Tips for Tikay

[TheDazzler]

Ms Bacsinszky fell at the final hurdle.
She lost 7-5, 6-2 to Kiki Bertens in the quarter-final.

Mere....mortal
Unlucky, keep 'em coming!

[MereNovice]

Ms Bacsinszky fell at the final hurdle.
She lost 7-5, 6-2 to Kiki Bertens in the quarter-final.

Mere....mortal
Unlucky, keep 'em coming!

It was an excellent tip but, unfortunately, it wasn't mine!

[Sportshead]

Bosnia play Denmark in the Kirin cup , an invitational 4 team Tournement , in Japan at 8am our time tomorrow morning

Bosnia have lost 3 games in their last 12 against Spain, Belgium and Ireland in the euro playoff ,winning 7
Denmark have only won once in the last 8 , the Danes are ranked 38th in the FIFA rankings and Bosnia are 20th

Both teams have selected strong squads although imo with Dzeko and Pjanic up front Bosnia have a lot more firepower than Denmark who will relay on spurs midfielder Eriksen

It looks like a toss up between the 2 but I would edge towards the Bosnians on form and ability
But you can back them @14/5 generally and as big as 3/1 with BV and B365

I would like to suggest a bet on this basis on Bosnia ( bound to get a bet placed for thread eventually )

And which punters don't like to start the day off with a 3/1 shot before breakfast

[TheDazzler]

Bosnia play Denmark in the Kirin cup , an invitational 4 team Tournement , in Japan at 8am our time tomorrow morning

Bosnia have lost 3 games in their last 12 against Spain, Belgium and Ireland in the euro playoff ,winning 7
Denmark have only won once in the last 8 , the Danes are ranked 38th in the FIFA rankings and Bosnia are 20th

Both teams have selected strong squads although imo with Dzeko and Pjanic up front Bosnia have a lot more firepower than Denmark who will relay on spurs midfielder Eriksen

It looks like a toss up between the 2 but I would edge towards the Bosnians on form and ability
But you can back them @14/5 generally and as big as 3/1 with BV and B365

I would like to suggest a bet on this basis on Bosnia ( bound to get a bet placed for thread eventually )

And which punters don't like to start the day off with a 3/1 shot before breakfast

Looks decent to me.

What are peoples thoughts on Everton?
There is going to be big name manager coming in, Koeman speaking to them today and Emery has already spoken with them. There is supposed to be £150m to spend and they already have a decent squad.
200/1 to win the title so I've done a small e/w there. 16/1 to be top 4, another one I think is decent. 11/2 top 6 also.

[BigAdz]

Honestly don't think anyone is riding better than Jamie this season. And that includes the big two.

He's a thinking jockey and sometimes it doesn't pay off, but he gets it wrong way less than the likes of Shane Kelly and Georgey B.

Tommy Seagull raves about him and there's plenty of stats to back up the theory that he's the nuts in straight-course handicaps. The rest go too fast too often and Jamie usually gets his fractions spot on.

Easy target for betting shop and pub punters.

I think Spencer is riding better than he has done for a while, granted, but I still find I am groaning more often than not at some of his rides.
 
To suggest he gets it right more often than Baker or Kelly also doesn't factor in he gets a lot better book of rides(ie triers) than either of them. Baker is even at the same percentage of rides to winners this season.

I think, to see a rider getting up on the line like Spencer et al, gives a far more instantaneous rush, but as I have wised up, I derive just as much pleasure from watching a Frankie or a Joe Fanning get the sections right and grind out a win from the front.

Frank will always leave himself wide open to criticism when he insists on ensuring he is nearly always plum last after a furlong, and when you get beat under half a length so often, you have to think he could be doing better. Never thought of mid pack Jaimie?!

[Karabiner]

Grudges should only be bared with the lights switched off.

[tikay]

Evening Tighty.

