Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

"BREAKING NEWS! @LucasdiGrassi disqualified from #BerlinePrix further details to follow"

i think this might be huge news for the Piquet bet

[TightEnd]

Interesting article by Pullien today in the Post about play off finals and their lack of goals generally.  He makes an interesting comment about how the mean average goals in play off finals is in line with or only slightly lower than regular season games.  However the distribution of these goals is more stretched out.  43% of finals have gone under 1.5 goals but only 57% under 2.5 goals.  Obviously the sample size is relatively small.  It seems like these games are either very very tight or massively freeflowing with plenty of goals when teams are chasing and not much in between.  Seems like 2 or 3 goals in these types of games might be less likely than normal goal distributions would have us believe.  Given the pressure and rewards at stake this would seem logical if it is 0-0 teams play very defensive not wanting to take much risk later on.  If you have a copy of the post it is worth a read.

Given how close the div 2 game is i think the draw is a big price at 12/5.  Recommend £30

Also under 1.5 goals at 2/1, recommend £30.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/total-goals-over-under
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/winner

£30.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Southend United v Wycombe Wanderers
Match Result
   Draw    12/5    
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 102.00
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 102.00

23 May 2015 - Southend v Wycombe - Total Match Goals Under/Over
Tip It

Under 1.5 @ 2/1

Stake : £30.00
Estimated Returns : £
90.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001326/F

two winners, cheers

0-0 going into extra time

[Peter-27]

The Berlin ePrix starts in 30 mins, just seen a market on Lassbrokes, suggest the following bet:

Race winner: Lucas di Grassi @ 7/2 - suggest £20.

It's between him and Buemi in my eyes. Lucas has looked more confident and stable in the car this weekend so far, and it's a good price. Buemi is also 7/2 though FYI.

I can't see this on ladbrokes or oddschecker

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/Formula-E/Motor-Racing-N-1z0zbr2Z1z14167/ 4 mins! You could back both, but means less profit of course, and there is a chance that both could not finish or smth!

ran out of time sorry. ladbrokes froze on me

Ahh, that's a shame. Lucas won by miles!

In fact, exactly what I thought would happen, did happen. A bit gutted I didn't put more on TBH!

Hopefully some of you guys got on the bet.

Thank you Peter. I think you're even better on E  Motor Racing than F1

I think it's more a case of the bookies not really knowing motorsport well - as Formula E is a new series, their prices are a bit out of joint. Whereas I already have a tonne of background knowledge

You're welcome  

The Berlin ePrix starts in 30 mins, just seen a market on Lassbrokes, suggest the following bet:

Race winner: Lucas di Grassi @ 7/2 - suggest £20.

It's between him and Buemi in my eyes. Lucas has looked more confident and stable in the car this weekend so far, and it's a good price. Buemi is also 7/2 though FYI.

I can't see this on ladbrokes or oddschecker

http://sportsbeta.ladbrokes.com/Formula-E/Motor-Racing-N-1z0zbr2Z1z14167/ 4 mins! You could back both, but means less profit of course, and there is a chance that both could not finish or smth!

ran out of time sorry. ladbrokes froze on me

Ahh, that's a shame. Lucas won by miles!

In fact, exactly what I thought would happen, did happen. A bit gutted I didn't put more on TBH!

Hopefully some of you guys got on the bet.

cheers

No problem

Breaking news though! Lucas has been disqualified from the race!! Not sure why yet - probably something to do with his car not making it back to the pits after the race.

The money already been credited, and the bet settled. They can't take it back, can they?

[Peter-27]

"BREAKING NEWS! @LucasdiGrassi disqualified from #BerlinePrix further details to follow"

i think this might be huge news for the Piquet bet

Good point - it means that Nelson now leads the championship!

Nelson will be on 103 points, Lucas on 93.

The stewards have said the DSQ is due to "illegal modifications to car" ..

Lucas has until 21:08 Local Time to appeal.

[TightEnd]

"BREAKING NEWS! @LucasdiGrassi disqualified from #BerlinePrix further details to follow"

i think this might be huge news for the Piquet bet

Good point - it means that Nelson now leads the championship!

Nelson will be on 103 points, Lucas on 93.

your winning bet will be fine, all paid out

sorry i missed it again, IT issues at the wrong time

[Peter-27]

"BREAKING NEWS! @LucasdiGrassi disqualified from #BerlinePrix further details to follow"

i think this might be huge news for the Piquet bet

Good point - it means that Nelson now leads the championship!

Nelson will be on 103 points, Lucas on 93.

your winning bet will be fine, all paid out

sorry i missed it again, IT issues at the wrong time

No need to apologise, not your fault! I didn't exactly give you much notice 

[arbboy]

Interesting article by Pullien today in the Post about play off finals and their lack of goals generally.  He makes an interesting comment about how the mean average goals in play off finals is in line with or only slightly lower than regular season games.  However the distribution of these goals is more stretched out.  43% of finals have gone under 1.5 goals but only 57% under 2.5 goals.  Obviously the sample size is relatively small.  It seems like these games are either very very tight or massively freeflowing with plenty of goals when teams are chasing and not much in between.  Seems like 2 or 3 goals in these types of games might be less likely than normal goal distributions would have us believe.  Given the pressure and rewards at stake this would seem logical if it is 0-0 teams play very defensive not wanting to take much risk later on.  If you have a copy of the post it is worth a read.

