My tennis betting diary

[MereNovice]

Kvitova is prohibitively priced at 3/1 for the Australian Open, sadly.

Any thoughts on Agnieszka Radwanska at 11/10 to beat Wozniacki?
Obviously there is Wozniacki's massive H2H edge to consider but Radwanska is in far better form?

[tikay]

MereNovice, aka Vince.

Some fine words, advice, & selections there, on the LADIES Tennis.

So, tell us what you know about MENS Tennis......

[MereNovice]

MereNovice, aka Vince.

Some fine words, advice, & selections there, on the LADIES Tennis.

So, tell us what you know about MENS Tennis......

" "

[tikay]

More than I expected, to be fair.

As you were.

[Solaris]

Kvitova is prohibitively priced at 3/1 for the Australian Open, sadly.

Any thoughts on Agnieszka Radwanska at 11/10 to beat Wozniacki?
Obviously there is Wozniacki's massive H2H edge to consider but Radwanska is in far better form?

Think Raddy's capable of beating Wozniacki, but she gave up a ridiculous number of break points on her serve v Petkovic yesterday and at 11/10 think she's too short. I mean, having to defend 14 out of 17 break points in order to win in straight sets is just far too many for me. Wozniacki struggled against Cibulkova and only saved 6 of the 12 she gave up but she also has a h2h record of 5-1.

Given that I actually think Radwanska is too short myself. At 6/4 or around there she offers value, 11/10 is not for me.

[Solaris]

Benneteau @ 10/11 v Lopez (4 units)
Benneteau @ 21/10 to win 2-0
Ebden @ 5/2 v Baghdatis
Harrison @ 11/10 v Kohlscreiber (2 units)
Almagro @ evens v Giraldo (2 units)
Wozniacki @ 5/6 v Radwanska (2 units)
Safarova @ 2/1 v Na (2 units)
Bartoli @ 2/1 v Azarenka

Pre-match profit: 152.60 (+ 2.60)
 
In-play profit: 14 units

Total profit: 16.60 units

I'm conscious of the fact I keep editing my posts to enter in results. I'm therefore going to stop doing this from now on in the interests of fair play. If I find an in-play bet, I will make a new post. Might lead to me being a slight spammer in this thread, but I assume that wouldn't be too much of an issue.

I'm going to add a post later with a lot of Aussie Open qualifying picks so if I find any additional bets I wish to make with the ATP and WTA events I'll put them in that post. Need to eat first as there's LOTS of qualifying matches to go through.

[bobby1]

hi mate,

Ive been catching up with your thread the last few days and enjoyed

Im not a tennis an myself but might throw a few sheckles at the Aussie open fancies.


gl m8

[Solaris]

hi mate,

Ive been catching up with your thread the last few days and enjoyed

Im not a tennis an myself but might throw a few sheckles at the Aussie open fancies.


gl m8

Cheers. Think there will be some huge value at the Aussie Open. Been watching a lot of games so far and whilst I've made some bad selections at times I feel very much in-tune with the form of players etc. Will post my NAPs for the day and a couple of double/trebles that might be worth a go.

[bobby1]

hi mate,

Ive been catching up with your thread the last few days and enjoyed

Im not a tennis an myself but might throw a few sheckles at the Aussie open fancies.


gl m8

Cheers. Think there will be some huge value at the Aussie Open. Been watching a lot of games so far and whilst I've made some bad selections at times I feel very much in-tune with the form of players etc. Will post my NAPs for the day and a couple of double/trebles that might be worth a go.

Excellent, always good to have an interest and I wouldn't beat yourself up about he bad selections. We all do that over time, the trick is spotting it, and you have. It's a good sign.

You can't back winners without a few losers ;o)

[Solaris]

Yeah, just annoying when you make bad selections you knew you should have avoided, but c'est la vie!

Aussie Open Qualifiers

Vesely @ 42/41 v Capkovic
Dustov @ 5/6 v Patrick-Smith
Veic @ 8/11 v Farah (2 units)
Brzezicki @ 8/11 v Ghem
Rufin @ 3/4 v Rieschick (2 units)
Phau @ evens v Clement
Guccione @ 21/20 v Schuettler
Kudla @ 6/5 v Ciric
Serra @ 10/11 v Ginepri
Gremelmayr @ 6/5 v Zemlja
Yugita @ 19/20 v Bemelmans
Lodja @ 5/6 v Silva
Cervantes-Huegun @ 13/8 v Ward

[tikay]

hi mate,

Ive been catching up with your thread the last few days and enjoyed

Im not a tennis an myself but might throw a few sheckles at the Aussie open fancies.

gl m8

You are as bad as that MereNovice.  You can also bet on Mens Tennis, you know.

[The Camel]

Yeah, just annoying when you make bad selections you knew you should have avoided, but c'est la vie!

Aussie Open Qualifiers

Vesely @ 42/41 v Capkovic
Dustov @ 5/6 v Patrick-Smith
Veic @ 8/11 v Farah (2 units)
Brzezicki @ 8/11 v Ghem
Rufin @ 3/4 v Rieschick (2 units)
Phau @ evens v Clement
Guccione @ 21/20 v Schuettler
Kudla @ 6/5 v Ciric
Serra @ 10/11 v Ginepri
Gremelmayr @ 6/5 v Zemlja
Yugita @ 19/20 v Bemelmans
Lodja @ 5/6 v Silva
Cervantes-Huegun @ 13/8 v Ward

Sad to see some former top 16 players in the qualifiers (Clement, Schuettler and Ginepri).

Surely they'd rather retire than traipse around qualys and the challenger tour?

[bobby1]

hi mate,

Ive been catching up with your thread the last few days and enjoyed

Im not a tennis an myself but might throw a few sheckles at the Aussie open fancies.

gl m8

I would bet on most things Tony but the one thing that ladies tennis has over men is its nice to watch.

You are as bad as that MereNovice.  You can also bet on Mens Tennis, you know.

[Solaris]

Sad to see some former top 16 players in the qualifiers (Clement, Schuettler and Ginepri).

Surely they'd rather retire than traipse around qualys and the challenger tour?

Think the "quitting at the top" memo never got to those three. Ginepri is the strangest case of them all. He was injured for the vast majority of last year, started up at week 26, played till week 35 then got injured again (goes to week 45 for men I believe). I mean given that, why bother carrying on? Very strange.

bobby1, think Tikay's angling for hot women to be posted ITT.

I'll do a special Aussie Open thread for him when it begins.

[bobby1]

Ahh I see, Tony has been posting semi porn dressed up (or should that be undressed) as adverts on his diary too ;o)