Tinker on.

[hhyftrftdr]

Leicester's relegation odds next season against their title odds? Regardless of if they win it this year or not. Relegation still be shorter?

Was talking about it on the train home on Saturday, this betting talk has reminded me of said conversation.

[TightEnd]

Leicester's relegation odds next season against their title odds? Regardless of if they win it this year or not. Relegation still be shorter?

Was talking about it on the train home on Saturday, this betting talk has reminded me of said conversation.

lower, definitely

should be too, likely to have a lot more games and as we saw with hull, swansea and others european football on the smaller squads is a big drag

[TightEnd]

Leicester City fan cashes out £72k on Premier League bet

this was before the watford win, was worth £91,000 a few hours later....

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-coventry-warwickshire-35747633

Is this the first time this has been mentioned?

At the very least, there was some missed golden PR to snaffle here, surely?

an actuary at Pinnacle worked out that the "fair value" of the cash out at the time was £117,000

i suppose its a bit like deal or no deal, once you get to "life changing money" it becomes less about EV and more about securing a return for most people, so the "banker" can adjust the offer accordingly

[TightEnd]

Leicester fans celebrate goal so loudly it was picked up as a quake on the Richter scale

http://thesun.uk/6012BeV9Y 

[TightEnd]

and another

William Hill ‏@sharpeangle

Leicester fan who bet £20ew at 2500/1 on them a week after first game & stood to collect £66,706.67 has cashed in his bet for £29,788

real ev over £40k!

[Karabiner]

I can't find any excuse for cashing out an EW bet with the place virtually assured.

[arbboy]

Only two places Ralph ante post on EPL e/w bets.  Leics only a 1/2 shot to finish in the top 2 currently.  EV of the above bet at 1/3 1,2 place terms is roughly £33k.  Not the worst cash out at £29k (close to £30k actually) for a casual small stakes punter.  Very rare you get to cash out on DOND so close to the true value.  If the guy is pretty skint and uses the cash sensibly paying off any debts he will save well in advance of the £3k in ev lost in saved interest payments on debt/credit cards/mortgage and, more importantly, have zero variance on the biggest winning bet he/she will probably ever have in their life.  Easy cash out for the vast majority of small stakes punters imo.

[Karabiner]

Only two places Ralph ante post on EPL e/w bets.  Leics only a 1/2 shot to finish in the top 2 currently.  EV of the above bet at 1/3 1,2 place terms is roughly £33k.  Not the worst cash out at £29k (close to £30k actually) for a casual small stakes punter.  Very rare you get to cash out on DOND so close to the true value.  If the guy is pretty skint and uses the cash sensibly paying off any debts he will save well in advance of the £3k in ev lost in saved interest payments on debt/credit cards/mortgage and, more importantly, have zero variance on the biggest winning bet he/she will probably ever have in their life.  Easy cash out for the vast majority of small stakes punters imo.

Ah okay that explains it, I didn't realise it was only two places.

[TightEnd]

Christian Fuchs

No ordinary footballer

http://buff.ly/1XktdS0

[AndrewT]

Interesting little stat Sky just showed - Leicester have made just 25 changes to their starting lineup in the league this season, the team with the second least has made 39.

[TightEnd]

Interesting little stat Sky just showed - Leicester have made just 25 changes to their starting lineup in the league this season, the team with the second least has made 39.

1. been either or both of a) very fortunate with injuries or b) brilliant sports science team that has really managed them well

eg kante tweaks a hamstring, is playing 90 minutes six days later

2. had no more than two of the 25 man squad out for any match this season

3. of course the form has been so good from 1-11 that there has been no need to change the team much

4. no european football, out of the fa cup in the third round so no need to rotate, plenty of recvoery time before each game

[TightEnd]

[tikay]

Think I read somewhere that Leicester have only used 15 different (starting) players in the EPL this season?

[TightEnd]

Think I read somewhere that Leicester have only used 15 different (starting) players in the EPL this season?

18 i think

Kasper
RDL
Simpson
Amartey
Wes
Huth
wasyl
fuchs
schlupp
mahrez
albrighton
king
inler
danny d
kante
ulloa
vardy
okazaki


dyer
chilwell
gray

off the bench

schwarzer unused on the bench

[arbboy]

Leicester tinkered with going odds on for the first time on betfair for the title as Man City draw away at Norwich.  The more you look at the price the more it looks too big right?  Evens with only Spurs and Arsenal chasing you?