My tennis betting diary

[Dubai]

Commentators ramping for fun on Roddick game

[Horneris]

fml, not much point in Roddick retiring when Hewitt is this bad.

Correctly thinks he might be able to hold serve and get to tiebreaks.

[Dubai]

What on earth happened to Benn? Could be a grim day

[Horneris]

Not too sure, called the trainer out for his shoulder @ 1-2.

Just got one break back in the 4th but is a bit late now.

Simon never come back from 2-0 down to win 3-2 in his 8 year career, ridiculous that it happens today.

[Horneris]

Well done Benne, good fight.

Shouldn't have got to that though, was class in the first couple of sets.

[Sighmuns]

Nice shout on Benny lads, such pain about Roddick, that shot that Hewitt lucked to win the set at the end was too much. Baaaad day

[MereNovice]

A bit previous?

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/australian-open/womens-australian-open/serena-williams-v-victoria-azarenka/tournament-match-betting

[DungBeetle]

Unlucky Roddick backers - he'd have crusied that 3-0 in normal conditions.

[Solaris]

Today was by far and away the most tilting day of my betting life. Was 17 units up really early on, then had Ebden at 8/1 and 3 units at 27/10 for him to win the match. At 2 sets up and 4-4, 15-0 in the third I decided I was going to trade out a bit, then my mates missus called me to help her with something; can't have been more than two minutes at which point Ebden had been broken and was just about to lose the set. Then wanted to trade out but felt 11/8 for Nishikori was a bit too skinny so left it and consequently made a 4 units loss instead of guaranteeing myself profit.

[ ] good decision
[ ] professional behaviour

Then there was the Roddick mess and Bellucci proceeding to lose on the handicap despite winning the first set 6-2. Sigh.

Funny thing is I still made a 7.88 unit profit, but I made poor errors and that annoys me more than anything.

TOTAL PROFIT: 60.88 UNITS

Tonight:

Lacko + 9.5 @ 9/10 v Nadal (2 units)
Lopez @ 6/5 v Isner (2 units)
Tomic @ 4/5 v Dolgopolov (4 units)
Tomic - 2.5 @ evens (3 units)
Wawrinka to win 3-0 @ 15/8 (2 units)
Wawrinka - 4.5 @ 5/6 (4 units)
Falla + 4.5 @ evens (2 units)
Falla @ 2/1 v Kohlscreiber (2 units)
Bratchikova @ 8/5 v Benesova
Oprandi @ 17/10 v Goerges

[Horneris]

Dolgopolov my only bet this evening at just above 6/5 vs Tomic.

3-0 up on the H2H, more talented for sure, only big worry is that Dolgo has had 2 tough 5 setters and in both has gone through long spells of mediocrity.

Still too big.

Edit: looks like i'm against Solaris!

[Solaris]

Dolgopolov my only bet this evening at just above 6/5 vs Tomic.

3-0 up on the H2H, more talented for sure, only big worry is that Dolgo has had 2 tough 5 setters and in both has gone through long spells of mediocrity.

Still too big.

Edit: looks like i'm against Solaris!

I've watched Dolgopolov in his first few matches and he's really flattering to deceive. He just shouldn't be taken to 5 sets by Greg Jones and Tobias Kamke. Their two encounters last year both went to 3 sets and when you factor in the home support I really feel Tomic is good value at 4/5. Don't normally back players outright at under evens, but think Tomic is overpriced at 4/5 - expected nearer 4/6 or 4/7. Have to admit to enjoying watching Dolgopolov play. He's incredibly unique in his style, but this is one of the very few times I hope he loses!

Should be a cracking match either way.

What's your opinion on the Isner match just out of interest?

[Horneris]

lol, tbh I think Isner will win.

I would have taken the early EVS if I had been quick off the mark but can't back him at 4/5.

I do like your Wawrinka handicap bet tho!

[Solaris]

lol, tbh I think Isner will win.

I would have taken the early EVS if I had been quick off the mark but can't back him at 4/5.

I do like your Wawrinka handicap bet tho!

Same. Wawrinka was class v Baghdatis. Hitting winners for fun and Almagro has been dog shit this year. Be disappointed if that doesn't come through!

Fancy Lopez as Isner is a fat bastard whose just had a tough 5 setter. Think the fact I seriously detest his brand of tennis doesn't help me back him either.

GL in the Tomic match anyway. Shall be nice to see who gets one over the other! 

[Solaris]

Gonna have a really unnecessary nibble on Lacko @ 25/1.

Hopefully I bink the world when I wake up in the morning...

[Solaris]

TOTAL PROFIT: 60.88 UNITS

Lacko + 9.5 @ 9/10 v Nadal (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Lacko @ 25/1 (0.5 unit) - 0.5 unit  LOST - 0.5 units
Bratchikova @ 8/5 v Benesova LOST - 1 unit
Oprandi @ 17/10 v Goerges  LOST - 1 unit
Oprandi @ 7/2 (6 units) third set 0-1 *0-15 LOST - 6 units
Wawrinka to win 3-0 @ 15/8 (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Wawrinka - 4.5 @ 5/6 (4 units) LOST - 4 units
Falla + 4.5 @ evens (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Falla @ 2/1 v Kohlscreiber (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Lopez @ 6/5 v Isner (2 units) WON + 2.4 units
Tomic @ 4/5 v Dolgopolov (4 units)
Tomic - 2.5 @ evens (3 units)
Adding in-play: Goerges @ 10/3 v Opandi (5 units) @ 3-6 3-3  WON + 16.55 units
Adding in-play: Almagro to win 3-0 @ 3/1 (10 units) WON + 30 units

+ 28.45 units atm

FML lost by 1 game in the Lacko match.

Forgot to state I wasn't betting a whole unit on Lacko to win, but at 25/1 I never would!