I have in the past supported Wakefield in superleague, but always when thy have been underdogs. Tonight they are a fairly big favourite to beat Hull KR and I think Hull KR are worth backing at 6/4. Wakefield have had a great run since sacking their manager, and their new manager was himself sacked by Hull KR earlier in the season. Wakefield have a number of players missing, most importantly is their captain Danny Kirmond. Hull KR seem to have targeted this match as they rested their Australian playmaker from last weeks trip to Catalans, with the hope that this is a winnable game.

Suggest £20 Hull KR @ 6/4 with betfred.

With 5 minutes remaining, Hull KR lead Wakefield 48-16, so another great spot Hector.

Fred missed it as Tighty was busy elsewhere, but I'm sure plenty others got on.

Great stuff.

Edit - make that 52-16, with 4 minutes left.

[RickBFA]

Evening Tighty.

I have in the past supported Wakefield in superleague, but always when thy have been underdogs. Tonight they are a fairly big favourite to beat Hull KR and I think Hull KR are worth backing at 6/4. Wakefield have had a great run since sacking their manager, and their new manager was himself sacked by Hull KR earlier in the season. Wakefield have a number of players missing, most importantly is their captain Danny Kirmond. Hull KR seem to have targeted this match as they rested their Australian playmaker from last weeks trip to Catalans, with the hope that this is a winnable game.

Suggest £20 Hull KR @ 6/4 with betfred.

With 5 minutes remaining, Hull KR lead Wakefield 48-16, so another great spot Hector.

Fred missed it as Tighty was busy elsewhere, but I'm sure plenty others got on.

Great stuff.

Edit - make that 52-16, with 4 minutes left.

Hector's ROI must be off the scale.

Thanks again, brilliant stuff.

[booder]

Hector's ROI must be off the scale.

Thanks again, brilliant stuff.

[bergeroo]

Ah, never underestimate the underdog in women's tennis!

Ms Bacsinszky fell at the final hurdle.
She lost 7-5, 6-2 to Kiki Bertens in the quarter-final.

[hector62]

Morning Tighty.

In recent weeks we have backed Andy Murray to beat Nadal and Djokovic when he was the under dog. Today he is favourite to beat Wawrinka and I think that is wrong. Wawrinka has won all 3 times they have met on clay, although none have been recent and Murray has changed his game a lot. But Wawrinka is the defending champion, completely outplayed Djokovic here last year, and he has looked the best player, to me anyway, this year. As long as he is mentally OK, never a certainty for Wawrinka, then I expect a 4 or 5 set win.

Suggest £20 Wawrinka @ 6/5 with Betvictor or Paddy Power

[Chompy]

Quarter the odds in the Oaks is so golden today, with a less-than-bombproof favourite and a tree in the nine runners.

If it was soft they'd all come up the near side, if it was good they'd all stay up the inside.

I guess they'll start today by coming near side but, as it dries, they could wind up strewn right across the track. That would make for one ugly Derby, with 16 runners spread across the track like a Redcar sprint.

[Doobs]

Quarter the odds in the Oaks is so golden today, with a less-than-bombproof favourite and a tree in the nine runners.

If it was soft they'd all come up the near side, if it was good they'd all stay up the inside.

I guess they'll start today by coming near side but, as it dries, they could wind up strewn right across the track. That would make for one ugly Derby, with 16 runners spread across the track like a Redcar sprint.

Somehow at 8/1 and Architecture at 14/1 look best to me.  I have backed both those at quarter first 3, but thread can only get on architecture.  What you say Chompy?  I think the favourite must be vulnerable on softish ground too.   

Suggest 30 e/w on both if we can get quarter first 3 and those prices, but suspect a fifth is fine too. 

[TightEnd]

i backed Architecture for tikay a few days ago each way when i saw the shape of the race and posted on here that it must look like a great each way heat. looked the ideal candidate (ok Neil C told me to back it!)

[Chompy]

I like Skiffle but this is just numbers. Minding had a hard race in the Irish Guineas too.

If she was coming here straight from Newmarket and the ground was better I wouldn't bother but she's there to be opposed.