My tennis betting diary

[MereNovice]

Why are you keen on Voegele?
Gajdosova has a 3-1 singles Fed Cup record since playing for Australia.
Although Switzerland are at home, I can't imagine their crowd being much of a factor and Gajdosova has a decent record on clay.

Voegele looked in reasonable form when losing to Lisicki at the Australian Open but Lisicki wasn't at her best.

[Solaris]

oh dear, a 2-0 Monaco 20 unit bet followed by a 40 unit bet on Montanes in the same match. Could be very expensive if it goes one set all, all the best.

Oh my, just realised you must have at the bare minimum £600 on this, if you are having 3 units on an evens shot I can't imagine a unit is less than a tenner.

Sick, really hope you win this.

Seriously Sol, that's a bit ridic. It makes more sense to just accept you have backed  a loser there and not have twice as much on the other guy in a way that means both bets can lose. Instead of just writing off the 20 units you now have three times that exposed and can lose all 60 units if it goes 1-1

I hope your new guy now wins 2-0 mate

Frustrating more than anything, but watching the match I felt it was Montanes personally. He's a double break down now so set bet is over.

It's all relative, I'm not fussed about a huge loss. I'm happy to bet big if I see something I consider value. Didn't work out this time, it happens.

Unless a miracle happens I'm down 62.5 units for the bets I haven't marked up leaving me + 134.08.

[Solaris]

Why are you keen on Voegele?
Gajdosova has a 3-1 singles Fed Cup record since playing for Australia.
Although Switzerland are at home, I can't imagine their crowd being much of a factor and Gajdosova has a decent record on clay.

Voegele looked in reasonable form when losing to Lisicki at the Australian Open but Lisicki wasn't at her best.

Gaj is properly brain dead.

On a surface like clay think she's got the ability to mentally explode. She had a semi-decent record on clay last year, but her performance in the Aussie Open was so bad I feel she's worth opposing.

Do you think she offers value at 1/2?

[MereNovice]

Why are you keen on Voegele?
Gajdosova has a 3-1 singles Fed Cup record since playing for Australia.
Although Switzerland are at home, I can't imagine their crowd being much of a factor and Gajdosova has a decent record on clay.

Voegele looked in reasonable form when losing to Lisicki at the Australian Open but Lisicki wasn't at her best.

Gaj is properly brain dead.

On a surface like clay think she's got the ability to mentally explode. She had a semi-decent record on clay last year, but her performance in the Aussie Open was so bad I feel she's worth opposing.

Do you think she offers value at 1/2?

Yes, I'd say she's more like 1/3.
I agree that she just "checks out" of matches some times but I think that playing for "her" country means that she is less inclined to do that.
She can be incredibly frustrating at times but I still enjoy watching her. 

[Solaris]

Why are you keen on Voegele?
Gajdosova has a 3-1 singles Fed Cup record since playing for Australia.
Although Switzerland are at home, I can't imagine their crowd being much of a factor and Gajdosova has a decent record on clay.

Voegele looked in reasonable form when losing to Lisicki at the Australian Open but Lisicki wasn't at her best.

Gaj is properly brain dead.

On a surface like clay think she's got the ability to mentally explode. She had a semi-decent record on clay last year, but her performance in the Aussie Open was so bad I feel she's worth opposing.

Do you think she offers value at 1/2?

Yes, I'd say she's more like 1/3.
I agree that she just "checks out" of matches some times but I think that playing for "her" country means that she is less inclined to do that.
She can be incredibly frustrating at times but I still enjoy watching her. 

Debatable just how much she loves playing for Australia! But we'll leave that debate for another day.

Just can't back her away from home when she played as she did. She might win love and one, but I think she's worth opposing.

[Solaris]

Will clean the thread up tomorrow:

Profit: 134.08 units (I believe)

Voegele @ 9/5 v Gajdosova (10 units)
Hercog @ evens v Krumm (15 units)
Benesova @ 10/3 v Lisicki (5 units)
Jovanoski @ 3/1 v Wickmayer (5 units)
Youzhny to win 2-0 @ evens (20 units)

Pending:

Berdych to win ATP Montpellier @ 4/1 (10 units)
Baghdatis to win ATP Zagreb @ 7/2 (10 units)

[Solaris]

Adding: Udomchoke @ 11/8 to win 2-0 (25 units) v Groth

[Solaris]

In-play: Benesova @ 8/1 (5 units) 2-6- *3-4 30-0

Very tight second set at the moment. If Benesova can nick it, I've got a lot of trading available.

[Solaris]

Chardy @ 5/4 to win 2-0 (10 units) WON + 12.5 units
Adding in-play: Montanes @ 13/10 to win 2-0 *3-5 30-15 (40 units) LOST - 40 units
Under 19 games in Chardy match @ evens (15 units) LOST - 15 units
Monaco to win 2-0 @ 5/4 (20 units) LOST - 20 units
Hercog @ evens v Krumm (15 units) LOST - 15 units
Adding: Udomchoke @ 11/8 to win 2-0 (25 units) v Groth WON + 34.38 units

TOTAL PROFIT: + 153.46 units


Pending:

Voegele @ 9/5 v Gajdosova (10 units) WON + 18 units
Benesova @ 10/3 v Lisicki (5 units) WON + 16.66 units
In-play: Benesova @ 8/1 (5 units) 2-6- *3-4 30-0 WON + 40 units
Lisicki @ 6/4 (7 units) 6-2 4-6 2-3* LOST - 7 units
Adding in-play: Kvitova @ 4/5 (20 units) 3-6 3-3* 15-15 WON + 16 units

TOTAL PROFIT: + 237.12 units

Jovanoski @ 3/1 v Wickmayer (5 units)
Youzhny to win 2-0 @ evens (20 units)

Given how well Benesova is playing (as I type this it's Lisicki serving @ *1-1 40-A) Lisicki is trading at a ridiculously low price.

Going to run with it. If Benesova wins I'm plus 56.66 units, if she doesn't I'm down 10. Just don't feel like Lisicki is worth backing at 1/3 when they're on serve at 2-1 now.

[Solaris]

Lisicki @ 6/4 (7 units) 6-2 4-6 2-3*

Guaranteed profit either way, admittedly it's only 0.5 of a unit if Lisicki wins but Benesova is playing excellently, so going to let it ride.

[MereNovice]

You're getting good value from Voegele too.
Voegele won first set 6-0. Gajdosova went 5-2 up in second set and then taken to tie-break. Gajdosova 6-2 up in tie-break and eventually won it 10-8.
Can't find any live streaming so no idea what is going on.

[Solaris]

You're getting good value from Voegele too.
Voegele won first set 6-0. Gajdosova went 5-2 up in second set and then taken to tie-break. Gajdosova 6-2 up in tie-break and eventually won it 10-8.
Can't find any live streaming so no idea what is going on.

Scoreboard's a complete joke.

Gaj was 5-1 up on serve I believe. Now 2-0 Voegele in the final set, think she'll win it from here.

[Solaris]

Think on last count Voegele has had 5 match points so far. 7-6* on server in the final set.

Adding in-play: Kvitova @ 4/5 (20 units) 3-6 3-3* 15-15

[Solaris]

In-play: Berdych - 4.5 @ evens v Kohlschreiber (10 units) 0-0 *15-15

[Solaris]

In-play:

Cibulkova @ 4/5 (20 units) v Razzano *0-3 15-13
Cibulkova @ 5/2 (10 units) to win first set *0-3 15-13