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| | |-+  The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged
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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2191317 times)
JohnCharver
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« Reply #9660 on: June 09, 2017, 12:13:17 AM »

thornberry is horrific.
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arbboy
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« Reply #9661 on: June 09, 2017, 12:16:07 AM »

bbc webpage is saying its 99% certain that Angus Robertson leader of SNP in westminster has lost to the tories

I like him.  I think Westminster would be weaker without him.

Same applies to Nick Clegg.

Agree on both.  Both would be big misses for me. 
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PokerBroker
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« Reply #9662 on: June 09, 2017, 12:21:44 AM »

Angus Robertson is a capable politician, he is not my cuppa, he's definitely right of centre. 

SNP poured absolutely everything into him retaining his seat. 
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arbboy
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« Reply #9663 on: June 09, 2017, 12:29:08 AM »

UKIP literally fell off a cliff.
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Doobs
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« Reply #9664 on: June 09, 2017, 12:29:24 AM »

Getting this in early.  If that exit poll is only 1% out it could make a huge difference to the end result.   It is going to be fractions of 1 per cent between where we are and a tory majority.  

Taking this further, Labour must be a bet at 21/22 most seats.   Must be too big, the Tories only need to lose another 25 seats to them from here?

I've had a bet anyway.

Increase in majority in Newcastle. 

Absolutely sure this is a good bet even if the price has moved a bit.

Now into 10.5/11.  Just traded some out, as I am not sure anything has really changed since I put it up.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
buffyslayer1
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« Reply #9665 on: June 09, 2017, 12:30:08 AM »

was listening to Gardiner on c4. I swear I heard a female voice telling him what to say for the 1st 30 seconds.

Anybody else catch that or was I hearing things?
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« Reply #9666 on: June 09, 2017, 12:30:56 AM »

Overall majority a flip on betfair right now

no overall control now 1.59/1.6! May can't survive that?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
arbboy
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« Reply #9667 on: June 09, 2017, 12:34:37 AM »

Overall majority a flip on betfair right now

no overall control now 1.59/1.6! May can't survive that?

She can't survive even if she stands still with a small majority surely never mind no overall control?
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arbboy
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« Reply #9668 on: June 09, 2017, 12:37:32 AM »

I am on UKIP no seats at 2/5 and 1/3.  Which seats can they possibly win apart from Nuttall's in Skegness?  Are there are other possibles at all?
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #9669 on: June 09, 2017, 12:46:38 AM »

bbc webpage is saying its 99% certain that Angus Robertson leader of SNP in westminster has lost to the tories

I like him.  I think Westminster would be weaker without him.

Same applies to Nick Clegg.

Agree on both.  Both would be big misses for me. 

Definitely amongst the best, both of them.
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #9670 on: June 09, 2017, 12:48:14 AM »

I am on UKIP no seats at 2/5 and 1/3.  Which seats can they possibly win apart from Nuttall's in Skegness?  Are there are other possibles at all?

Thurrock, you'll be OK though.
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arbboy
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« Reply #9671 on: June 09, 2017, 12:53:08 AM »

Camel gets his home seat weighed in red in Darlo.  That's moved the prices a fair bit.
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PokerBroker
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« Reply #9672 on: June 09, 2017, 12:54:31 AM »

More rumours circulating that Clegg is a gonner.

Should defo be on Brexit negotiating team.

SNP saying anything over 40 is going to be a very good night.  

Scottish Unionists claiming Labour vote is for the Union are well wide of mark - its for Corbyn and Socialism.  
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« Reply #9673 on: June 09, 2017, 12:57:21 AM »

Think we can say this is not going to be landslide now and the exit poll is going to be in the right ballpark.
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« Reply #9674 on: June 09, 2017, 01:00:42 AM »

Blairites coming out the wood work should be hung, drawn and quartered. #SCABS
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