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What is Nate missing?
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Topic: What is Nate missing? (Read 4164 times)
TightEnd
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What is Nate missing?
«
on:
July 03, 2019, 12:24:23 PM »
Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows:
"As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?"
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Knottikay
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #1 on:
July 03, 2019, 04:04:47 PM »
AA v KK on 1st hand/orbit/level on a AKx flop (if the money didnt go aipf)
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RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #2 on:
July 03, 2019, 04:21:35 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 03, 2019, 12:24:23 PM
Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows:
"As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?"
Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club.
I know, I was that soldier.
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Pokerpops
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #3 on:
July 03, 2019, 05:21:27 PM »
Some of the causes of being wet
a) taking a shower or bath
b) getting caught in the rain
c) having someone unload a water pistol over you
d) swimming
e) falling in a river or pond
f) losing control of your bladder
g) spilling your drink over yourself
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"More than at any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly."
RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #4 on:
July 03, 2019, 06:21:35 PM »
Quote from: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 05:21:27 PM
Some of the causes of being wet
a) taking a shower or bath
b) getting caught in the rain
c) having someone unload a water pistol over you
d) swimming
e) falling in a river or pond
f) losing control of your bladder
g) spilling your drink over yourself
I don't get it Dave.
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Pokerpops
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #5 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:20:56 PM »
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 06:21:35 PM
Quote from: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 05:21:27 PM
Some of the causes of being wet
a) taking a shower or bath
b) getting caught in the rain
c) having someone unload a water pistol over you
d) swimming
e) falling in a river or pond
f) losing control of your bladder
g) spilling your drink over yourself
I don't get it Dave.
Just a list of obvious ways to become wet to go along with the list of obvious ways to lose chips.
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"More than at any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly."
RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #6 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:38:21 PM »
Quote from: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 07:20:56 PM
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 06:21:35 PM
Quote from: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 05:21:27 PM
Some of the causes of being wet
a) taking a shower or bath
b) getting caught in the rain
c) having someone unload a water pistol over you
d) swimming
e) falling in a river or pond
f) losing control of your bladder
g) spilling your drink over yourself
I don't get it Dave.
Just a list of obvious ways to become wet to go along with the list of obvious ways to lose chips.
Yes but there are obviously hundreds of ways to get wet, I can't think of many more ways of going bust than those listed.
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RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #7 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:49:25 PM »
I enjoyed your examples though.
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Tal
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #8 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:51:08 PM »
Seems to be missing two:
11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it
12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10.
Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv...
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RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #9 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:54:49 PM »
Quote from: Tal on July 03, 2019, 07:51:08 PM
Seems to be missing two:
11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it
12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10.
Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv...
Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11
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RED-DOG
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #10 on:
July 03, 2019, 07:56:07 PM »
I didn't get the chance to do a twelve because I'd already tabled it with a flourish.
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Tal
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"He's always at it!"
Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #11 on:
July 03, 2019, 08:03:13 PM »
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:54:49 PM
Quote from: Tal on July 03, 2019, 07:51:08 PM
Seems to be missing two:
11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it
12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10.
Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv...
Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11
Exactly. Mr Silver seems to think you only get out when playing well. I'm sad to report there are other ways.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Jon MW
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #12 on:
July 03, 2019, 08:15:36 PM »
Quote from: Tal on July 03, 2019, 08:03:13 PM
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:54:49 PM
Quote from: Tal on July 03, 2019, 07:51:08 PM
Seems to be missing two:
11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it
12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10.
Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv...
Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11
Exactly. Mr Silver seems to think you only get out when playing well. I'm sad to report there are other ways.
Similar to that I'd say a few of those things could have something along the lines of, "or the perception of" added.
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Supernova
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Posts: 921
He who laughs last didn't get it.
Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #13 on:
July 04, 2019, 12:33:48 PM »
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 04:21:35 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 03, 2019, 12:24:23 PM
Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows:
"As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?"
Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club.
I know, I was that soldier.
From excitement to embarrassment when your AA is actually A4. I saw that happen to someone next door on the SPT and they said oops, it's not the first time I've done that.
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Doobs
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Re: What is Nate missing?
«
Reply #14 on:
July 04, 2019, 12:59:34 PM »
Quote from: Supernova on July 04, 2019, 12:33:48 PM
Quote from: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 04:21:35 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 03, 2019, 12:24:23 PM
Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows:
"As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?"
Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club.
I know, I was that soldier.
From excitement to embarrassment when your AA is actually A4. I saw that happen to someone next door on the SPT and they said oops, it's not the first time I've done that.
Called off most of my stack with
a straight
8 high. I should have folded when he hit the flush on the river anyway!
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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