blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 22, 2025, 11:32:04 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262378 Posts in 66606 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  NFL Betting blog
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 ... 105 Go Down Print
Author Topic: NFL Betting blog  (Read 208266 times)
action man
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10650



View Profile WWW
« Reply #45 on: September 12, 2011, 04:51:02 AM »

luckily got on the cowboys +6 if i was on ML id be steaming so hard right now
Logged
DungBeetle
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4147


View Profile
« Reply #46 on: September 12, 2011, 10:03:21 AM »

Jets squeak it.  That would have been an early blow after buying Superbowl and Divisional Indicies.  They didn't look very good though Sad
Logged
gatso
Ninja Mod
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16192


Let's go round again


View Profile
« Reply #47 on: September 12, 2011, 11:57:49 AM »

love it so much. jets doing what the jets do, sometimes I wish we'd turn up in the first half and make things easy but guess that'd take all the fun out of it
Logged

If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
Acidmouse
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7624



View Profile
« Reply #48 on: September 12, 2011, 12:12:50 PM »

Happy 49'ers started with a win, any experts on how the team is this year?
Logged
Sheriff Fatman
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 5902



View Profile
« Reply #49 on: September 12, 2011, 01:00:22 PM »

Happy 49'ers started with a win, any experts on how the team is this year?

Prognosis not great.  Yesterday was one of the few games you'll be expected to win this season, only because Seattle are so bad this year.

The obvious problem is quarterback, where Alex Smith is back for another year, despite being a huge disappointment (he was No1 overall pick a few years back) and will no doubt get massive stick from the fans sooner rather than later.  They drafted Colin Kapaernick as his likely successor but he looked poor in pre-season and is obviously not ready to start.

Frank Gore aside, there aren't many weapons in the offence, so they'll struggle to score points (NB: two of last night's scores were from kickoff and punt returns from Ted Ginn).  Defensively, they're a little better, more middle of the pack than at the bottom end.

They didn't do a great deal in free agency this year, and it looks like new coach Jim Harbaugh is building slowly for later years.  They'd be a contender in the 'suck for Luck' stakes (Stanford QB Andrew Luck being the likely No1 draft pick next year, and touted as the most pro-ready college QB since Peyton Manning).  However, they'll struggle to lose enough games for this simply down to the fact that they're in the worst division in the NFL, the NFC West.  The Seahawks have QB issues of their own, Arizona is rebuilding with Kevin Kolb this year (so a bit of an unknown quantity) so only St Louis look to have any sort of stability and should win the division comfortably (got 2/1 on them doing so, which feels huge to me).

Gut feel is that you're heading for 4-6 wins this season, and probably 3rd place in the division.  I think St Louis win it with something like an 8-8 record (which is still better than last year when Seattle won it with 7-9!)

PS: I don't claim to be an expert by replying, but I don't mind putting up a prediction for it to be shot down in flames later on.
Logged

"...And If You Flash Him A Smile He'll Take Your Teeth As Deposit..."
"Sheriff Fatman" - Carter the Unstoppable Sex Machine

2006 Blonde Caption Comp Ultimate Champion (to be replaced by actual poker achievements when I have any)

GUKPT Online Main Event Winner 2008 (yay, a poker achievement!)
Acidmouse
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7624



View Profile
« Reply #50 on: September 12, 2011, 01:36:42 PM »

Thanks man, seems another year of pain for us 49ers fans! lets hope your wrong Smiley
Logged
DungBeetle
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4147


View Profile
« Reply #51 on: September 12, 2011, 01:39:54 PM »

Seattle looked especially gash.  Every single time Red Zone went to the game SF were on the goal line. 
Logged
action man
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10650



View Profile WWW
« Reply #52 on: September 12, 2011, 05:21:54 PM »

i think the play here, is to just go against everything flushy says in this thread, i guarantee it will show a loss
Logged
Royal Flush
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22690


Booooccccceeeeeee


View Profile
« Reply #53 on: September 12, 2011, 05:27:01 PM »

i think the play here, is to just go against everything flushy says in this thread, i guarantee it will show a loss

If only you had money, then you could just lay my bets
Logged

[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
action man
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10650



View Profile WWW
« Reply #54 on: September 12, 2011, 05:30:22 PM »

i think the play here, is to just go against everything flushy says in this thread, i guarantee it will show a loss

If only you had money, then you could just lay my bets

if only you post thoughts on every match i would soon get there
Logged
Royal Flush
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22690


Booooccccceeeeeee


View Profile
« Reply #55 on: September 12, 2011, 05:39:06 PM »

i think the play here, is to just go against everything flushy says in this thread, i guarantee it will show a loss

If only you had money, then you could just lay my bets

if only you post thoughts on every match i would soon get there

Unlike you I don't bet every game like a blind idiot....

Might be why i have money....

As you asked though I do have a big fancy for tonight, Pats -7 @20/21 is insane, sadly I won't be on as they are playing the fins. I really hope I'm wrong but I envisage us getting hammered tonight.

Think line should be 3.5 more, they easily 2/3 scores better than us.
Logged

[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
redarmi
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 5166


View Profile
« Reply #56 on: September 12, 2011, 08:37:45 PM »

I am a Dolphins fan too but I disagree about tonight.  Laying 7 points on the road on MNF in the first game of the season would be the combination of just about every bad/mug bet type I could think of.  For me over the years the key to winning punting on the NFL is to hold your nose and take the bets that look the worst.  More than almost any other sport being a contrarian pays in the NFL and tonight the contrarian view is definitely the Dolphins.
Logged

Royal Flush
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22690


Booooccccceeeeeee


View Profile
« Reply #57 on: September 12, 2011, 08:45:09 PM »

I am a Dolphins fan too but I disagree about tonight.  Laying 7 points on the road on MNF in the first game of the season would be the combination of just about every bad/mug bet type I could think of.  For me over the years the key to winning punting on the NFL is to hold your nose and take the bets that look the worst.  More than almost any other sport being a contrarian pays in the NFL and tonight the contrarian view is definitely the Dolphins.

I hope you are right and know you are a very shrewd punter but I just can't see it, the Pats know our team better than almost any other, the shorter leadin time to the season has seen teams scoring more points as the D's are finding it harder than the O as such a great unit such as the pats will surely walk all over us.

I agree with you in principle with regards to betting against the tide, its just not strong enough today Cheesy
Logged

[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
gatso
Ninja Mod
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16192


Let's go round again


View Profile
« Reply #58 on: September 12, 2011, 08:52:16 PM »

the shorter leadin time to the season has seen teams scoring more points as the D's are finding it harder than the O as such a great unit such as the pats will surely walk all over us.

I think this factor is being overstated. teams only lost 1 preseason game in which their starters would probably have seen virtually no game time anyway
Logged

If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
Royal Flush
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22690


Booooccccceeeeeee


View Profile
« Reply #59 on: September 12, 2011, 09:02:54 PM »

the shorter leadin time to the season has seen teams scoring more points as the D's are finding it harder than the O as such a great unit such as the pats will surely walk all over us.

I think this factor is being overstated. teams only lost 1 preseason game in which their starters would probably have seen virtually no game time anyway

Not worried about the preseason games, more the drills/plays/reps they didn't get to do in practice. A lot of high scoring games in week 1 which is obviously what you want to see if you are taking a team with a handicap
Logged

[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
Pages: 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 ... 105 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.152 seconds with 20 queries.