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Poker Hand Analysis
Thoughts?
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Topic: Thoughts? (Read 2849 times)
Royal Flush
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Posts: 22972
Booooccccceeeeeee
Thoughts?
«
on:
December 21, 2007, 08:43:25 PM »
Assume no info.
NL Texas Hold'em Trny: 37364623 Level: 2 Blinds(30/60) - Friday, December 21, 15:39:26 ET 2007
Table Friday Special (1262009) Table #3 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 2: KipsterDK ( 9,600 )
Seat 3: winsumore ( 4,650 )
Seat 5: NORSE_HORSE ( 4,505 )
Seat 6: DamPFwalZe_ ( 5,850 )
Seat 7: top2boys ( 4,040 )
Seat 9: turatsok ( 6,185 )
Seat 10: Patenny ( 10,130 )
Seat 1: Kowaino ( 6,280 )
Seat 8: mukl333 ( 8,380 )
Trny: 37364623 Level: 2
Blinds(30/60)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to NORSE_HORSE [
]
Patenny folds
Kowaino calls [60]
KipsterDK raises [240]
winsumore folds
NORSE_HORSE calls [240]
DamPFwalZe_ folds
top2boys folds
mukl333 folds
turatsok folds
Kowaino calls [180]
** Dealing Flop ** [
,
,
]
Kowaino checks
KipsterDK checks
NORSE_HORSE checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ As ]
Kowaino checks
KipsterDK checks
NORSE_HORSE checks
** Dealing River ** [
]
Kowaino checks
KipsterDK checks
NORSE_HORSE bets [600]
Kowaino raises [1,800]
KipsterDK folds
NORSE_HORSE
Logged
[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
NoflopsHomer
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Enchantment? Enchantment!
Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #1 on:
December 21, 2007, 09:04:31 PM »
The hand has been played very passively, he might put you on a steal given you're last to act. Air or the nuts?
I pass preflop btw.
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Ironside
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #2 on:
December 21, 2007, 09:09:11 PM »
my thoughts are he aint got a single 9 or a better kicker with ace so he either flopped a set or has you on a steal
when you make a value bet last to act on the river you have to be prepared to call the check raise IMHO
otherwise just check it down
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
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Go Ducks!
Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #3 on:
December 21, 2007, 09:25:57 PM »
I fold preflop readless but you should have a read here of sorts unless he has just moved to the table (or you are new). Check flop is obv standard.
I bet turn, I don't get why you would want to creative here.
As played value bet on the river is fine but i make it abit smaller as everyone is looking super weak here and you are trying to get a pocket pair to call here. I make it more like 450. Fold to the raise its not close.
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AlexMartin
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #4 on:
December 21, 2007, 09:28:27 PM »
5% of players make this move with a hand you can beat. gd fold.
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Royal Flush
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #5 on:
December 21, 2007, 10:21:07 PM »
Quote from: Longy on December 21, 2007, 09:25:57 PM
I fold preflop readless but you should have a read here of sorts unless he has just moved to the table (or you are new). Check flop is obv standard.
I bet turn, I don't get why you would want to creative here.
As played value bet on the river is fine but i make it abit smaller as everyone is looking super weak here and you are trying to get a pocket pair to call here. I make it more like 450. Fold to the raise its not close.
I was 4 tabling, the PFR is active that's all i know.
I checked the turn as nothing can pay me from what i see and there is no real danger.
I VB here close to pot as it looks like a bluff, i can't actually have anything here (after the creative turn check
)
I snap called, worrying if Iron is doing the same
Passing pre, you are all nits! 5% of your chips.
What can the guy have? I can't think of any better hand than mine....
Logged
[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
M3boy
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #6 on:
December 21, 2007, 10:49:24 PM »
I often see this more and more now.
To min raise a bet on the river - done more to say "you havent got anything here and I will take this pot"
Call for me everytime
What did he have?
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Ironside
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #7 on:
December 21, 2007, 10:52:04 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on December 21, 2007, 10:21:07 PM
Quote from: Longy on December 21, 2007, 09:25:57 PM
I fold preflop readless but you should have a read here of sorts unless he has just moved to the table (or you are new). Check flop is obv standard.
