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Author Topic: The Next President of the United States  (Read 449984 times)
AndrewT
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« Reply #1065 on: November 01, 2016, 06:24:23 PM »

Something to get The Camel interested in this thread - Daniel Negreanu does his reads on Clinton and Trump

http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a50121/poker-clinton-trump-tells/
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Marky147
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« Reply #1066 on: November 01, 2016, 07:07:43 PM »

Something to get The Camel interested in this thread - Daniel Negreanu does his reads on Clinton and Trump

http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a50121/poker-clinton-trump-tells/

Grin
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aaron1867
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« Reply #1067 on: November 02, 2016, 02:39:35 AM »

Think this latest Hillary thing is exactly the same as the Trump 'grab the pussy' comments. Nobody who would have voted for Hillary before them is going to change their mind but those still on the fence might get swung, or maybe more likely, not vote.

Someink batshit crazy almost certainly will happen between now and then, but I think Trump's gonna nick it.


I see your point, but with the latest outcomes, isn't it quite likely that those voters who are voting for the "lesser of two evils", would just not vote anyway? Which might be just as crucial as a voter swapping alliances?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #1068 on: November 02, 2016, 10:12:29 AM »

Bookies odds on next US President narrowing slightly. Clinton 2/5. Trump 5/2....
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Woodsey
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« Reply #1069 on: November 03, 2016, 01:09:17 AM »

Yeah I know I know, I'm a bad person for laughing when I saw this so save it, guess it was inevitable this would pop up though...

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DropTheHammer
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« Reply #1070 on: November 03, 2016, 01:37:10 AM »

Bookies odds on next US President narrowing slightly. Clinton 2/5. Trump 5/2....

Surely Trump's odds will creep lower before the big day? I think this is much closer to a 50/50 than the bookies reckon...

I lumped on him a while ago but still hope he doesn't get there, but - like Brexit - a bit of financial insurance is a nice saver.
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Jon MW
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« Reply #1071 on: November 03, 2016, 07:03:57 AM »

Bookies odds on next US President narrowing slightly. Clinton 2/5. Trump 5/2....

Surely Trump's odds will creep lower before the big day? I think this is much closer to a 50/50 than the bookies reckon...

I lumped on him a while ago but still hope he doesn't get there, but - like Brexit - a bit of financial insurance is a nice saver.

Somewhere I read that Clinton would have to get indicted for the race to get close to 50/50 which I think sounds about right - don't see that happening. I think the current odds are just a reflection of the overall closeness of the national polling rather than because Trump has any actual chance of winning.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #1072 on: November 03, 2016, 10:59:51 AM »

There is an argument that the polls tightening actually helps Clinton - as the spectre of President Trump looms it may encourage people who were anti-Trump but also quite anti-Hillary to actually hold their noses and go out and vote for her, whereas if it looked a lock for Hillary many of these people would just stay at home.
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DaveShoelace
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« Reply #1073 on: November 03, 2016, 11:07:19 AM »

There is an argument that the polls tightening actually helps Clinton - as the spectre of President Trump looms it may encourage people who were anti-Trump but also quite anti-Hillary to actually hold their noses and go out and vote for her, whereas if it looked a lock for Hillary many of these people would just stay at home.

Plenty of folks will apply the same logic the other way around though, I've seen many liberals who just cannot bring themselves to support Hillary, mostly those against war in the Middle East. Plus you have all the Bernie Bros who are voting for Trump even though despite being on the complete opposite end of the spectrum.

I think whoever wins, it will be a landslide, either we have underestimated the power of the Trump Train or it was completely overblown and nobody can bring themselves to let him win.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #1074 on: November 03, 2016, 01:11:15 PM »

I think whoever wins, it will be a landslide, either we have underestimated the power of the Trump Train or it was completely overblown and nobody can bring themselves to let him win.

I do think there is a lot of uncertainty which makes odd results more likely. I've had a dabble on Clinton winning over 410 EC votes at 33/1 (though that does mean her winning Texas so....)
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DMorgan
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« Reply #1075 on: November 03, 2016, 03:29:17 PM »

Edit: wrong thread
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Marky147
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« Reply #1076 on: November 07, 2016, 06:17:41 AM »

The Donald at his best  Cheesy



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ripple11
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« Reply #1077 on: November 07, 2016, 12:23:04 PM »

Hillary as low as 1/6 now she'd been "cleared" over emails....as big as 4/9 a few days ago I think!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #1078 on: November 07, 2016, 02:59:51 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.
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DaveShoelace
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« Reply #1079 on: November 07, 2016, 04:59:33 PM »

Anyone see the Anthony Wiener doc on BBC4 last night? It was amazing, one of the most revealing political docs I've ever seen.
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