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Author Topic: Prop Bet  (Read 12941 times)
Dubai
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« on: February 20, 2012, 04:42:22 PM »

What price would I be to successfully summit Everest by June 2016, with zero climbing experience at moment and being still unfit, overweight and lacking any of the qualities generally needed

What price would I be? And what price would you lay?

Hypothetical of course
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TheChipPrince
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« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2012, 04:46:13 PM »

Probably dependant on 100's of things, but main one how much £££ you have to throw at backroom/support team, equipment, trainings expeditions I would guess

fk knows Cheesy
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Ironside
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« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2012, 04:49:58 PM »

your age would be a factor and your current health status
plus your mental stat like are you stupid enough to take a risk on conditions close to the top to win the bet
when it could put your life in danger


for differerent people i would want different odds
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The Camel
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2012, 04:54:48 PM »

100/1
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Dubai
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« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2012, 04:55:44 PM »

Well I'm 29, wouldn't take stupid risks, would obey turnaround times etc- but would be willing to pay for best team, equipment, oxygen and Sherpas. It's only hypothetical at moment, I just disagree with price I was offered by someone
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Dubai
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« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2012, 05:05:42 PM »

100s was the price I got offered. I think the true price is either below 5-1 or bigger than 1,000,000-1

Basically if you dedicate 4 years you should do it. I was arguing that a 22-25 year old single overweight poker player would be better off having 20k on themselves to win 2m climbing Everest than bothering playing poker- probably could make a documentary from it and have all expenses covered. The £2m climb.
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The Camel
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« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2012, 05:10:00 PM »

I think a million is probably the price.

If you had said Kilimanjaro, then I would think 5/1 would be fair. Basically you would be taking 5/1 to get fit in 3 years, pretty difficult but doable.

Everest is as near to impossible as can be.

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Dubai
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« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2012, 05:13:39 PM »

If I was single and had 4 years I'd snap take 100s

I'd take Kilimanjaro with a weeks training
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The Camel
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« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2012, 05:17:39 PM »

If I was single and had 4 years I'd snap take 100s

I'd take Kilimanjaro with a weeks training

If you are truly unfit, then you are never 5/1 with a weeks training.

I know 4 or 5 people that have done it, and I consider them super fit and they found it tough.

Suppose it depends on your definition of fit.
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craigbetts
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« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2012, 05:20:52 PM »

IMO this is a mutli bet in preparation, logistics, team, equipment, fitness and then the last leg the climb itself. I would hazard a guess at the climb being 20-30% of the overall mission. if you put the hard work in before you get to base camp then it's highly likely you will give the climb everything you have, though there are still a number of factors that could impact on the successful climb. If I was pricing it up, I would go 25/1 as if you have the desire and determination then the sky high odds fall by the wayside.
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Graham C
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« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2012, 05:26:55 PM »

If I was single and had 4 years I'd snap take 100s

I'd take Kilimanjaro with a weeks training

If you are truly unfit, then you are never 5/1 with a weeks training.

I know 4 or 5 people that have done it, and I consider them super fit and they found it tough.

Suppose it depends on your definition of fit.

Didn't Chris moyles climb it for comic relief a few years ago?
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« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2012, 05:29:00 PM »

If I was single and had 4 years I'd snap take 100s

I'd take Kilimanjaro with a weeks training

If you are truly unfit, then you are never 5/1 with a weeks training.

I know 4 or 5 people that have done it, and I consider them super fit and they found it tough.

Suppose it depends on your definition of fit.

Didn't Chris moyles climb it for comic relief a few years ago?

With the kind of support he'd have been getting it would have been harder to fail, surely?
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gatso
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« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2012, 05:33:53 PM »

I think a million is probably the price.

If you had said Kilimanjaro, then I would think 5/1 would be fair. Basically you would be taking 5/1 to get fit in 3 years, pretty difficult but doable.

Everest is as near to impossible as can be.



5/1 is ridic wrong for kilamanjaro, it's a very difficult tourist trek but most people could manage it and they certainly wouldn't need anywhere near 3 years prep

everest is a completely different beast
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Dubai
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2012, 05:37:12 PM »

Yeah Kili requires zero technical ability. Everest requires previous experience preferably at 8000ms+~ which means a previous excursion to one of the other 13 8000m mountains
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pokerfan
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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2012, 05:37:41 PM »

Killi is just a walk.

What price couldn't you say no to Dave ?
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