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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Author
Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13499488 times)
Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24352
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21645 on:
November 27, 2012, 03:57:42 PM »
Quote from: TommyD on November 27, 2012, 03:13:00 PM
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 02:49:07 PM
There's another spurs fan ITT?
There are plenty of better markets for spurs games than
who will win.
Any views on BTS?
You're a lot younger than me aren't you.
Yes
I did mean in the sense it's just about impossible to predict with confidence whether we will win a given game. Win at Old Trafford, lose at home to Wigan. And so on.
We are much more predictable on for example BTS as we always need to score twice to win a game!
There are a few spots, like the Zabaletta booking bet that couldn't have been overlooked more if Chompy had posted it, where we can walk with a surer footing IMO.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
The Camel
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Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21646 on:
November 27, 2012, 03:58:16 PM »
The great thing about this bet is SF are in much the easier half of the draw.
Atlanta are quite comfortably the worst 10-1 team I've ever seen.
The Giants and Packers both have glaring deficiencies, which will be exploited come the playoffs.
And then you ar looking at oddball teams like Chicago and Seattle who'll struggle into the playoffs but are a zillion to one to win it all.
We can hedge this bet in the Superbowl when SF finally meet a worthy opponent if we must.
5/1 is the bet of year.
Believe me.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TommyD
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21647 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:04:19 PM »
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 03:57:42 PM
Quote from: TommyD on November 27, 2012, 03:13:00 PM
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 02:49:07 PM
There's another spurs fan ITT?
There are plenty of better markets for spurs games than
who will win.
Any views on BTS?
You're a lot younger than me aren't you.
Yes
I did mean in the sense it's just about impossible to predict with confidence whether we will win a given game. Win at Old Trafford, lose at home to Wigan. And so on.
We are much more predictable on for example BTS as we always need to score twice to win a game!
There are a few spots, like the Zabaletta booking bet that couldn't have been overlooked more if Chompy had posted it, where we can walk with a surer footing IMO.
You're 100% right across the board there.
Logged
RickBFA
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Posts: 2001
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21648 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:08:13 PM »
Watford now best 23/13 tonight, some as short as 6/4.
Think the 21/10 mentioned before was value.
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Tonji
They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
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Posts: 5586
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21649 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:12:02 PM »
Like The Camels enthuiams for SF. On & I've never bet NFL
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They got a name for all the winners in the world. I want a name when I lose.
tikay
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21650 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:40:55 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on November 27, 2012, 03:47:42 PM
I watch alot of sport.
I watch more sport than anyone know.
It's almost sad how much sport I watch.
But just once in while I see something which makes it all worthwhile.
I see a talented young player who just is a joy to watch, who I just know it is going to be a superstar at his chosen sport. Someone who makes you stop whatever your doing and marvel at his natural talent, joie de vivre and brilliance.
Without thinking too hard I remember Federer beating Sampras at Wimbledon, Judd Trump's first world Snooker campaign and Rory winning the Dubai Desert Classic.
Not only have you got watch these people, you have to move fast and get financially involved by backing them!
Well, a new star is about to appear in the firmament imo.
San Francisco 49ers are an excellent NFL team.
They have an awesome defence led by the fearsome Smith brothers Aldon and Justin. And the Duracell bunny at LB, Patrick Willis.
Troy Aikman called their Offensive line the best he had seen since the legendary one he played behind in the nineties.
They have a dependable running back in Frank Gore.
Weapon's aplenty at WR and TE.. Randy Moss, Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis.
And at QB they have Alex Smith who is top in the league completion %, fourth in QB rating with an incredibly impressive TD to INT ratio of 14:5
Only thing is, he got a concussion a couple of weeks ago and had to be taken out of the lineup by a guy who had only seen spot duty so far.
This guy: Colin Kaepernick
I have watched NFL avidly for nearly 30 years.
And I can honestly say I have never have been so excited by a young player as Kaepernick.
His arm strength is amazing, his throws are like they on a frozen rope.
He has the mobility of Michael Vick and Cam Newton.
His temperament after performing the way h did after a very traumatic week in a very hostile atmosphere on Sunday sealed the deal.
This guy is destined to be an absolute superstar.
Jim Harbaugh is a great coach, for him to bench Alex Smith in favour of this guy tells you all you need to know.
I think San Francisco are the best team in the NFC with Smith at QB. And 5/1 for the Superbowl is about the right price.
With Kaepernick at QB, it's an absolute steal. Best bet I've seen in years.
Recommend £150 on San Fransisco to win the Superbowl at 5/1.
You make a terrific case, Keith, then follow it with "Bet of the Year, believe me".
Irrestible. Earlier this year we had serial fun with Barnet. The 49-ers are the new Barnet, as of now.
We have that rarest of beasts, a MAX, & a few months of fun to follow.
Let the fun commence. I am officially a 49ers fan as of now.
£150 @ 6.8, Betfair, 49ers to win Superbowl
ON
San Francisco 49ersSuper Bowl Winner 6.8 £150.00 £870.00
Bet Ref: 23670733923M Bet matched: 2012-11-27T16:27:01.000Z
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21651 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:47:21 PM »
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 03:57:42 PM
Quote from: TommyD on November 27, 2012, 03:13:00 PM
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 02:49:07 PM
There's another spurs fan ITT?
There are plenty of better markets for spurs games than
who will win.
Any views on BTS?
You're a lot younger than me aren't you.
Yes
I did mean in the sense it's just about impossible to predict with confidence whether we will win a given game. Win at Old Trafford, lose at home to Wigan. And so on.
We are much more predictable on for example BTS as we always need to score twice to win a game!
