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TightEnd
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« Reply #555 on: July 01, 2013, 05:07:57 PM » |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Tonji
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« Reply #556 on: July 01, 2013, 06:34:55 PM » |
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Just been looking at it Tighty. I took Garmin at opening price of 4/1. Vaughters, the manager expects a top result & have trained on the course. All seemed to avoid most of the crashes & finished strongly today without having to pull at the head of the peloton. I have them as favourites over OPQS who have some concerns over Tony Martin, although I notice he finished in the main bunch so may be he'll be close to 100%. Sky have injury issues with Thomas & Stannard, their main engines. Movistar were wrongly priced at 30/1, decent EW chance. But now 10/1. Value in BMC @ 20/1 with PP. Good engines in Schar & Quinziato. 3rd at Tirreno TTT. No injury worries as far as I know. |
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Tonji
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« Reply #557 on: July 01, 2013, 10:31:20 PM » |
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vegaslover
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« Reply #558 on: July 01, 2013, 11:13:15 PM » |
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Been away with the family so only caught the highlights on the news.
I thought there may be plenty of blood spilt, but was expecting it in the bunch sprints. Sagan massive fav for green imo.
Froome obv looking comfortable but Stannard & Thomas appear wrecked. Sod doing anything with a broken pelvis, let alone cycling up mountains
Exciting TdF already
Cracking call with Gerrans Tonji
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Tonji
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« Reply #559 on: July 02, 2013, 11:48:23 PM » |
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Stage 5. Cavendish is not at 100% & Sagan looks to be off his finishing sharpness, not helped by a lack of team support in the finishes. That leaves Greipel as favourite. But opportunities for others... OGE & the sprinters teams should be pulling on the front to make this a bunch finish. But the final lumpy climbs & fast decent do give opportunities for a late break. Sojasun have been active so perhaps one of their riders. For now I've gone, out of leftfield, Samuel Dumoulin (AG2R) EW at 80/1. A punchy rider on the climbs & in the mix for the sprints. |
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Tonji
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« Reply #560 on: July 03, 2013, 12:20:34 AM » |
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Alexander Kristoff top 3 @ 7/1 betfair good value.
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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #561 on: July 03, 2013, 01:44:05 AM » |
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Can't help but think that Marcel Kittel @ 16/1 e/w (4 places paid) with Coral is great value.
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Tonji
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« Reply #562 on: July 03, 2013, 09:42:20 AM » |
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Can't help but think that Marcel Kittel @ 16/1 e/w (4 places paid) with Coral is great value.
I tend to think that Kittel, although very fast, but too big and might find the final climbs too much and maybe the team will go with John Degenkolb. |
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Tonji
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« Reply #563 on: July 03, 2013, 10:50:48 AM » |
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Another thought for today, but looking at the overall. After yesterdays disappointing TTT from Garmin, today looks like a stage to catch Sky with surprise attacks. OGE will have to defend yellow, allowing Sky & the other GC teams any easy day. Occurs to me that if Garmin want to create chaos, Hesjedal, if feeling good could liven todays stage somewhat.
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Tonji
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« Reply #564 on: July 03, 2013, 09:26:33 PM » |
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Kristoff was 6th, but got boxed in the final 500m, not a bad effort having to jump wheels. Dumoulin was a brave 11th  |
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Tonji
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« Reply #565 on: July 03, 2013, 09:47:33 PM » |
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A pure sprinters stage, all the big boys should make it to the final. Only worry is crosswinds early in the stage to break up the peloton. http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/tour-de-france/tour-de-france-stage-6-[aix-en-provence-montpellier-176km]/winner Nothing looks attractive to go against Cavendish. Kristoff likely to struggle with the big sprinters teams lining out the trains. Maybe a day for Kittel to upset? |
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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #566 on: July 04, 2013, 12:28:03 AM » |
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If he doesn't crash again.  |
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Tonji
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« Reply #567 on: July 04, 2013, 12:28:59 AM » |
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Tonji
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« Reply #568 on: July 04, 2013, 12:30:42 AM » |
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If he doesn't crash again. Unfortunate, I think he can compete with Cav if his train works perfectly. |
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Tonji
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« Reply #569 on: July 04, 2013, 12:18:06 PM » |
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No bets today, yet....
Looks like the wind is blowing, big splits possible in the peloton if OPQS drill it.
Betfair & in play betting could get interesting.
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