladbrokes (nr no bet)

Loves Cheltenham, game as the come, just produced his best ever run.

Got to be some slight niggling doubts about the top 2 in the market.

Win only it's a good bet, each way, with the race very likely to cut up to just a handful of runners, it's fantastic.

He'll be 12/1 on the day of the race.

Hes 14/1 with Stan James - I have been forced to open the Cheltenham wallet now as its the Camel innit and he did run a blinder today - £40ew at 25/1 invested
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mickyp
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« Reply #17 on: January 28, 2012, 08:18:25 PM »

Hurricanefly out tomorrow, currently 15/8 for the champion hurdle. A weak race this year, maybe not any value now but hard to find anything to oppose him. Any each way thoughts on the race.
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edgascoigne
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« Reply #18 on: January 31, 2012, 03:34:54 PM »

I currently have the following...


Albert Bartlett
Sea of Thunder 1pt ew @ 20s -- was going like a train when falling at the last over C&D in December, with the subsequent 1st and 2nd both having won since. Only 5th in reappearance at Leopardstown but not sure if the ground or the trip really to liking that day - put in a clear round of jumping and was eased up well before the line. C&D form counts for a lot imo, and with Boston Bob and Fingal Bay likely headed to other races would expect this to shorten up to around the 12/1 mark.
 
Triumph Hurdle
Dildar 2pt Win @ 12s -- Punted this (like I'm sure many others) in advance of today's race at Taunton - noises from the yard and in particular Dan Skelton very bullish indeed. Would need to show a lot of improvement on today's run to even make the frame at the festival, but I'm holding onto the hope that he'll come on for the run and his jumping will be sharper in the future (absolute must for the Triumph). On the flat he ran to a few lengths of Pour Moi, so he's not short of a turn of foot. Ruby seemed positive about the horse after today's ride.
 
Supreme
Darlan 1pt ew @ 20s -- Nicked the 20s from Billy Hills in the minutes proceeding his oh-so-easy win over the previously highly regarded Jump City. The horse is four from four, and though he might not have met stiff competition yet I feel he has a lot more in the tank than we've seen - certainly the nature of his win last out would suggest so. Price movements will be largely dependent on if/when he runs in the next couple of weeks. Has an entry at Newbury on 11th Feb where he'd be running against Zarkandar which would be an interesting yardstick, though believe Henderson thinks he's been 3lb overdone in the weights by the handicapper so might not run him there.  
 
Ryanair
Medermit 1pt ew @ 20s -- Alan King's seem to be going well at the moment, and this horse has plenty of experience round Cheltenham. I saw him get done by Quantitativeeasing in the big December handicap. Let's not forget he had 11-5 on his back that day and beat Calgary Bay (10-7) about 12 lengths...Since then Calgary Bay is 2/2.
 
Gold Cup
Grands Crus 1pt ew @ (NRNB) -- I love the horse to bits, and part of me hopes he doesn't yet go for the Gold Cup. This said, more than happy to be on him NRNB. He clocked a time c3secs quicker than Kauto over the same distance and fences at Kempton on Boxing Day, without being overly extended. Just think he has a massive engine and jumps nicely. Very classy horse. Proven at Cheltenham and will win whatever race he runs in imo.
« Last Edit: January 31, 2012, 03:36:33 PM by edgascoigne » Logged

Allez!!
FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #19 on: January 31, 2012, 04:27:50 PM »

Great post sir...Ill be having a go on these

thanks for the heads up
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Biddy 62
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« Reply #20 on: January 31, 2012, 04:42:32 PM »

Nice write up Ed, never knew about Grand crus's time, no wonder he's only 8's
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ACE2M
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« Reply #21 on: February 03, 2012, 02:23:11 PM »

Hills have 33/1 on all 4 champion races being won by the current champions at Chelters.

Big Bucks for World Hurdle
Hurricane Fly for Champion Hurdle
Sizing Europe for Champion Chase
Long Run for Gold Cup


worth a punt?
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sovietsong
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« Reply #22 on: February 04, 2012, 09:19:07 PM »

Anymore ante post bets the shrewdies on here can tip up?

Want to get some more bets on ASAP, thread seems to have slowed a touch!!
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Horneris
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« Reply #23 on: February 05, 2012, 01:58:43 AM »

The prices are shit so far, think the bookies are wary because trainers seem to be keeping a lot up their sleeve this year.
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redarmi
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« Reply #24 on: February 05, 2012, 02:24:08 AM »

Hills have 33/1 on all 4 champion races being won by the current champions at Chelters.

Big Bucks for World Hurdle
Hurricane Fly for Champion Hurdle
Sizing Europe for Champion Chase
Long Run for Gold Cup
worth a punt?

An acca at best current oddschecker prices is 30/1 so it really depends if you fancy them or not.....not much value in my book in those individual prices especially this far out when something may happen to one or more fo them.  I assume it isn't NR = no bet
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Horneris
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« Reply #25 on: February 05, 2012, 02:26:57 AM »

Hills have 33/1 on all 4 champion races being won by the current champions at Chelters.

Big Bucks for World Hurdle
Hurricane Fly for Champion Hurdle
Sizing Europe for Champion Chase
Long Run for Gold Cup
worth a punt?

An acca at best current oddschecker prices is 30/1 so it really depends if you fancy them or not.....not much value in my book in those individual prices especially this far out when something may happen to one or more fo them.  I assume it isn't NR = no bet

It seems a fair price but it was 66/1 before Hurricane Fly's run last week (in which he was 4/5). I wish I had some 66s now.
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action man
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« Reply #26 on: February 05, 2012, 02:59:00 AM »

really think grandouet can lay it down to the fly, might not win but cannot see anything else giving it as much of a race.
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The Camel
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« Reply #27 on: February 05, 2012, 11:05:49 AM »

Looks like there's some great eac way thievery to be had inthe ante post market.

My offering:

Each Way Lucky 15 with betfred

Binocular 10/1 Champion Hurdle
Voler La Vedette 4/1 Mares Hurdle
Finians Rainbow 6/1 Champion Chase
Midnight Chase 16/1 Gold Cup

Other possibilities: Peddlars Cross in the Arkle or Dynaste in World Hurdle
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mondatoo
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« Reply #28 on: February 06, 2012, 04:11:12 PM »

Looks like there's some great eac way thievery to be had inthe ante post market.

My offering:

Each Way Lucky 15 with betfred

Binocular 10/1 Champion Hurdle
Voler La Vedette 4/1 Mares Hurdle
Finians Rainbow 6/1 Champion Chase
Midnight Chase 16/1 Gold Cup

Other possibilities: Peddlars Cross in the Arkle or Dynaste in World Hurdle

Which option is best here plz ? Dynaste in WH, 12/1 e/w on fred, 3.5 tbp on betfair or w/o big bucks 6.4 ? I was thinking since Big Bucks is nailed on it's better to back him in the tbp market than e/w ?

Never done a Lucky 15 before lol, have put those 4 selections in, £1 lucky 15 ew costs £30 and returns £9473.88 ? Is that correct ? Obv I know we don't expect all four to win and are looking to bink places. Have I worked it out right that if all four just placed I'd get just under £200 back ?
« Last Edit: February 06, 2012, 04:23:52 PM by mondatoo » Logged
bobby1
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« Reply #29 on: February 06, 2012, 05:36:57 PM »

Hi Brent, Do you still keep in touch with Shinners?
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