Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

got chances?

BAGS Track Championship Winner   newcastle   4/1   200            £100 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4
BAGS Track Championship Winner   newcastle   4/1   100            £50 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4
BAGS Track Championship Winner   newcastle   4/1   50            £25 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4

Virtually certain to be in the final.  Probably a 2/1 shot now.  The ew part at evens is probably a 1/4 shot now.

http://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/ante-post/bags-track-championship/winner
http://www.bagsracing.com/the-north.html

1/7 to win their group (probably 1/20 to reach the final).  They will probably still get through as a highest scoring loser in 2nd even if they don't win their group as they currently have the highest points total of any track as it currently stands. (4 group winners go through alongside the 2 highest scoring losers).  Several of the early fav's are not certain to get through like Newcastle are either so will be very hard for Newcastle to not top 4 in the final the week before xmas.

Given the above if anyone isn't involved already i would still recommend a decent bet ew at 9/4 1/4 1,2,3,4.  You are getting a spot of value on the win and 4/7 about the place.  I would be having a decent bet at 4/7 place only if i could get it on them finishing in the top 4 of 6 in the final.

[Peter-27]

I know you guys may have bought the McLaren/Force India points bets at different positions, so here's my updated estimate of how many points they'll get at the remaining races:

                    Currently / Mexico / Brazil / Abu Dhabi / Total
Force India         102         12        20          4           138
McLaren              27          0          4           1            32

[horseplayer]

Done quite a bit of reading on the Chesterfield forums as of late (fun life i know)

The general consensus is they still think Saunders is useless and that they have been incredibly fortunate on many occasions to nick wins. (This was still the main view even before the heavy defeat at the weekend after 2 straight wins).

The squad itself is not that bad and is probably a lower mid table one at worst. Not the strongest depth though and the Saunders effect can still really click in.

I also note one of the "expected goals" people on Twitter tells me on his League One ratings they "should" be second bottom above the hapless Crewe.

I would caution that slightly by suggesting League One this year is even more full of very very evenly matched teams than ever and minuscule margins could decide this and the other bets over one season more than ever.

[Chompy]

Don't think I've ever seen a worse team at London Road than Doncaster, including non-leaguers in the FA Cup. It could so easily have been double-figures on another day.

Their midfield is Dad's Army stuff, while the unlikeable Chaplow had a bust-up with Fergie while he was at Preston. Would happily take the likes of Blackpool and Fleetwood against them in match bets.

[horseplayer]

Also been doing a lot of Breeders Cup reading hopefully post some more views/suggestions later in the week.

For the meantime sometimes pays to make an obvious bet.

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/international/breeders-cup-turf/winner

Not going to argue that on form the front two are priced correctly.

However Golden Horn has just drawn 1 which is against the rail on the turf track (very poor stats) Obviously has to be factored in that 99.99% of horses who made up this stat would not beat Golden Horn with a 8 length start but even so it is a small negative.

This also caught my eye.



As it says hard to be sure but even the soft side of good is a positive for Found and anymore than that a bigger one. No chance Golden Horn will not run even if they get the lot as already arrived.


12 horse field and the betting tells us at most this should be a 4 horse race.

None of the American turf horses have big profiles/followings so doubt the American Tote prices will be any bigger if at all on the front two.

Obviously a pretty good each way spot with 3 places, might get 1/4 odds rather than the 1/5th on Saturday but not going to make a massive amount of difference.

If we get no rain then expect the prices to be similar on Saturday, if we get a lot i expect Found to be nearer 5/2.

Suggest £40 each way Found at 7/2 minimum ( obviously better if the firms yet to re appear go that)

[Tal]

Some belting long term bets, Fred. Thank you for putting them all together, Tighty.

If anyone is on all of that, you'll be having quite the plump goose this Christmas.



Apart from tikay, who has never seen past the first ten minutes of that film. Here he is supervising spreadsheet maintenance:

Click to see full-size image.

[aaron1867]

What are the chances of Arsenal playing a very weakened team tomorrow away to Wednesday in the League Cup?

