Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

https://www.888sport.com/bet/#/group/2000053301/category/2771

These prices are so wrong. Prices to finish last are 5-2 UK, 9-2 Frogs, 6 Germany, 14 Austria.

Rec £40 UK @ 7-4.

[TightEnd]

https://www.888sport.com/bet/#/group/2000053301/category/2771

These prices are so wrong. Prices to finish last are 5-2 UK, 9-2 Frogs, 6 Germany, 14 Austria.

Rec £40 UK @ 7-4.

thats on

i can't c and p but £40 at 7-4

for my ref UK needs to be bottom of germany, austria, france, spain, australia, italy 

[Chompy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/eurovision/top-recent-winner

Good one for money buyers.

[arbboy]

ive listned to them all and I think Serbia at 13/8 top 10 boilsprts orslybet is where my moneys going on eurovision

English Greyhound Derby-BFSB are standout price for Droopys Ward at 41.0 Next best odds are all 34.0 so will be an easy lay back at 36.0 when/if Betfair's price drops...

As a sweetener they also offer (up to) a £25 free bet if Droopys Nidge wins (favourite at 21.0).

scotty? arbboy?

Yes seems a logical bet to me with the offer as well.  VUL not to win the derby last year.  Stays all day and has as good a chance as any in the field.  Wouldn't be averse to adding it to the portfolio for a pony to take advantage of the offer.

Droopy's Ward is now 33-1 best

yes or no? assume i have missed it

just to make sure, we don't want to back droppy's nige as well?

Should get 40/1 easily on bf.  Wouldn't be taking 33/1.

[Chompy]

Derek McGovern has tipped the UK to finish in the top ten at 3-1. Like wtf!

[TightEnd]

ive listned to them all and I think Serbia at 13/8 top 10 boilsprts orslybet is where my moneys going on eurovision

English Greyhound Derby-BFSB are standout price for Droopys Ward at 41.0 Next best odds are all 34.0 so will be an easy lay back at 36.0 when/if Betfair's price drops...

As a sweetener they also offer (up to) a £25 free bet if Droopys Nidge wins (favourite at 21.0).

scotty? arbboy?

Yes seems a logical bet to me with the offer as well.  VUL not to win the derby last year.  Stays all day and has as good a chance as any in the field.  Wouldn't be averse to adding it to the portfolio for a pony to take advantage of the offer.

Droopy's Ward is now 33-1 best

yes or no? assume i have missed it

just to make sure, we don't want to back droppy's nige as well?

Should get 40/1 easily on bf.  Wouldn't be taking 33/1.

but not the offer if we use the exchange not the sportsbook?

[Doobs]

ive listned to them all and I think Serbia at 13/8 top 10 boilsprts orslybet is where my moneys going on eurovision

English Greyhound Derby-BFSB are standout price for Droopys Ward at 41.0 Next best odds are all 34.0 so will be an easy lay back at 36.0 when/if Betfair's price drops...

As a sweetener they also offer (up to) a £25 free bet if Droopys Nidge wins (favourite at 21.0).

scotty? arbboy?

Yes seems a logical bet to me with the offer as well.  VUL not to win the derby last year.  Stays all day and has as good a chance as any in the field.  Wouldn't be averse to adding it to the portfolio for a pony to take advantage of the offer.

Droopy's Ward is now 33-1 best

yes or no? assume i have missed it

just to make sure, we don't want to back droppy's nige as well?

Should get 40/1 easily on bf.  Wouldn't be taking 33/1.

but not the offer if we use the exchange not the sportsbook?

The offer isn't worth that much and do we get it anyway? 

[arbboy]

Interesting article by Pullien today in the Post about play off finals and their lack of goals generally.  He makes an interesting comment about how the mean average goals in play off finals is in line with or only slightly lower than regular season games.  However the distribution of these goals is more stretched out.  43% of finals have gone under 1.5 goals but only 57% under 2.5 goals.  Obviously the sample size is relatively small.  It seems like these games are either very very tight or massively freeflowing with plenty of goals when teams are chasing and not much in between.  Seems like 2 or 3 goals in these types of games might be less likely than normal goal distributions would have us believe.  Given the pressure and rewards at stake this would seem logical if it is 0-0 teams play very defensive not wanting to take much risk later on.  If you have a copy of the post it is worth a read.

