Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Matt Ryan v New Orleans tonight.

New Orleans have allowed opposing QBs to go over 300 yards 3 times already this season, with the 2 that havent being Winston (Tampa Bay) and Weedon (Cowgirls) who hardly have high powered offence.

Paddy Power have set the line at 275.5 yards for Ryan, which looks frankly ludicrous. Most of the other companies are at 295.5-300.5, which I still think represents good value.

Atlanta obviously have a great running game at the minute, Freeman is playing like a beast. As we know, you need a good running game to have a good passing game, and Freeman's presence will mean The Saints having to commit more men to stop the run, which means that Ryan will have the likes of Julio Jones, Leonard Hankerchief, Roddy White and Jacob Tamme more available to pass too.

Recommend £15 on Matt Ryan OVERS

i had a look at this earlier and thought around 300 was right on the mark

only gone over 300 once this season and Atlanta have scored 26,24,39,48 and 25 points this season

i don't think the Saints will stuff the box to stop the run either, they'll get torn apart

anyway, as we are short of content, ideas, posts and recommendations i'll place this and hopefully you can gloat at me tomorrow when he throws for 400

Over Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Total Passing Yds - Matt Ryan 295.5
10/11
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £28.63

[fatcatstu]

Matt Ryan v New Orleans tonight.

New Orleans have allowed opposing QBs to go over 300 yards 3 times already this season, with the 2 that havent being Winston (Tampa Bay) and Weedon (Cowgirls) who hardly have high powered offence.

Paddy Power have set the line at 275.5 yards for Ryan, which looks frankly ludicrous. Most of the other companies are at 295.5-300.5, which I still think represents good value.

Atlanta obviously have a great running game at the minute, Freeman is playing like a beast. As we know, you need a good running game to have a good passing game, and Freeman's presence will mean The Saints having to commit more men to stop the run, which means that Ryan will have the likes of Julio Jones, Leonard Hankerchief, Roddy White and Jacob Tamme more available to pass too.

Recommend £15 on Matt Ryan OVERS

i had a look at this earlier and thought around 300 was right on the mark

only gone over 300 once this season and Atlanta have scored 26,24,39,48 and 25 points this season

i don't think the Saints will stuff the box to stop the run either, they'll get torn apart

anyway, as we are short of content, ideas, posts and recommendations i'll place this and hopefully you can gloat at me tomorrow when he throws for 400

Over Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints Total Passing Yds - Matt Ryan 295.5
10/11
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £28.63

I think he has a chance, would have been far happier with the 275.5 yards, but he only needs to get 10 yards more than his average and we will be fine

[TightEnd]

paddy power are often way out of line on their prop prices, but unfortunately long ago we lost our ability to use them

[TightEnd]

Hector, if you see this

did you have a view on Bath possibly beating Nrthampton and Saracens to the Aviva Premiership (starts this weekend)?

7/2 outsiders of the 3 favourites, and only 3 realistic winners (leicester are rebuilding, wasps and quins have spent a lot on ex-internationals but that is at the expense of depth)

runners up last season, and in a season starting late due to the RWC its going to be about squad depth and bath with extra investment match up ok now against the big two who (whispers) might not have stayed within the salary cap in previous seasons and had a competitive advantage

[TightEnd]

QIPCO champions day at ascot

this looks good doesn't it?

high quality stuff, some decent shaped races for e/w

the jack hobbs race has a 5/4 fave, 5-1 bar with 8 runners

the solow race is 8-1 bar the front 2

the sprint is 8-1 bar the front 2

just looking at the big ones

http://www.oddschecker.com//horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat

anythign stand out as interesting?

[Ant040689]

A momentous occasion. I am putting a matchday bet up against Palace. I hope you lose.

If you look at the evens on Palace to win versus the effective evens for West Ham or the draw, I know what side I would rather be on and it is by quite a bit of distance. I think the true price for West Ham and the draw should be around 1.75.