There are a few spots, like the Zabaletta booking bet that couldn't have been overlooked more if Chompy had posted it
, where we can walk with a surer footing IMO.
I may be misunderstanding your point, Mr Spurs Bloke, but Fred backed that Zabaleta bet, & it won. It might even have been our only winning bet in October. Of course, if Chompy had recommended it, well that's different.
Logged
All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
kinboshi
ROMANES EUNT DOMUS
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Posts: 44302
We go again.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21652 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:49:40 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on November 27, 2012, 03:47:42 PM
I watch alot of sport.
I watch more sport than anyone know.
It's almost sad how much sport I watch.
But just once in while I see something which makes it all worthwhile.
Logged
'The meme for blind faith secures its own perpetuation by the simple unconscious expedient of discouraging rational inquiry.'
claypole
Hero Member
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Posts: 4131
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21653 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:53:08 PM »
Thats pretty compeeling Keith, if it was a Dragon Den pitch we'd all be wanting to invest.....I am all aboard knowing absolutely jack about NFL - well I love a Sunday night game but no expert. 5.7 on Betdaq, I'm in for £250 - lets go go go 49ers...I officially have an NFL team as well now
Logged
redarmi
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5232
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21654 on:
November 27, 2012, 04:57:39 PM »
Agree re:Kaepernick he has been absolutely incredible. After the first half the other week when he first started I recommended on here we bet SF in the second half and it was one of my bigger bets of the year. The only thing that would worry me slightly is whether he does definitely get the start for the rest of the season. Obviously he should but Harbaugh hasn't confirmed that to be the case which makes me wonder whether Smith had a niggle last week and will apparently make a choice midweek. It would be almost unprecendented for an NFL coach to bench a starter that has played fairly well whilst in contention and if it goes wrong he will be slated. I don't think it is an issue with regards to the bet because, as Keith says, 5/1 is probably right with Smith starting but it wouldn't be a great bet then.
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Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24352
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21655 on:
November 27, 2012, 05:21:41 PM »
Quote from: tikay on November 27, 2012, 04:47:21 PM
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 03:57:42 PM
Quote from: TommyD on November 27, 2012, 03:13:00 PM
Quote from: Tal on November 27, 2012, 02:49:07 PM
There's another spurs fan ITT?
There are plenty of better markets for spurs games than
who will win.
Any views on BTS?
You're a lot younger than me aren't you.
Yes
I did mean in the sense it's just about impossible to predict with confidence whether we will win a given game. Win at Old Trafford, lose at home to Wigan. And so on.
We are much more predictable on for example BTS as we always need to score twice to win a game!
There are a few spots, like the Zabaletta booking bet that couldn't have been overlooked more if Chompy had posted it
, where we can walk with a surer footing IMO.
I may be misunderstanding your point, Mr Spurs Bloke, but Fred backed that Zabaleta bet, & it won. It might even have been our only winning bet in October. Of course, if Chompy had recommended it, well that's different.
My mistake! Fred's wisdom extends further than I had credited.
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21656 on:
November 27, 2012, 05:32:49 PM »
^^^^
If I recall correctly, it was barely a sweat, he obliged within the first 15 minutes or thereabouts!
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17523
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21657 on:
November 27, 2012, 05:36:41 PM »
Quote from: kinboshi on November 27, 2012, 04:49:40 PM
Quote from: The Camel on November 27, 2012, 03:47:42 PM
I watch alot of sport.
I watch more sport than anyone know.
It's almost sad how much sport I watch.
But just once in while I see something which makes it all worthwhile.
This might be the best thing ever.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
The Camel
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 17523
Under my tree, being a troll.
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21658 on:
November 27, 2012, 05:39:35 PM »
Quote from: redarmi on November 27, 2012, 04:57:39 PM
Agree re:Kaepernick he has been absolutely incredible. After the first half the other week when he first started I recommended on here we bet SF in the second half and it was one of my bigger bets of the year. The only thing that would worry me slightly is whether he does definitely get the start for the rest of the season. Obviously he should but Harbaugh hasn't confirmed that to be the case which makes me wonder whether Smith had a niggle last week and will apparently make a choice midweek. It would be almost unprecendented for an NFL coach to bench a starter that has played fairly well whilst in contention and if it goes wrong he will be slated. I don't think it is an issue with regards to the bet because, as Keith says, 5/1 is probably right with Smith starting but it wouldn't be a great bet then.
This is true unfortunately.
I think 5's is a smidgeon of value even with Smith at QB
But I would still be very surprised if he deserted Kaepernick now.
Logged
Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
TheDazzler
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1499
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #21659 on:
November 27, 2012, 05:54:12 PM »
Quote from: The Camel on November 27, 2012, 05:39:35 PM
Quote from: redarmi on November 27, 2012, 04:57:39 PM
Agree re:Kaepernick he has been absolutely incredible. After the first half the other week when he first started I recommended on here we bet SF in the second half and it was one of my bigger bets of the year. The only thing that would worry me slightly is whether he does definitely get the start for the rest of the season. Obviously he should but Harbaugh hasn't confirmed that to be the case which makes me wonder whether Smith had a niggle last week and will apparently make a choice midweek. It would be almost unprecendented for an NFL coach to bench a starter that has played fairly well whilst in contention and if it goes wrong he will be slated. I don't think it is an issue with regards to the bet because, as Keith says, 5/1 is probably right with Smith starting but it wouldn't be a great bet then.
This is true unfortunately.
I think 5's is a smidgeon of value even with Smith at QB
But I would still be very surprised if he deserted Kaepernick now.
And what price do you think they should be for Superbowl with Kaepernick?
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