Given how close the div 2 game is i think the draw is a big price at 12/5.  Recommend £30

Also under 1.5 goals at 2/1, recommend £30.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/total-goals-over-under
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/winner

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

I think we should back Catalan to beat Wigan today. Wigan are a solid side and good defensively but I think their offence is going to struggle to score heavily without Gelling and Farrell. Wigan's wingers are very good but that seems to be their only threat, as I don't rate their penetration in close. With that in mind I think Catalan could score the 20+ points they will need to win this.

Suggest £15 Catalan @ 11/8 with Hills or Betfred.

[TightEnd]

Interesting article by Pullien today in the Post about play off finals and their lack of goals generally.  He makes an interesting comment about how the mean average goals in play off finals is in line with or only slightly lower than regular season games.  However the distribution of these goals is more stretched out.  43% of finals have gone under 1.5 goals but only 57% under 2.5 goals.  Obviously the sample size is relatively small.  It seems like these games are either very very tight or massively freeflowing with plenty of goals when teams are chasing and not much in between.  Seems like 2 or 3 goals in these types of games might be less likely than normal goal distributions would have us believe.  Given the pressure and rewards at stake this would seem logical if it is 0-0 teams play very defensive not wanting to take much risk later on.  If you have a copy of the post it is worth a read.

Given how close the div 2 game is i think the draw is a big price at 12/5.  Recommend £30

Also under 1.5 goals at 2/1, recommend £30.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/total-goals-over-under
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/southend-v-wycombe/winner

£30.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Southend United v Wycombe Wanderers
Match Result
   Draw    12/5    
Total stake   £ 30.00
Estimated return   £ 102.00
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 102.00

23 May 2015 - Southend v Wycombe - Total Match Goals Under/Over
Tip It

Under 1.5 @ 2/1

Stake : £30.00
Estimated Returns : £
90.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001326/F

[TightEnd]

Morning Tighty.

I think we should back Catalan to beat Wigan today. Wigan are a solid side and good defensively but I think their offence is going to struggle to score heavily without Gelling and Farrell. Wigan's wingers are very good but that seems to be their only threat, as I don't rate their penetration in close. With that in mind I think Catalan could score the 20+ points they will need to win this.

Suggest £15 Catalan @ 11/8 with Hills or Betfred.

23 May 2015 - Catalan Dragons v Wigan - Match Betting

Catalan Dragons @ 11/8

Stake : £15.00
Estimated Returns : £
35.55
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001327/F

[Peter-27]

Couple of pre-qualifying F1 bets:

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ 11/10 with Reef. Bookie is out of line, there's no way this should be over EVS! Suggest £20.

Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ 9/4 with several bookies. Force India are poor aerodynamically until their new car comes out in Austria, however their good traction out of slow speed corners seems to be propelling them up the field. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/monaco-grand-prix/points-finish

If anyone sees any Formula E markets, let me know please!

[TightEnd]

Couple of pre-qualifying F1 bets:

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ 11/10 with Reef. Bookie is out of line, there's no way this should be over EVS! Suggest £20.

Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ 9/4 with several bookies. Force India are poor aerodynamically until their new car comes out in Austria, however their good traction out of slow speed corners seems to be propelling them up the field. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/monaco-grand-prix/points-finish

If anyone sees any Formula E markets, let me know please!

even with the grid penalty for grosjean?

[TightEnd]

with merc x 2 ferrari x 2 williams x 2 a red bull etc what are the chances of button, maldonado, grosjean and perez hitting the points Peter? (don't work it out)

should we really be backing all four? there are only a few top ten spots to go for minus some big incident/lack of reliability aren't there?

[Peter-27]

with merc x 2 ferrari x 2 williams x 2 a red bull etc what are the chances of button, maldonado, grosjean and perez hitting the points Peter? (don't work it out)

should we really be backing all four? there are only a few top ten spots to go for minus some big incident/lack of reliability aren't there?

Williams are struggling here, they don't have the downforce to compete particularly strongly. They have been way off the pace through practice, and, unless they've been sandbagging (which I don't believe to be the case), they will struggle to score points which opens up the places for other drivers.

Even with the Grosjean penalty, I'd recommend the bet. I suspect he'll qualify 6th, meaning he starts 11th. Perez is a bit more of an outside chance, but the price is value