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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16556564 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #118065 on: June 04, 2016, 10:06:52 AM »

Must be some value in the Copa America ,with Argentina being so short, they have the best squad on paper but their record in this is not that great
I think the best option is to back Uruguay available @ 10/1 with PP ,coral & BV they would probably not meet Argentina till the final

And along with this the 14/1 with PP Suarez top goalscorer , as they have a relatively easy group playing Venezuela and Jamaica
Brazil have gone with a very lopsided squad , leaving some good players out to instead concentrate on the Olympics , including Neymar who has basically been replaced by Kaka so I don't expect them to do very well this time round
got you off the mark with 15 ew Uruguay 10-1 1/3 1,2 betvictor last night. Lease keep us in touch with it  l can't do PP for the other bet
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« Reply #118066 on: June 04, 2016, 10:16:05 AM »

Cheers will do
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Doobs
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« Reply #118067 on: June 04, 2016, 10:19:41 AM »

Not ew 4 places betfred?

It isn't worth taking the much lower price.   If they price match later it is different, but I assume Hills aren't holding this forever.  

Edit.   Were you talking about Neil's horses?  Sure they are fine with 4 places if the price is OK.   I can't get on anything other than peanuts with Fred, so haven't checked their odds on Neil's horses.
« Last Edit: June 04, 2016, 10:21:53 AM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #118068 on: June 04, 2016, 10:21:17 AM »

Ok have done 25 each wings of desire and cloth of stars .Wings was first placed 6-1 so has free bet ffor2nd
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« Reply #118069 on: June 04, 2016, 10:42:10 AM »

Found and Simple Verse are going to be exceptionally good each ways in the coronation cup if 365 price match at 10.  Shape of the race is like a dirty e/w maiden.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #118070 on: June 04, 2016, 10:47:37 AM »

Found and Simple Verse are going to be exceptionally good each ways in the coronation cup if 365 price match at 10.  Shape of the race is like a dirty e/w maiden.

Ladbrokes and VC just gone 5/1 on Simple Verse but both 1/5
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« Reply #118071 on: June 04, 2016, 10:49:36 AM »

Found and Simple Verse are going to be exceptionally good each ways in the coronation cup if 365 price match at 10.  Shape of the race is like a dirty e/w maiden.

Ladbrokes and VC just gone 5/1 on Simple Verse but both 1/5

And WH
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« Reply #118072 on: June 04, 2016, 11:04:45 AM »

Found and Simple Verse are going to be exceptionally good each ways in the coronation cup if 365 price match at 10.  Shape of the race is like a dirty e/w maiden.

Ladbrokes and VC just gone 5/1 on Simple Verse but both 1/5

And WH

It is still a bet even with a fifth.   Bf has the place at near 1/2 and  it doesn't look far wrong.

Edit.  Husbands going to be busy today.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #118073 on: June 04, 2016, 11:10:41 AM »

Found and Simple Verse are going to be exceptionally good each ways in the coronation cup if 365 price match at 10.  Shape of the race is like a dirty e/w maiden.

Ladbrokes and VC just gone 5/1 on Simple Verse but both 1/5

And WH

It is still a bet even with a fifth.   Bf has the place at near 1/2 and  it doesn't look far wrong.

Edit.  Husbands going to be busy today.

Yes husbands were out early this morning.

365 5/1 1/4 from 10am for those that can
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« Reply #118074 on: June 04, 2016, 11:11:23 AM »

Arbers pushing the price up on Betfair
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« Reply #118075 on: June 04, 2016, 11:30:28 AM »

Arbers pushing the price up on Betfair

Much easier just sitting at home backing the over inflated betfair place prices on days like this as the arbers give it away.   Saves me having a team of wifes!!!!  So much cheaper!
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« Reply #118076 on: June 04, 2016, 11:57:59 AM »

Arbers pushing the price up on Betfair

Much easier just sitting at home backing the over inflated betfair place prices on days like this as the arbers give it away.   Saves me having a team of wifes!!!!  So much cheaper!

I think there is a couple of things going on.  There must be a lot of money on Found as it was the same price as Simple Verse earlier in the week (9/2?), and of course the arbers pushing them out.  Found was 7/2 on oddschecker when I got up, but I missed it. 
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« Reply #118077 on: June 04, 2016, 12:10:49 PM »

Coral have a special on and it is (whispers) England to reach the final of Euro2016 at 6/1.   Sure that must be a good price whatever you think of England.  I assume you can Arb that it you are a hater.  £20 max.
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« Reply #118078 on: June 04, 2016, 12:18:03 PM »

Coral have a special on and it is (whispers) England to reach the final of Euro2016 at 6/1.   Sure that must be a good price whatever you think of England.  I assume you can Arb that it you are a hater.  £20 max.

Not a hater, just a realist Wink
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« Reply #118079 on: June 04, 2016, 12:21:19 PM »

Coral have a special on and it is (whispers) England to reach the final of Euro2016 at 6/1.   Sure that must be a good price whatever you think of England.  I assume you can Arb that it you are a hater.  £20 max.

Cornetto question...

Are England always artificially short for these things? Presumably there's substantially more money betting than laying? The bookies could put them up at 8/1 to win it and hundreds of thousands of tenners would still be going on.

What price should England be to win? 16/1? 20/1? A poorly balanced team with a brittle defence, a cautious manager and key players either at the end of a long season or coming back off significant injuries.

There's obviously a price where we bet England correctly but I'm just interested in how we judge when we've found it.
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