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Ironside
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2012, 05:38:59 PM » |
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I think a million is probably the price.
If you had said Kilimanjaro, then I would think 5/1 would be fair. Basically you would be taking 5/1 to get fit in 3 years, pretty difficult but doable.
Everest is as near to impossible as can be.
5/1 is ridic wrong for kilamanjaro, it's a very difficult tourist trek but most people could manage it and they certainly wouldn't need anywhere near 3 years prep everest is a completely different beast he is only after a weeks prep though |
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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hatthehole
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« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2012, 05:39:28 PM » |
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book max bet ->spread rumours of your extensive training program -> negotiate buyout -> profit.
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The Camel
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« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2012, 05:40:15 PM » |
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Only 3000 odd people have climbed Everest, I would have guessed far more.
If someone honestly had zero climbing experince at the age of 29, I think 100/1 is very short.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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Dubai
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« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2012, 05:40:28 PM » |
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If the bet was big enough I'd take evens Kili within a year. Wouldn't do Everest at this stage of my life but if was younger and had nothing else to do I would 100% have 20k@100s
As for weeks thing probably was slightly flippant but would take 5-1 with months prep for sure
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gatso
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« Reply #19 on: February 20, 2012, 05:41:12 PM » |
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basically as I understand kilamanjaro once you've done the physical training which may not be a huge amount depending on your base fitness level it's pretty much a flip whether you make it to the top or not and it generally depends on whether you get hit by altitude sickness or not. a large % fail because of this because the relative ease of the climb means you go way too quick to acclimatise properly
probs about 10k per year reach the top
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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The Camel
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« Reply #20 on: February 20, 2012, 05:41:38 PM » |
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book max bet ->spread rumours of your extensive training program -> negotiate buyout -> profit.
How is the marathon running prop bet going? |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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Dubai
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« Reply #21 on: February 20, 2012, 05:42:20 PM » |
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Only 3000 odd people have climbed Everest, I would have guessed far more.
If someone honestly had zero climbing experince at the age of 29, I think 100/1 is very short.
Most people can't afford to climb Everest. That's the hinderance- if u wanna thrown 100k at it you could nigh on get short roped to the top. Hence the debate about overcrowding and inexperience in the 1996 Everest disaster |
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Dubai
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« Reply #22 on: February 20, 2012, 05:44:22 PM » |
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basically as I understand kilamanjaro once you've done the physical training which may not be a huge amount depending on your base fitness level it's pretty much a flip whether you make it to the top or not and it generally depends on whether you get hit by altitude sickness or not. a large % fail because of this because the relative ease of the climb means you go way too quick to acclimatise properly
probs about 10k per year reach the top
As long as u climb high and sleep low u can nearly eliminate any chance of altitude sickness in a 10 day programme to summit Kili. Most expensive guide groups have a 95-98% summit success rate People fail when they don't have 10 days to spare That's why it takes 30 days or so to climb Everest. Aclimitising at different base camps |
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Horneris
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« Reply #23 on: February 20, 2012, 05:47:45 PM » |
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Happy to take 3/1 ON for Snowdon.
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gatso
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« Reply #24 on: February 20, 2012, 05:51:08 PM » |
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As long as u climb high and sleep low u can nearly eliminate any chance of altitude sickness in a 10 day programme to summit Kili. Most expensive guide groups have a 95-98% summit success rate
in that case I'd take evens to go tomorrow I'd want a pretty big price for everest as people tend to die |
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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AndrewT
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« Reply #25 on: February 20, 2012, 05:53:54 PM » |
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That blonde lass off Blue Peter is probably reading this thread weeping at all the sick bets she could have landed.
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Dubai
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« Reply #26 on: February 20, 2012, 05:55:55 PM » |
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U would want a higher price K2 or Annapurna in that case
Have a look at their death rates compared to Everest... Crazy high and obviously ridiculously harder to climb. If you're interested in this stuff Ed Viesteurs book "No shortcuts to the top" is real good
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« Last Edit: February 20, 2012, 05:57:42 PM by Dubai »
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gatso
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« Reply #27 on: February 20, 2012, 06:02:11 PM » |
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mortality rate on everest between 1921 and 2006 was only 1.3%, much lower than I would've thought actually
and most deaths happen on the way down. would you still get paid out on the prop if that happened or does there have to be a safe return to base camp?
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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Dubai
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« Reply #28 on: February 20, 2012, 06:03:05 PM » |
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Summit counts as win. Have a look at Annapurna stats  |
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outragous76
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« Reply #29 on: February 20, 2012, 06:04:05 PM » |
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book max bet ->spread rumours of your extensive training program -> negotiate buyout -> profit.
Incred! VwP ;0) |
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
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