Some Early Thoughts on the Tuesday...
Supreme. I've got
Galileo's Choice @ 14s which has been a long term fancy of my own, backed
Midnight Game @ 16s mainly due to vibes coming from Paul Jones/Segal. Both should improve for the better ground over here and GC has a whole lot of flat speed having won a group 3 in September.
I've also heard that
Tetlami has a ridiculous amount of talent but they can't get him to put it into practice without an absurd amount of hard work. Andrew Tinkler said he had 10 times more ability than he has shown so far.
In the
Arkle I keep backing Blackstiarmountain from prices ranging from 42 to 65 on betfair although I've forgotten why. I do think it could run a good race tho if the early ground is good underfoot and the horse shows its absolute best but would obviously need a very poor showing from the principles. Could be more of a place play on the day if everything is right.
Champion Hurdle. Hurricane Fly is the nap of the festival even allowing for Quevega. Binocular will lack the pace for this race nowadays and prefers softer ground than it should get, Zarkandar is now on antibiotics having come out of Newbury spluttering so that can’t be ideal for his chances.
I backed
Oscars Well EW @ 20s a long time ago but I'm not too keen. I like to think my EW bets have a chance of winning but theres no reason he can get within 5 lengths of The Fly.
Rock on Ruby interests me @ 15/2 EW in the w/o The Fly market, as he loves the track and should have beaten Binocular at Kempton. Just the worry that the trip could be on the sharp side. The price was 9/1 a couple of weeks back but I wanted to wait to hear what Nicholls had to say and about riding plans. Now I will miss the price again because I want to wait to see which of the Irish protaganists will line up in this race before deciding whether its a bet or not. So I won't end up being on anyway in all probability.
Some gutting news yesterday in that Fists of Fury which I backed for the NH Hunt Chase @ 14s before seeing it come into 8/1 suffered a tendon injury on the gallops and will miss the festival.