I bet turn, I don't get why you would want to creative here.
As played value bet on the river is fine but i make it abit smaller as everyone is looking super weak here and you are trying to get a pocket pair to call here. I make it more like 450. Fold to the raise its not close.
I was 4 tabling, the PFR is active that's all i know.
I checked the turn as nothing can pay me from what i see and there is no real danger.
I VB here close to pot as it looks like a bluff, i can't actually have anything here (after the creative turn check
)
I snap called, worrying if Iron is doing the same
Passing pre, you are all nits! 5% of your chips.
What can the guy have? I can't think of any better hand than mine....
3's full 4's full or quad 9's
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Bongo
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #8 on:
December 21, 2007, 10:52:53 PM »
It's not a minraise though, it's 3x his bet...
I think I agree with floppy, it's either a big hand or nothing. Possibly something inbetween too.
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Longy
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #9 on:
December 21, 2007, 11:58:20 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on December 21, 2007, 10:21:07 PM
Quote from: Longy on December 21, 2007, 09:25:57 PM
I fold preflop readless but you should have a read here of sorts unless he has just moved to the table (or you are new). Check flop is obv standard.
I bet turn, I don't get why you would want to creative here.
As played value bet on the river is fine but i make it abit smaller as everyone is looking super weak here and you are trying to get a pocket pair to call here. I make it more like 450. Fold to the raise its not close.
I was 4 tabling, the PFR is active that's all i know.
I checked the turn as nothing can pay me from what i see and there is no real danger.
I VB here close to pot as it looks like a bluff, i can't actually have anything here (after the creative turn check
)
I snap called, worrying if Iron is doing the same
Passing pre, you are all nits! 5% of your chips.
What can the guy have? I can't think of any better hand than mine....
Having thought about this (its amazing what 7/8 pints can do for you poker analysis), I really don't mind postflop and not betting the turn is alright on the basis you can make your hand look like a bluff on the river and pick up some value.
Preflop your hand has massive reverse implied odds from the start against his range, hence the need for this thread in the first place. As you hit top pair and still don't love your hand. Your hand turns into a 2nd best hand that will call down at least one street of value when beat and when you do hit a hand that struggles to attain value as worst hands rarely call.AJ is a crap hand deep because of these problems.
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totalise
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #10 on:
December 22, 2007, 02:33:25 AM »
i dont like preflop, and I'd prolly bet the turn to get a call from a non-believing underpair/buy a cheap showdown as they checck monsters and u dont get 2 streets of value from a worse hand typically. As for the river, I rarely see anyone limp preflop, and then check all 3 streets and then raise the river (with that sized bet) with a hand worse then flushys... he porlly has 3's full or quads and is patting himself on the back for an "awesome" slowplay, so thats enough for me to fold this river, but the bet is defo fine.
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Tragic
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #11 on:
December 22, 2007, 04:28:53 AM »
I know the PFR so i'm more inclined to call, tho I prob would vs most active players. Nobody has shown any interest in the pot so why check a big hand when you expect alot of aces to check behind now anyway, I call it looks like the "he's stealing i'm taking it with KQ or some trash". Sure he might have quad nines but I strongly disagree with the only 5% will reraise you here with nothing. I do it all the time. The only case for folding is the Ace given preflop action makes this play alot more difficult for him.
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LuckyLloyd
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Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #12 on:
December 22, 2007, 10:25:44 AM »
I think folding pre is best. Like bet / fold on the river. Your like, never good here.
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All glory comes from daring to begin
" - Eugene F. Ware.
UpTheMariners
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We Only Sing When We're Fishing
Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #13 on:
December 22, 2007, 04:24:47 PM »
i call the river and call pre. u've induced the bluff and got what you wanted.
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Rookie (Rodney)
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ISHIKAWAAAAAAAAA
Re: Thoughts?
«
Reply #14 on:
December 22, 2007, 04:27:21 PM »
instacallage... defo see a flop here too
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