Given how close the div 2 game is i think the draw is a big price at 12/5.  Recommend £30

Also under 1.5 goals at 2/1, recommend £30.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/total-goals-over-under
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/winner

£30.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Southend United v Wycombe Wanderers
Match Result
   Draw    12/5    
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 102.00
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 102.00

23 May 2015 - Southend v Wycombe - Total Match Goals Under/Over
Tip It

Under 1.5 @ 2/1

Stake : £30.00
Estimated Returns : £
90.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001326/F

two winners, cheers

0-0 going into extra time

 Shame we didn't go for the crown jewels and have 0-0 and draw x draw.  I was tempted to stick the lot up!

Same again tomorrow and Monday

[TightEnd]

Interesting article by Pullien today in the Post about play off finals and their lack of goals generally.  He makes an interesting comment about how the mean average goals in play off finals is in line with or only slightly lower than regular season games.  However the distribution of these goals is more stretched out.  43% of finals have gone under 1.5 goals but only 57% under 2.5 goals.  Obviously the sample size is relatively small.  It seems like these games are either very very tight or massively freeflowing with plenty of goals when teams are chasing and not much in between.  Seems like 2 or 3 goals in these types of games might be less likely than normal goal distributions would have us believe.  Given the pressure and rewards at stake this would seem logical if it is 0-0 teams play very defensive not wanting to take much risk later on.  If you have a copy of the post it is worth a read.

Given how close the div 2 game is i think the draw is a big price at 12/5.  Recommend £30

Also under 1.5 goals at 2/1, recommend £30.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/total-goals-over-under
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/winner

£30.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Southend United v Wycombe Wanderers
Match Result
   Draw    12/5    
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 102.00
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 102.00

23 May 2015 - Southend v Wycombe - Total Match Goals Under/Over
Tip It

Under 1.5 @ 2/1

Stake : £30.00
Estimated Returns : £
90.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001326/F

two winners, cheers

0-0 going into extra time

  Shame we didn't go for the crown jewels and have 0-0 and draw x draw.  I was tempted to stick the lot up!

Same again tomorrow and Monday

please stick them up fresh tomorrow/monday

shouldn't preston, in style and tactics, have too many goals in them for this approach? garner, beckford, gallagher etc etc

only seen them on tv a few times this season but they go for it, and best chance tomorrow will be to do so again

[BigAdz]

Preston surely a massive price?!

I had backed them to win play offs, and so didn't even look until a moment ago.

Must be an element of their price based on the million times they have failed to qualify stat, as they will surely crush Swindon, based on pretty much every angle I can think of.

They looked confident in the semi, when I expected nerves, and can see this being one way traffic.



PS. Good work on the unders bet!!

[JohnCharver]

cheers arbboy, nailed that game. At 65-70m was sure you were gonna post and spark a goal fest.

Sick end to that game, playoffs are epic.

[arbboy]

cheers arbboy, nailed that game. At 65-70m was sure you were gonna post and spark a goal fest.

Sick end to that game, playoffs are epic.

I just followed the Rpost stats guru Pullien.  Seemed a logical argument he made.  One of the few reasons i bother to pay £2.50 for the RP on a Saturday.

[Jables20]

I met Jamie Burland last year. He used the words "for real" in situations where I would say "yes" or "I quite agree".

Better still, he said "for real" like it was one word. Imagine if this woman had wandered past...

Click to see full-size image.

...and you said to him "oh, Jamie, look! That's that actress that used to be in Brookside and many other excellent programmes: Anna...something". He'd answer and you wouldn't be sure whether he was answering your question or just agreeing that it was Anna Something.

What irks me most is that he carried it off completely. Folk like me have difficulty getting a "sick" through without comic rebuke, but I suspect Mr Burland could stroll past with an armful of "'sup"s, "an wot?"s and "tru dat"s and no one would bat an eyelid.

Should be a fun show.

Hahahahahha. I love this! I was Jamie's best man. This has cracked me up. He's the last man alive I can imagine getting a 'sup through. He does play out the odd watchya though - like some sort of 80s Grange Hill character. It must be a South East London thing.

Brilliant.

I went for a curry with Jamie and his mrs to be and Bad Beat Channing.

When the bill came, Neil thought up a very complicated numbers game to decide who was going to pay.

Jamie's goirlfriend looked confused and said "I don't understand, what is happening Jamie?"

"I don't really understand either" he replied "But it looks like we're paying for dinner" Before the game had actually started.

sup. Thanks for the kind words and funny story

[tikay]

^^^^^

oioi, 2guys1acct itt.

[Jables20]

^^^^^

oioi, 2guys1acct itt.

haha very safe of you

[tikay]

^^^^^

oioi, 2guys1acct itt.

haha very safe of you

'sup dude