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Prose from a Poshboy
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Author
Topic: Prose from a Poshboy (Read 2583700 times)
cambridgealex
Hero Member
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Posts: 14876
#lovethegame
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19140 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:05:12 PM »
OK I've sorted most of my EPL spread bets for the season. Thought I would share what they are and we'll see how I do over the season. I'd like to think I've taken the right side of the lines, but am not delusional that I'm a sports betting fiend and have made a bunch of sharky bets. I'm paying any juice there is for a season long sweat which I know I'll love. Won't say amounts but will give you an idea of where I've gone big.
Teams bought (taken overs)
Middlesborough 39.5 points: 4 units (per point)
Stoke 45.5 points: 2 units
Spurs 67.5 points: 1 unit
West Ham 55 points: 1 unit
Teams sold (taken unders)
Man City 75.5 points: 3 units
Leicester 54.5 points: 3 units
Other bets:
Chelsea vs Arsenal 2 units per point.
Chelsea top 4 at 8/13: 25 units.
Gone huge on Chelsea. The top 4 bet is with a guy that I had credit with and wanted to gamble with rather than cash out. It's my biggest ever sports bet. Come on team Kante/Conte!
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Poker goals:
[ ] 7 figure score
[X] 8 figure score
redsimon
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Posts: 8707
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19141 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:30:16 PM »
3) Taxes, so huge not to get taxed! In the UK people earning over £32k get taxed 40%! Absurd to pay nothing!
https://www.gov.uk/income-tax-rates/current-rates-and-allowances
More like £43k
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Success has many parents but failure is an orphan
http://www.organdonation.nhs.uk
redsimon
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Posts: 8707
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19142 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:31:51 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 12:05:12 PM
OK I've sorted most of my EPL spread bets for the season. Thought I would share what they are and we'll see how I do over the season. I'd like to think I've taken the right side of the lines, but am not delusional that I'm a sports betting fiend and have made a bunch of sharky bets. I'm paying any juice there is for a season long sweat which I know I'll love. Won't say amounts but will give you an idea of where I've gone big.
Teams bought (taken overs)
Middlesborough 39.5 points: 4 units (per point)
Stoke 45.5 points: 2 units
Spurs 67.5 points: 1 unit
West Ham 55 points: 1 unit
Teams sold (taken unders)
Man City 75.5 points: 3 units
Leicester 54.5 points: 3 units
Other bets:
Chelsea vs Arsenal 2 units per point.
Chelsea top 4 at 8/13: 25 units.
Gone huge on Chelsea. The top 4 bet is with a guy that I had credit with and wanted to gamble with rather than cash out. It's my biggest ever sports bet. Come on team Kante/Conte!
Like those bets though Leicester one is the riskiest imho.
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Success has many parents but failure is an orphan
http://www.organdonation.nhs.uk
TightEnd
Administrator
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19143 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM »
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13285
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19144 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:43:44 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 12:05:12 PM
OK I've sorted most of my EPL spread bets for the season. Thought I would share what they are and we'll see how I do over the season. I'd like to think I've taken the right side of the lines, but
am not delusional that I'm a sports betting fiend
and have made a bunch of sharky bets. I'm paying any juice there is for a season long sweat which I know I'll love. Won't say amounts but will give you an idea of where I've gone big.
Teams bought (taken overs)
Middlesborough 39.5 points: 4 units (per point)
Stoke 45.5 points: 2 units
Spurs 67.5 points: 1 unit
West Ham 55 points: 1 unit
Teams sold (taken unders)
Man City 75.5 points: 3 units
Leicester 54.5 points: 3 units
Other bets:
Chelsea vs Arsenal 2 units per point.
Chelsea top 4 at 8/13: 25 units.
Gone huge on Chelsea. The top 4 bet is with a guy that I had credit with and wanted to gamble with rather than cash out. It's my biggest ever sports bet. Come on team Kante/Conte!
Nothing wrong with following a sports betting fiend though!!!! (discretely of course)
5% of the profits will do in May!
«
Last Edit: July 27, 2016, 12:45:36 PM by arbboy
»
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Woodsey
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Posts: 15846
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19145 on:
July 27, 2016, 12:46:57 PM »
Quote from: redsimon on July 27, 2016, 12:30:16 PM
3) Taxes, so huge not to get taxed! In the UK people earning over £32k get taxed 40%! Absurd to pay nothing!
https://www.gov.uk/income-tax-rates/current-rates-and-allowances
More like £43k
And you are actually getting taxed 50+% when you take national insurance into account.
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pleno1
Hero Member
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Posts: 19107
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19146 on:
July 27, 2016, 01:10:16 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
Should go all in then
Will be such a great season, can't wait.
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Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
cambridgealex
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Posts: 14876
#lovethegame
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19147 on:
July 27, 2016, 03:57:17 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
It's nothing personal Tighty, just business!