Hillsborough set to be a sell out and Arsenal are looking like likely title contenders & may need to rest players for the crucial Champions League games. Is there any chance that Arsene decides to play a weakened side or maybe even worse? I can see the League Cup being the last thing they need.

Wednesday could be a bet at 7/1, because, it's surely a likely weakened Arsenal side regardless?

[david3103]

What are the chances of Arsenal playing a very weakened team tomorrow away to Wednesday in the League Cup?

Hillsborough set to be a sell out and Arsenal are looking like likely title contenders & may need to rest players for the crucial Champions League games. Is there any chance that Arsene decides to play a weakened side or maybe even worse? I can see the League Cup being the last thing they need.

Wednesday could be a bet at 7/1, because, it's surely a likely weakened Arsenal side regardless?

Wenger has traditionally picked 'weakened' teams in the League Cup, they have a decent record in it for all that.

[horseplayer]

Hills Found well worth taking

[Chompy]

http://www.skysports.com/racing/news/12040/10044607/heavy-rain-forecast-at-keeneland-for-breeders-cup

Great stuff horsey but Hills are NRMB Rule 4 may apply.

What is that? Non Runner Money Back?

Same deal with 365. NRNB, Rule 4 may apply.

Anyone still got ante-post rules up?

[Karabiner]

What are the chances of Arsenal playing a very weakened team tomorrow away to Wednesday in the League Cup?

Hillsborough set to be a sell out and Arsenal are looking like likely title contenders & may need to rest players for the crucial Champions League games. Is there any chance that Arsene decides to play a weakened side or maybe even worse? I can see the League Cup being the last thing they need.

Wednesday could be a bet at 7/1, because, it's surely a likely weakened Arsenal side regardless?

Agreed Aaron 7/1 seems very reasonable although we do know that Cech is playing, other than him I expect a lot of our kidz to be in the starting eleven.

[RickBFA]

What are the chances of Arsenal playing a very weakened team tomorrow away to Wednesday in the League Cup?

Hillsborough set to be a sell out and Arsenal are looking like likely title contenders & may need to rest players for the crucial Champions League games. Is there any chance that Arsene decides to play a weakened side or maybe even worse? I can see the League Cup being the last thing they need.

Wednesday could be a bet at 7/1, because, it's surely a likely weakened Arsenal side regardless?

Agreed Aaron 7/1 seems very reasonable although we do know that Cech is playing, other than him I expect a lot of our kidz to be in the starting eleven.

7/1 looks tempting Aaron, I'd want to see both teams first, as we (Wednesday) have not played our strongest team in this competition either and our manager seems to like squad rotation - remember too this is our 4th game in 10 days.

[RickBFA]

What are the chances of Arsenal playing a very weakened team tomorrow away to Wednesday in the League Cup?

Hillsborough set to be a sell out and Arsenal are looking like likely title contenders & may need to rest players for the crucial Champions League games. Is there any chance that Arsene decides to play a weakened side or maybe even worse? I can see the League Cup being the last thing they need.

Wednesday could be a bet at 7/1, because, it's surely a likely weakened Arsenal side regardless?

Agreed Aaron 7/1 seems very reasonable although we do know that Cech is playing, other than him I expect a lot of our kidz to be in the starting eleven.

7/1 looks tempting Aaron, I'd want to see both teams first, as we (Wednesday) have not played our strongest team in this competition either and our manager seems to like squad rotation - remember too this is our 4th game in 10 days.

Just watched an interview with Carlos Carvalhal and he confirmed he will be starting with our very young reserve keeper, Joe Wildsmith and not Keiran Westwood who is an excellent keeper.

He also said Forestieri isn't playing either and he has been a really influential player since signing from Watford.

[nirvana]

Let me tell y'all something for free. Wednesday can't beat arsenal if we send out any 11 of our first team squad. We're talking about arsenal here..not West Bromwich or summat

[Peter-27]

Let me tell y'all something for free. Wednesday can't beat arsenal if we send out any 11 of our first team squad. We're talking about arsenal here..not West Bromwich or summat

Or Newcastle