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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16431375 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #103830 on: July 14, 2015, 10:34:34 AM »

Another sub market recc - Dirty EW bet Alert!!!!

Following from tighty's Jaidee bet and reasoning, I think we can oppose Matsuyama in the top Asian Market with him

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/open-championship/top-asian


With the last 6 in the betting next to no-hopers I think we should take advantage of the EW terms with sadblokes and the 3 places 1/4 odds in what feels essentially an 8 runner race.

This feels a bit dirty but with it being the open, it is the equivalent to a festival horse race (isn't it??)

I'm having £20EW @13/2 and tentatively recommend to Fred

Leave it open to discussion before placing though, please.

<edit> This is a restricted market so its more midweek seller than weekend festival

£20 e/w feels a bit big to me for here. He's a 350-1 outright poke for starters where i happened to spot one preview piece that mentioned him

anyway,...i better get on with it before i get tempted to research messrs Tomimura, Fujita,Toshima, Oda and Iwata

 Outright Thongchai Jaidee (EW) (Top Asian - Tournament) Odds: 13/2 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  98.00

e/w 1/5 1,2,3
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« Reply #103831 on: July 14, 2015, 10:51:58 AM »

Nice to see golf betting genius Jerry Chapman is on some of the same lines as us, including Dustbin, Oosty and Goosen in his portfolio.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #103832 on: July 14, 2015, 06:53:07 PM »

we have a bet on wigan for league one

today they have signed will grigg, their 8th signing of the summer

(a chompy bet, but my additional contention was that if things are stable off the field - they haven't been for two years-  then premier league parachute payments in league one gives them a big budgetary advantage, as it did for wolves when they went down twice on the trot)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/33523375

grigg scored 22 for MK Dons last season, on loan from brentford, and substantially helped them up


i will be very interested to look at league one golden boot when the market goes up

possibly a 20+ scorer for a team that should be top 3.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-1


yes, chompy?
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« Reply #103833 on: July 14, 2015, 07:03:24 PM »

Very best of luck to this bloke:



No, not the gooner bloke. The other one.

Fred reader, George "Well Chief" McDonald is 26/27 in some poker tournament or other.

http://www.wsop.com/m/chipcounts/?grid=1136&tid=14268&dayof=142689
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« Reply #103834 on: July 14, 2015, 07:06:01 PM »

Very best of luck to this bloke:



No, not the gooner bloke. The other one.

Fred reader, George "Well Chief" McDonald is 26/27 in some poker tournament or other.

http://www.wsop.com/m/chipcounts/?grid=1136&tid=14268&dayof=142689

only a couple of double ups away from CL.

Get there!
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« Reply #103835 on: July 14, 2015, 07:28:41 PM »

Very best of luck to this bloke:



No, not the gooner bloke. The other one.

Fred reader, George "Well Chief" McDonald is 26/27 in some poker tournament or other.

http://www.wsop.com/m/chipcounts/?grid=1136&tid=14268&dayof=142689

I thought that name stirred something deep in my memory.

Best of luck Mr. Chief, just play it like The Arkle.
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« Reply #103836 on: July 14, 2015, 07:44:40 PM »

massive stage for sky today in the TDF cant see them being overtaken unless the is an injury or 3
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« Reply #103837 on: July 14, 2015, 09:36:35 PM »

Pokerstars doing refunds up to £50 (as a freebet), if Spieth wins The Open.
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« Reply #103838 on: July 14, 2015, 10:02:03 PM »

For the lad that put up Luton to win league 2 hoping Craig m-smith would sign.Good news for your bet he scored for Luton tonight so maybe he will sign.Dont think we're a top 3 team but you could get a good run for your 14/1 and plenty of local money is going on.
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« Reply #103839 on: July 14, 2015, 11:47:36 PM »

For the lad that put up Luton to win league 2 hoping Craig m-smith would sign.Good news for your bet he scored for Luton tonight so maybe he will sign.Dont think we're a top 3 team but you could get a good run for your 14/1 and plenty of local money is going on.

Is there anyone that hasn't signed for Luton this summer? Paddy McCourt was an eyecatcher. Without wanting to sound like Leroy Rosenior, I'd want to see how they go in early games after so many changes.

Absolutely, Grigg is a solid signing. Wouldn't know the exact numbers but don't think he played as many minutes as you'd have expected for the Donks last season. He won't beat Gormley to the Golden Shoe though obvs.
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« Reply #103840 on: July 15, 2015, 10:22:02 AM »

no bets completed yesterday

For the first time ever, three British riders finish in the top-10 of a Tour de France stage (1. Froome, 6. Thomas, 7. A.Yates)



sky now well clear in the team standings

gripel in green again ahead of sagan

you have to go a long way down the list to find Kwiatowski

froome is well clear




in county cricket Middlesex, robbed of a day and a bits play, set Somerset 219 in 40 overs and tried to bowl them out on the final afternoon

with three overs left Somerset were 135-7 and this was the field



they couldn't quite force the win and had to settle for draw points


meanwhile at Durham much excitement. No, really

Warwickshire bowled Durham out for 148 in the second innings, leaving them 265 to win

veteran rikki clarke and chris woakes, returing from inury, did the damage

 Click to see full-size image.


At the close they were 125-3 chasing, 140 off what would be a vital win. for them, and for both our postions as durham are in the top 3

the spice boy combination of laurie evans and sam hain are at the crease. 50-50 type game from here on day 4


one more day to go


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« Reply #103841 on: July 15, 2015, 11:29:32 AM »

Pokerstars doing refunds up to £50 (as a freebet), if Spieth wins The Open.

They seem to have ducked everybody and don't seem to offer each way.  The offer isn't that great as Spieth only wins the Open 1 in 8 times.  You are definitely better avoiding this and just finiding somebody who gives you decent prices and better each way terms.

eg Fowler at Stars with concession is 16.125/1, Ladbrtokes and Hills are giving you 20/1. 

Stars do give you a £20 free bet with your first £10 bet which is worth doing.     
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #103842 on: July 15, 2015, 11:59:03 AM »

Pokerstars doing refunds up to £50 (as a freebet), if Spieth wins The Open.

They seem to have ducked everybody and don't seem to offer each way.  The offer isn't that great as Spieth only wins the Open 1 in 8 times.  You are definitely better avoiding this and just finiding somebody who gives you decent prices and better each way terms.

eg Fowler at Stars with concession is 16.125/1, Ladbrtokes and Hills are giving you 20/1.  

Stars do give you a £20 free bet with your first £10 bet which is worth doing.    

I have just popped opne odds checker, and Hills are pretty much matching Betfair on all the top golfers in the betting and paying 6 places.

I haven't rerun the spreadsheet, but it is going to be pretty tough to have a bad bet if you build a portfolio by visiting Hills and picking a few at the top at random.
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« Reply #103843 on: July 15, 2015, 12:27:52 PM »


Adam Scott @ 25-1 seems ok and we haven't got him I don't think.
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« Reply #103844 on: July 15, 2015, 12:30:54 PM »


Adam Scott @ 25-1 seems ok and we haven't got him I don't think.

Fwiw I have pretty much backed all the top ones I hadn't got already with Hills. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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