Tips for Tikay

[hector62]

Afternoon Tighty.

This evening in superleague Widnes host Wakefield. Widnes are in terrible form, without a league win since the middle of March. Crucially tonight they are missing Kevin Brown who is their main playmaker. Wakefield have been rejuvenated since sacking their coach 6 weeks ago. They are not world beaters, their defence is poor, but they are scoring a ton of points. The Widnes pitch is plastic which produces fast open games with lots of points.

The odds tonight make Widnes favourites, which is probably just about justified had Kevin Brown been playing. Without him I make it a coin flip. I am not going to propose a straight Wakefield win, but I wouldn't dissuade anyone from doing so, as I think there is better value in going for Wakefield to win by 13+ points.

Suggest £15 Wakefield by 13+ @ 8-1 with Paddy or 7-1 with Ladbrokes or Corals

[TightEnd]

Wakefield 13+ Widnes v Wakefield Winning Margin
7/1
Total Stake: £15.00
Total Returns: £120.00

[horseplayer]

That is an obvious palp with bet bright.

There is an argument that they will close you quicker than most anyway it is not an account you can "save" in anyway it seems

[Chompy]

Bulgaria have shortened from 30 to 17 for the Eurovision since last weekend and have just usurped Sweden as third-favourites.

The next step will be to head towards second-favouritism. France have started to drift.

The semi-final market is slowly catching up but hasn't got there yet. For anyone yet to get on, 6-1 with 8tate8 is more than decent.

[Doobs]

Tighty

Can we put £50 on Stoke to beat Sunderland at 7/4 (2.8 betfair is lower after commission).  It was discussed the other day and we got no objections. 

Everton were mentioned then too.  Look at the weekend after, Leicester 11/10 at home to Everton.  Can you see Man City starting odds against against at home vs one of the stragglers?

I know I am too late, but since when did Lewis Hamilton stop been the best driver in his team? 5/4 looks very big.  He had hacked excuses in all the last 3 races, albeit one was likely of his own making.   Anyway I have been doing some backing on betfair there.

[TightEnd]

i tend not to tempt fate on leicester and keep schtum but i thought last weekend was v v interesting

Leicester were 4/5 to beat Swansea, albeit minus vardy

5 points clear at the top v a team on the beach, what price would chelsea or united or man c or arsenal or tottenham have been in that same spot if you put their name in that league position against that opponent?

1/3? 2/5?

[TightEnd]

Tighty

Can we put £50 on Stoke to beat Sunderland at 7/4 (2.8 betfair is lower after commission).  It was discussed the other day and we got no objections. 

Everton were mentioned then too.  Look at the weekend after, Leicester 11/10 at home to Everton.  Can you see Man City starting odds against against at home vs one of the stragglers?

I know I am too late, but since when did Lewis Hamilton stop been the best driver in his team? 5/4 looks very big.  He had hacked excuses in all the last 3 races, albeit one was likely of his own making.   Anyway I have been doing some backing on betfair there.

so stoke v sunderland

everton v bournemouth

chelsea v spurs

watford v villa

have all been mentioned this week, backing the home team in each instance

current odds are http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league

if i do stoke now, perhaps we can get some sort of consensus on whether any of the others are value for this weekend?

[Doobs]

i tend not to tempt fate on leicester and keep schtum but i thought last weekend was v v interesting

Leicester were 4/5 to beat Swansea, albeit minus vardy

5 points clear at the top v a team on the beach, what price would chelsea or united or man c or arsenal or tottenham have been in that same spot if you put their name in that league position against that opponent?

1/3? 2/5?

Spurs were 1/4 vs West Brom.  I would like to say I laid them, but unfortunately backed West Brom instead.  

[TightEnd]

Stoke Stoke v Sunderland Winner
7/4
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £137.50


2.7 best on the exchange fwiw

[Doobs]

Tighty

Can we put £50 on Stoke to beat Sunderland at 7/4 (2.8 betfair is lower after commission).  It was discussed the other day and we got no objections. 

Everton were mentioned then too.  Look at the weekend after, Leicester 11/10 at home to Everton.  Can you see Man City starting odds against against at home vs one of the stragglers?

I know I am too late, but since when did Lewis Hamilton stop been the best driver in his team? 5/4 looks very big.  He had hacked excuses in all the last 3 races, albeit one was likely of his own making.   Anyway I have been doing some backing on betfair there.

so stoke v sunderland

everton v bournemouth

chelsea v spurs

watford v villa

have all been mentioned this week, backing the home team in each instance

current odds are http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league

if i do stoke now, perhaps we can get some sort of consensus on whether any of the others are value for this weekend?

I think Everton aren't that great, but they have drifted a touch?  Chelsea's form has drifted a bit since the new manager was announced?  Barring Hazard obv

[Chompy]

Bury v Chesterfield season bet. Bury have won this. Seven clear with two games left. Have settled it my end and stuck on the tab.

[exstream]

I know I know, premier league market odds are never wrong but

Leicester away to Sunderland 23/20
Arsenal away to West Ham 19/20

seems weird to me

That was one a few weeks ago, know how that turned out

[TightEnd]

Bury v Chesterfield season bet. Bury have won this. Seven clear with two games left. Have settled it my end and stuck on the tab.

thanks

the key weekend coming up for wigan, chesterfield, cambridge etc

want to summarise what we need tomorrow?

[Chompy]

Cambridge drawing very thin. Wombles losing v Pompey on Tuesday gave them a sniff but still need a minor miracle.

Wigan are 1-20 to win L1 now, and easy to see why. A win at Blackpool tomo, or Burton losing, would seal the deal. Griggers now 2-5 for Bootage.

We need Chesterfield to lose their last two and for Blackpool and/or Donny to do something unlikely.

[NoCardDSC]

can you really back e/w still on winning the epl this season?

Not on hills AFAICS

Looks like you can on Betbright still. 21/2 for Spurs. 1/3 odds... So 23/10 to place? Seems a bit ridiculous

odds offered on Leicester and spurs?

Yup 1/25 and 21/2

so your getting free money on the leicester e/w part

someone tell arrboy

mind you its betbright and they havent got a squesky clean rep asfaik

Surely they will just palp it?

I'm being stupid here/playing devils advocate - but, are we saying there is absolutely no chance wills or bbright will pay out on this bet if placed? even at relatively small stakes?

Of course there is a chance that BB pay out.   There is also a chance they free roll you and close your account.  In addition when I went to their website, though there appeared to be an e/w button, I couldn't see any mention of the e/w terms.

There was no chance Hills would pay out, as e/w wasn't available on their website. 

I wouldn't assume that everything on odds checker is correct and personally always check on the bookmaker's site

Perfect - thanks (Y)