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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 14869455 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #102915 on: June 19, 2015, 05:13:26 PM »

Will send Tony £100 now.  Edit.  sent
« Last Edit: June 19, 2015, 05:16:34 PM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Omm
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« Reply #102916 on: June 19, 2015, 05:13:37 PM »

Thanks Doobs
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engy
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« Reply #102917 on: June 19, 2015, 05:14:01 PM »

top tipping again doobs
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Bazzaboy
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« Reply #102918 on: June 19, 2015, 05:32:47 PM »

Good work Doobs
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JohnCharver
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« Reply #102919 on: June 19, 2015, 05:43:10 PM »

lol ill be on the bridge..
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TightEnd
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« Reply #102920 on: June 19, 2015, 06:07:15 PM »

Jenson Button says "penalties" are likely for him this weekend - probably two. So both McLarens starting at the back, almost certainly
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« Reply #102921 on: June 19, 2015, 06:38:42 PM »

Evening Tighty.

Superleague tonight sees Hull KR hosting Warrington. This is a game that could go either way. I couldn't back Warrington at odds on  as they have failed to win on the handicap in 15 out of 20 games this season. Hull KR's method of winning is to score lots of points, as their defence is shaky especially in the centre channel. For this reason I think we should go for the overs in points. I thought the quote would have been 52 but people are quoting 49. We can get 11/8 for going over 52 points which seems decent.

Suggest £20 over 52.5 points @ 11/8 with betvictor.

Anyone who likes try scorers then I think Sio and Dixon for Hull KR and Ormsby and Atkins for Warrington are value.
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« Reply #102922 on: June 19, 2015, 07:03:46 PM »

Have taken another £50 out of Jordy at 4 to cover the Tiger loss.

Jordy now loses £1,100, with any other winner returning a profit of £143.

Crows are gonna crow, nits and gonna nit.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #102923 on: June 19, 2015, 07:06:21 PM »

Jordy now wins us £789 for a freeeeeeeroll.
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« Reply #102924 on: June 19, 2015, 07:10:41 PM »

looking ok for force india with the new engines



looking ok for McLaren point bears too

FIA release says Alonso will have new engine, turbo and MGU-H. That's a 20-place penalty - almost certainly a drive-through at start of race



I am interested to know if this means that after this GP the new 'engine, turbo and MGU-H' will mean that they are more competitive in future races with a chance of scoring points.

Peter? Do you know how this might affect future races? Or anyone?

I believe Blonde sold McLaren at 153 for £1 and bought Force India at £77 for £1. Originally the main reason was because we thought that Force India had a real chance of scoring more points than McLaren over the season.

Current quotes are now:

McLaren 51 - 57 (so far 4)
Force India 58 - 62 (so far 21)

I am tempted to close out the McLaren position and take that profit whilst letting the FI position run.

Any opinions?
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tikay
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« Reply #102925 on: June 19, 2015, 07:29:15 PM »

Will send Tony £100 now.  Edit.  sent

Incred, just got up here, had a peruse of Fred, & I find I'm £100 better off after backing a winner of which I knew nothing.

Very generous Doobs, thank you very much.
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tikay
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« Reply #102926 on: June 19, 2015, 07:29:42 PM »

Jordy now wins us £789 for a freeeeeeeroll.

What does this mean Mr W, are we on?
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« Reply #102927 on: June 19, 2015, 07:34:44 PM »

Jordy now wins us £789 for a freeeeeeeroll.

What does this mean Mr W, are we on?

We had £50 on Tiger at 28-1 and £90-odd on Jordan at 20-1. Have laid £100 at 10.5 and £50 at 4.0 Jordan. That means, if Jordan wins, we win £789, if anyone else wins we break even.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Peter-27
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« Reply #102928 on: June 19, 2015, 08:45:46 PM »

looking ok for force india with the new engines



looking ok for McLaren point bears too

FIA release says Alonso will have new engine, turbo and MGU-H. That's a 20-place penalty - almost certainly a drive-through at start of race



I am interested to know if this means that after this GP the new 'engine, turbo and MGU-H' will mean that they are more competitive in future races with a chance of scoring points.

Peter? Do you know how this might affect future races? Or anyone?

I believe Blonde sold McLaren at 153 for £1 and bought Force India at £77 for £1. Originally the main reason was because we thought that Force India had a real chance of scoring more points than McLaren over the season.

Current quotes are now:

McLaren 51 - 57 (so far 4)
Force India 58 - 62 (so far 21)

I am tempted to close out the McLaren position and take that profit whilst letting the FI position run.

Any opinions?

I'm not sure what Tighty meant by new engine to be honest. Mercedes engines have not been upgraded for this race, to my knowledge anyway.

Since Monaco, Force India have been running internal components for their new VJM08B to test reliability, and they've had no problems. This new car will hit the track properly for the first time in the post-Austrian GP test, and will race in the British GP. I believe Sporting Index have not taken this into consideration and I expect Force India to score around 125-150 points this season. That's why two days ago I bought Force India at 53 points for £20.

As for McLaren, I'm not quite sure why everyone (pundits and "experts" included) are so surprised by how badly McLaren have been performing this season. Their Honda engine is a whole year behind the others, this was inevitable and the team themselves expected it. Given that engine development is limited in-season, McLaren will do well to score 25 points all year. In short, I would suggest keeping both bets.

I'm going to scour the F1 markets now, will put up suggestions shortly Smiley
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tikay
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« Reply #102929 on: June 19, 2015, 08:49:55 PM »

Jordy now wins us £789 for a freeeeeeeroll.

What does this mean Mr W, are we on?

We had £50 on Tiger at 28-1 and £90-odd on Jordan at 20-1. Have laid £100 at 10.5 and £50 at 4.0 Jordan. That means, if Jordan wins, we win £789, if anyone else wins we break even.



Yes yes, that's exactly what I thought.
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