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Poker Hand Analysis
A festival decision for all your chips
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Topic: A festival decision for all your chips (Read 6140 times)
TightEnd
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Posts: I am a geek!!
A festival decision for all your chips
«
on:
January 20, 2006, 05:14:03 AM »
Blinds are 400-800
you have 14,700
last hand before the second break, 60 plaqyers left, way away from the money...average chips is 18k ish
you look down at
UTG
You put in a standard raise to 2500
UTG+1, Irish, in a lot of pots, seems weakish but has recently moved to table, goes all in for 7,200
Aces Trumper on the button, with 25,000 chips, asks you for a count and bets 12,200...the exact count you have given him
Three times you have re-raised Aces Trumpers standard raises, he has passed twice and you won a race the orignial time when short stacked
Your tournament is on the line
Pass or call?
«
Last Edit: January 20, 2006, 02:06:10 PM by TightEnd
»
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mystery721
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #1 on:
January 20, 2006, 05:20:47 AM »
pass no hesitation
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Royal Flush
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Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #2 on:
January 20, 2006, 06:09:46 AM »
Quote from: mystery721 on January 20, 2006, 05:20:47 AM
pass no hesitation
I wish i was as good as you.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
thetank
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #3 on:
January 20, 2006, 06:12:17 AM »
Against Simon Trumper......I call
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Royal Flush
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #4 on:
January 20, 2006, 06:14:01 AM »
Quote from: thetank on January 20, 2006, 06:12:17 AM
Against Simon Trumper......I call
Same
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
Bazzaboy
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #5 on:
January 20, 2006, 06:17:11 AM »
Quote from: mystery721 on January 20, 2006, 05:20:47 AM
pass no hesitation
Going by your previous posts I imagine you would have passed without Trumpers intervention
I call here.
«
Last Edit: January 20, 2006, 06:18:46 AM by Bazzaboy
»
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Nem
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #6 on:
January 20, 2006, 06:19:40 AM »
I call as well.
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12barblues
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #7 on:
January 20, 2006, 07:15:58 AM »
I'm hesitating for a good think here. There are a number of differences between this hand and the 'Mystery' QQ problem to my mind:
1. The short stack is all in so there is no folding equity against him;
2. The short stack is about half of your stack rather than a quarter, i.e. can do more damage;
3. The short stack had 9 x BB with the blinds coming up, so he needs to make a move soon, but is not yet desperate. He must have some sort of a hand to come over the top of your raise, but not necessarily a monster;
4. Miles away from the money, so there is no bubble situation for the big stack to exploit. That said, I assume Mr. T is a larcenous so and so and could well be at it to a degree. So he must also have a hand to take on the short stack, but not necessarily a monster if he thinks he can make you fold;
5. Why did Mr T make such a performance of targeting the precise amount of your stack when he must have known he out-chipped you? I have no idea, except as a reaction to you bullying him earlier. Ignore it.
Overall, I think both opponents have hand ranges wide enough for a reluctant call, but it's a damn close run thing.
In theory, I ask my butler to bring my spare pair of brown trousers and call. In practice, I am pretty sure I'd bottle it and waffle on afterwards about survival and changing chip values, while Mr T proceeded to rob me blind for the rest of the tournament.
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Dubai
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #8 on:
January 20, 2006, 07:49:16 AM »
Trumper is usually a rock.
I call usually but pass here.
«
Last Edit: January 20, 2006, 07:54:25 AM by Dubai
»
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SupaMonkey
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Allin!
Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #9 on:
January 20, 2006, 10:42:48 AM »
Maybe i'm weak but i think i would fold here (and i don't know simon trumper). I put him on a highish pocket pair. In fact i thought that he may have queens but given that you have that then i really couldn't be sure. He has shown a lot of strength by reraising the short stack, isn't he saying 'i can take him out'.
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SKIPPYSKIP
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He who DARES, WINS !!!!!!!!!!
Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #10 on:
January 20, 2006, 11:04:15 AM »
This saying Simon has a hand that will be beaten him and probably beating you as well I would take the loss and Fold.
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ifm
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #11 on:
January 20, 2006, 11:38:19 AM »
I would really only call if i put them both on the same or similar hand (AX), Mr Trumper likes to "read" players, did you gasp and say "oh no" when the shortstack moved allin?
I would consider it a "race" and to be honest my frame of mind at the time would make the decision for me, do i wanna gamble?
I think you are ahead but to 2 overcards.
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yt
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #12 on:
January 20, 2006, 12:03:44 PM »
Call. 12barblues has done a great job summing it all up as well. In live tourneys I can fold Jacks but struggle to let go of those pretty pretty Ladies.
Nearer the bubble I might fold. but where you are in the tourney wouldn't it be great to take trumpers chips and romp home?
I'm looking forward to finding out what happened Can I guess that you folded and trumper had to show something like 67s?
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Nem
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #13 on:
January 20, 2006, 12:05:10 PM »
I put trumper on
But I could be wrong...
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TightEnd
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Re: A festival decision for all your chips
«
Reply #14 on:
January 20, 2006, 01:23:27 PM »
I do not think I betrayed anything when the short stack moved in, as I was clearly going to be calling him. However Simon may have picked up something, who knows
That said I noticed all night Trupmer was looking for tells. On a tough call he had to make he was staring at the other player's neck (presumably looking for a racing pulse) on and off for several minutes
The question I had in my mind was, is this a squeeze play? has he bet the exact amount of my stack to attempt to get me to pass because he has a hand that probably beats the short stack but not me?
I thought a while......
I think it was a call because he was banking on me passing anything bar AA and KK due to the performance over the chip count.........
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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