blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 28, 2025, 06:10:29 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262547 Posts in 66609 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Greyhound Racing Thread
0 Members and 7 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 77 78 79 80 [81] 82 83 84 85 ... 258 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Greyhound Racing Thread  (Read 608508 times)
scotty2hatty
Gamesmaster
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9178



View Profile
« Reply #1200 on: October 09, 2014, 11:29:59 PM »

Nice work Adz. FU Critic.
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #1201 on: October 09, 2014, 11:35:52 PM »

The wides are def favoured at Hove.  t1 and t6 in last were in photo when 1 3 lengths quicker on best times over C&D.  6 looks a strong bet at 5/1 now in the 1011pm

Surely that's not relevant to determining a bias. Screen Critic the faster dog.

Assuming both dogs run to their best form and no trouble (it was a clean race) then if the dogs cross the line together and one is 25 spots quicker than the other you would have to expect the 3 lengths to be made up by the bias everything else being equal.  Given the rest of the night's results i think it's pretty clear this was the case and the reason why 6 went off a strong fav ahead of 1 even though 1 was a much quicker dog on best form.
Logged
Omm
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3228



View Profile
« Reply #1202 on: October 09, 2014, 11:37:28 PM »

Nice work Adz. FU Critic.

I'd had the double on Finas and. Chicago, went in again with Critic and thought it ran a great race, just didn't keep it's head in front. Very unlucky but a great running dog, one to keep an eye on.

What do you think of Coolmore Joe at 12-1 for Henlow Derby, touch overpriced?
Logged
scotty2hatty
Gamesmaster
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9178



View Profile
« Reply #1203 on: October 09, 2014, 11:40:43 PM »

The wides are def favoured at Hove.  t1 and t6 in last were in photo when 1 3 lengths quicker on best times over C&D.  6 looks a strong bet at 5/1 now in the 1011pm

Surely that's not relevant to determining a bias. Screen Critic the faster dog.

Assuming both dogs run to their best form and no trouble (it was a clean race) then if the dogs cross the line together and one is 25 spots quicker than the other you would have to expect the 3 lengths to be made up by the bias everything else being equal.  Given the rest of the night's results i think it's pretty clear this was the case and the reason why 6 went off a strong fav ahead of 1 even though 1 was a much quicker dog on best form.

Generally that's true, and I'm not arguing that there wasn't a bias, but Screen Critic has ran 29:80-29:90 and the times are generally considered to be +30 with the new traps so Critic was probably the slightly faster dog. Especially given his times were recent.

Not arguing, was just trying to figure out the logic.
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #1204 on: October 09, 2014, 11:43:22 PM »

The wides are def favoured at Hove.  t1 and t6 in last were in photo when 1 3 lengths quicker on best times over C&D.  6 looks a strong bet at 5/1 now in the 1011pm

Surely that's not relevant to determining a bias. Screen Critic the faster dog.

Assuming both dogs run to their best form and no trouble (it was a clean race) then if the dogs cross the line together and one is 25 spots quicker than the other you would have to expect the 3 lengths to be made up by the bias everything else being equal.  Given the rest of the night's results i think it's pretty clear this was the case and the reason why 6 went off a strong fav ahead of 1 even though 1 was a much quicker dog on best form.

Generally that's true, and I'm not arguing that there wasn't a bias, but Screen Critic has ran 29:80-29:90 and the times are generally considered to be +30 with the new traps so Critic was probably the slightly faster dog. Especially given his times were recent.

Not arguing, was just trying to figure out the logic.

The calculated times are adjusted for the new traps.  Not sure if you read the article in the post the standard going now when its normal is -30 not 0.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2014, 11:46:17 PM by arbboy » Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #1205 on: October 09, 2014, 11:45:50 PM »

critic's best calc time is 29.86 in an open with a clear run.  T1 has done 29.69 in trouble recently and numerous 29.70s in the past calculated.
Logged
scotty2hatty
Gamesmaster
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9178



View Profile
« Reply #1206 on: October 09, 2014, 11:46:56 PM »

Got you, didn't realise they'd adjusted. Thanks.
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #1207 on: October 09, 2014, 11:53:41 PM »

Got you, didn't realise they'd adjusted. Thanks.

yer if u look at recent hove cards most are -30 when they would normally be 0 ie normal going.  I am struggling to find the article in the rpost which was a week or so ago.  I made the same mistake as you before i read the article.

What tongiht did show is what a real deal chicago is running like that against that bias.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2014, 11:57:48 PM by arbboy » Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17076


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #1208 on: October 10, 2014, 09:33:58 AM »

Sat next to Mark Wallis for about 3 levels of the GUKPT London yesterday.

Kinda strange to be chatting to a legend in a poker tournament when virtually zero of the other players would know who he was.

Proper nice bloke too.
Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
Omm
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3228



View Profile
« Reply #1209 on: October 10, 2014, 12:10:04 PM »

Sat next to Mark Wallis for about 3 levels of the GUKPT London yesterday.

Kinda strange to be chatting to a legend in a poker tournament when virtually zero of the other players would know who he was.

Proper nice bloke too.

Wow, I heard he went over for the WSOP main event, seems he is really into poker, any good? Must have been quite nice being able to talk to him, isn't he moving to Towcester when it opens?
Logged
Omm
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3228



View Profile
« Reply #1210 on: October 10, 2014, 12:53:08 PM »

Notts 8:22 t1 11/10 with 366, odds on everywhere else, should win, if want to be risk adverse can lay back on bf later.
Logged
arbboy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 13270


View Profile
« Reply #1211 on: October 10, 2014, 03:59:52 PM »

more rain today seems to be favouring the middle/wide dogs at both afternoon BAGS meetings at Monmore and Swindon this afternoon from the first 4/5 races.
Logged
Nico29
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2412


View Profile
« Reply #1212 on: October 10, 2014, 08:54:28 PM »

Notts 8:22 t1 11/10 with 366, odds on everywhere else, should win, if want to be risk adverse can lay back on bf later.

oioi omn just got up Smiley
Logged
Omm
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3228



View Profile
« Reply #1213 on: October 10, 2014, 09:06:16 PM »

Notts 8:22 t1 11/10 with 366, odds on everywhere else, should win, if want to be risk adverse can lay back on bf later.

oioi omn just got up Smiley

Returned 4/5, don't mind how they win as long as they do. Oi oi
Logged
Nico29
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2412


View Profile
« Reply #1214 on: October 10, 2014, 09:22:17 PM »

Indeed mate. Great call on price too.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 77 78 79 80 [81] 82 83 84 85 ... 258 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.171 seconds with 20 queries.