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ChipRich
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« Reply #690 on: June 30, 2010, 07:25:49 PM » |
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Yeah thought Coentrao (Portugal) and Salcido of Mexico have been the standout LBs for me, duno how theyve came up with Heinze. Probs just because he bagged a goal in their opening game.
No Lucio (an absolute machine) or Ramos either?
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« Last Edit: June 30, 2010, 07:27:22 PM by ChipRich »
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boldie
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« Reply #691 on: July 01, 2010, 02:55:04 PM » |
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Salcido has been immense ..wonder where he's off to after this WC.
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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boldie
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« Reply #692 on: July 02, 2010, 01:41:26 PM » |
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Very excited about this afternoon's match.
Holland obv are the underdogs, no doubt about it, but we could sneak a win here 20% of the time (within 90 minutes) I think. Obv I can't back Holland to win outright as 10-3 (7-2 ina place) is too short for me and can't bring myself to back Brazil outright either as I could very well jinx it.
Just had a few small bets on for value though.
Brazil 3-1 @20s
1-1 @ 6.3 - 1 (my bigger bet)
Holland 2-1 @ 16-1
Some small scorecasts
Robben 1-0 @35-1
Robben 2-1 @80-1
Sneijder 2-1 @95-1
Robben anytime and Brazil 3-1 @70-1
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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redarmi
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« Reply #693 on: July 02, 2010, 01:49:56 PM » |
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He's 12/1 at Bellagio.
It' a stupid book with Fabiano at 4/1, Klose at 8/1. Van Persie 8/1 etc.
They are betting to about 300% but I nearly had to back Villa at 12's.
[/quot
According to my model he is not priced correctly for the games but on the basis he will score 33% of their goals and they would be an average of 0.1 goal faves in the final where goals expectancy would be 2.30 (that might be a bit high) then he is 11/2 on average to score first in a final he appears in. They are 5/4 to reach the final (midpoint on BF) so 6.5*2.25=14.65. I would argue they should be a bit shorter than 5/4 and Villa potentially should be in for a bit more than that especially against some fo the better defences so if you like Spain in general, as I know you do, then it isn't the worst way to bet them. LOL at Van Persies and Kloses price. They are nearly that price to win the tourney and the two are massively correlated. American sportsbook odds compilers are notoriously horrible....I know I used to be one!!!! |
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Dubai
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« Reply #694 on: July 02, 2010, 01:53:59 PM » |
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So basically exactly what i said a couple of days ago.
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boldie
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« Reply #695 on: July 02, 2010, 03:22:26 PM » |
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Why the F are Japanese officials in charge of this match? No foul for a challenge from behind on Robben and a late, late flag for offside.
How can a ref be top-class when they don't referee topclass footie every week?
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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boldie
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« Reply #696 on: July 02, 2010, 03:23:41 PM » |
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and HWY OH WHY??? do we not have better defenders??? WTF Heitinga?  |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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Longy
Professional Hotel Locator.
Learning Centre Group
Hero Member
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Posts: 10040
Go Ducks!
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« Reply #697 on: July 02, 2010, 03:27:34 PM » |
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and HWY OH WHY??? do we not have better defenders??? WTF Heitinga? It was like watching England defend last Sunday. |
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sweet potata!
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« Reply #698 on: July 02, 2010, 03:47:32 PM » |
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Matt Holland is doing the commentary for Irish tv and is v v tilting , he keeps saying AARON Robben , come on son get your tongue round that will ya ffs
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boldie
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« Reply #699 on: July 02, 2010, 03:48:30 PM » |
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WTF was Robben thinking with that corner?
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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boldie
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« Reply #700 on: July 02, 2010, 04:00:39 PM » |
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Who spiked Robben's water? Two times he had a chance to shoot in one and twice he didn't take it...very unlike him. Brazil MUCH the better side ATM  |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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sweet potata!
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« Reply #701 on: July 02, 2010, 04:03:47 PM » |
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Who spiked Robben's water? Two times he had a chance to shoot in one and twice he didn't take it...very unlike him. Brazil MUCH the better side ATM Yup agree with that, Robben obv only uses his Right leg for standing on and dancing. Brazil lookin very good , most imprssed I've been with them. |
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redarmi
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« Reply #702 on: July 02, 2010, 04:20:52 PM » |
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So basically exactly what i said a couple of days ago.
erm...yeah but after spending 10 minutes doing the maths.....I wanted to look a bit cleverer than just writing "what Dubai said" |
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boldie
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« Reply #703 on: July 02, 2010, 04:23:30 PM » |
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GTFI!...Just as I was raging that Bastos didn't get sent off, karma bites back!  |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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boldie
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« Reply #704 on: July 02, 2010, 04:37:19 PM » |
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WIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII WEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEESLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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