I know it seems like it doesn't run true with what people think of me; trying to win every hand; blowing up with any gutty n bkdrs etc...
but to me....
his range is - AA/ JJ/ oh and the other AA.
Esp when he looks stat wise to be a reg, think he was multi-tabling and we look like we have a BS draw or exactly 44.... I'd really hate JJ in this spot.
But as we all know, I'm a lunatic.
What stats/hands do you have on him? Any history?
Struggle to think his range is that small here
its zoom so little history if any that is relevant. Pretty standard 19/17/5 pre I think but that doesn't tell me his specific utg range open.
What else does he do this with? 100bb were arrin. But 200bb he has chosen to flat flop for this reason clearly...
It doesn't make sense to me to raise anything here... funny part is I had this exact spot reversed yesterday.
I played my AA from his spot identically except that I made my turn raise smaller. The consensus in our chat group was that my 'minraise turn + overbet river' was the only line a reg might fold a set.
Now shoe is on the other foot and I just think he has us crushed so often.
If he 3bt flop then we wouldve been going with the hand - basically because there are too many combo draws and AK hero's to get away with it.
His line - bet/call, raise to get stacks in.....
Is not a weak one. And if he knows its 'me' then maybe he is a genius with 56cc.... but more likely... he has AA.