Amazing thing is, that Ironside also thinks Southampton will be 10 points offer better than the spreads. Arrboy thinks Stoke the same. Even Ralph has backed Arsenal vs Chelsea with me. It's almost as if...no wait, we're all purely rational gamblers.
I've left Liverpool alone this year.
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Poker goals:
[ ] 7 figure score
[X] 8 figure score
arbboy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 13285
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19148 on:
July 27, 2016, 04:01:01 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 03:57:17 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
It's nothing personal Tighty, just business!
Amazing thing is, that Ironside also thinks Southampton will be 10 points offer better than the spreads. Arrboy thinks Stoke the same. Even Ralph has backed Arsenal vs Chelsea with me. It's almost as if...no wait, we're all purely rational gamblers.
I've left Liverpool alone this year.
Tighty could always tempt you with a slightly improved quote to gain your business from Sportingindex. I don't think Stoke's quote should be 10 higher i just see very very little downside buying at 45. I struggle to see a situation where Stoke get less than 40 points. They probably won't get many more than the last 2 seasons either but i know which side of the fence i would rather be sitting. Not spoken as a fan either. All business for me as all.
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Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16595
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19149 on:
July 27, 2016, 04:26:30 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 03:57:17 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
It's nothing personal Tighty, just business!
Amazing thing is, that Ironside also thinks Southampton will be 10 points offer better than the spreads. Arrboy thinks Stoke the same. Even Ralph has backed Arsenal vs Chelsea with me. It's almost as if...no wait, we're all purely rational gamblers.
I've left Liverpool alone this year.
Think people are making good points on Leicester. It seems more likely to be the one that gives you an horrific result. And you are much more likely to have a very bad time with spreads than with normal bets. I used to spread bet, but don't think the good results were worth all the scars.
Having a known downside is very underated. There will be a time when you think the most you can realistically lose is x and you will find yourself sat on a way bigger loss in no time at all.
Enough lecturing anyway. How long do you think you will last as a pro poker player? Pleno talked about 5 years the other day. I have probably lasted way longer than most, but I am nowhere near as profitable as I once was. M5ost of those who were there 10 years ago have long gone, including some who I used to think were really top class at the time.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
George2Loose
Hero Member
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Posts: 15214
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19150 on:
July 27, 2016, 04:57:08 PM »
Do you think Jason should've won Big Brother?
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
JK
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2571
Probably the worst player here
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19151 on:
July 27, 2016, 07:11:22 PM »
Of all the things you've done thanks to the life you've made for yourself, which is the thing that's had you reflecting how lucky you are?
Same question in essence, but whats been your favourite moment?
Not sure if this has been asked, but whats your favourite ever pot of all time?
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Karabiner
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22750
James Webb Telescope
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19152 on:
July 28, 2016, 01:43:14 AM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 03:57:17 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
It's nothing personal Tighty, just business!
Amazing thing is, that Ironside also thinks Southampton will be 10 points offer better than the spreads. Arrboy thinks Stoke the same. Even Ralph has backed Arsenal vs Chelsea with me. It's almost as if...no wait, we're all purely rational gamblers.
I've left Liverpool alone this year.
I'm a little worried that you've been spending your evenings sticking voodoo pins in a Mertesacker doll this last week.
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19153 on:
July 28, 2016, 12:33:08 PM »
Quote from: cambridgealex on July 27, 2016, 03:57:17 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 27, 2016, 12:41:25 PM
why do you think Leicester will be more than 27 points worse than last season?
I think you are completely wrong. (no surprise there, everyone cries)
fwiw i expect something north of 60 points and top 10.
Might adjust that a little lower if Mahrez leaves before the end of August
It's nothing personal Tighty, just business!
Amazing thing is, that Ironside also thinks Southampton will be 10 points offer better than the spreads. Arrboy thinks Stoke the same. Even Ralph has backed Arsenal vs Chelsea with me. It's almost as if...no wait, we're all purely rational gamblers.
I've left Liverpool alone this year.
its not personal for me either, its unemotional
if i thought leicester would undershoot the mid 50s enough to go under, i would agree with you
i think its your riskiest position with lots of per point downside if they aren't 27 points/9 wins worse than last year which is what the spread implies.
that said, i like some of the other positions
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
cambridgealex
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 14876
#lovethegame
Re: Prose from a Poshboy
«
Reply #19154 on:
July 28, 2016, 01:01:04 PM »
Quote from: JK on July 27, 2016, 07:11:22 PM
Of all the things you've done thanks to the life you've made for yourself, which is the thing that's had you reflecting how lucky you are?
Same question in essence, but whats been your favourite moment?
Not sure if this has been asked, but whats your favourite ever pot of all time?
EDC 2015 was probably a night where I felt the most thankful and happy with life.
And just in general anytime I'm having a laugh at the table I feel so lucky that I get to do something I love for a job.
My favourite pot of all time was this year, I wrote about it here. Will find it now.
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[X] 8 figure score
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