Palace are interesting. We haven't had a target man up front for a few games now and have struggled for proper cohesion up front despite our last two results which came from two penalties and a rare Bolasie goal. Palace have used 4 or 5 strikers this season in the lone role and interestingly not one has attributed to an assist or goal, which could be some sort of record? We are missing a guy up there to perform consistently, Gayle has been unlucky a little in the last two games, but it's still worrying and a reason a lot of attacks break down currently.

Palace are playing quite well, but from seeing all of the 90 mins of our games this season, I just think there is an edge here despite our strengths and weaknesses and considering what West Ham could bring to the game.

West Ham have done well away from home getting a result in all but one.

Suggest £32 on West Ham +0.5 on the Asian handicap at 22/23 with BV.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-west-ham/asian-handicap

[TightEnd]

A momentous occasion. I am putting a matchday bet up against Palace. I hope you lose.

If you look at the evens on Palace to win versus the effective evens for West Ham or the draw, I know what side I would rather be on and it is by quite a bit of distance. I think the true price for West Ham and the draw should be around 1.75.

Palace are interesting. We haven't had a target man up front for a few games now and have struggled for proper cohesion up front despite our last two results which came from two penalties and a rare Bolasie goal. Palace have used 4 or 5 strikers this season in the lone role and interestingly not one has attributed to an assist or goal, which could be some sort of record? We are missing a guy up there to perform consistently, Gayle has been unlucky a little in the last two games, but it's still worrying and a reason a lot of attacks break down currently.

Palace are playing quite well, but from seeing all of the 90 mins of our games this season, I just think there is an edge here despite our strengths and weaknesses and considering what West Ham could bring to the game.

West Ham have done well away from home getting a result in all but one.

Suggest £32 on West Ham +0.5 on the Asian handicap at 22/23 with BV.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-west-ham/asian-handicap

here's something to help you get better. you obviously aren't feeling too good



meanwhile

West Ham +0.5 Crystal Palace v West Ham Asian Handicap
22/23
Total Stake: £32.00
Total Returns: £62.72

[Tal]

Re the game tonight, there's a market on how many receptions Julio Jones will get. This season, his number of receptions has been, in order:

9
13
12
4
5

He's been averaging a catch every 1.5 balls thrown his way. He has been nursing a hamstring injury the last few weeks (hence the drop off), but still played 60 snaps last week. Head coach, Dan Quinn has said today Jones feels better than he did last week. 6 targets two weeks ago. 10 last week. It has been as high as 20.

They're playing an appalling secondary and will want to get Jones involved. Where would you put the line on his receptions?

Shouty Red Man says 6.5. It's more likely to be 8 than 5.

£22 at 10/11 on the overs, please.

Click to see full-size image.

[horseplayer]

Why dont the lads player props compilers give you the gig Tal?

We know you are watching lads

[fatcatstu]

Whoever gets paid to decide that Julio Jones will only get 6 catches needs shooting.

I would say 8 or 9 against this New Orleans secondary.

[KarmaDope]

Whoever gets paid to decide that Julio Jones will only get 6 catches needs shooting.

I would say 8 or 9 against this New Orleans secondary.

Or this person could stay in their jobs and we hoover up the obv free money every week?

[swinebag22]

QIPCO champions day at ascot

this looks good doesn't it?

high quality stuff, some decent shaped races for e/w

the jack hobbs race has a 5/4 fave, 5-1 bar with 8 runners

the solow race is 8-1 bar the front 2

the sprint is 8-1 bar the front 2

just looking at the big ones

http://www.oddschecker.com//horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat

anythign stand out as interesting?

should be a great day's racing with a few great spots for a bet or 2. Will wait until saturday though

[celtic]

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=66216.0

Decent money to be won here.

Arbboy won £3.1k last time.

If he can win it, anyone can.

Already 40 people confirmed.

[Ironside]

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=66216.0

Decent money to be won here.

Arbboy won £3.1k last time.

If he can win it, anyone can.

Already 40 people confirmed.

dont be stupid i dont think i have ever got past week 2 in one of these

[Ironside]

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=66216.0

Decent money to be won here.

Arbboy won £3.1k last time.

If he can win it, anyone can.

Already 40 people confirmed.

dont be stupid i dont think i have ever got past week 2 in one of these

PS my dead money is in the pot