Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

Can't imagine his employers would be too happy with him using a VPN.

Surely a sportsbook will have it on?

[tikay]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

"This programme is unavailable in your territory".

The Media Centre is completely deserted - just me working, not another soul - but they are showing Poland v Northern Ireland.

[Dekka]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

Can't imagine his employers would be too happy with him using a VPN.

A fair point well made.  

I think NBC Sports have the US broadcasting rights

[tikay]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

Can't imagine his employers would be too happy with him using a VPN.

Surely a sportsbook will have it on?

Ahh yes, of course, that's the answer.

Now I need to choose between getting today's Blog written, or ambling up the corridor to the SportsBook.

[Marky147]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

Can't imagine his employers would be too happy with him using a VPN.

Surely a sportsbook will have it on?

Ahh yes, of course, that's the answer.

Now I need to choose between getting today's Blog written, or ambling up the corridor to the SportsBook.

Surely you can do both, with the iPad in tow?

[Tal]

What time (UK) does the F1 Canadian GP start, please?

Am trying to locate a US Channel that is covering it, but no luck so far.

7pm UK time, can't you watch it via SkyGo on a laptop?

Can't imagine his employers would be too happy with him using a VPN.

Surely a sportsbook will have it on?

Ahh yes, of course, that's the answer.

Now I need to choose between getting today's Blog written, or ambling up the corridor to the SportsBook.

I've always had trouble getting racing on when out there. Britihs racing anyway. Granted, getting the evening meeting at Wolverhampton is an ask, but even Royal Ascot is a no-channer.

I did however watch the first Lions test v Australia one morning in Venetian. Fatboy Slim had just finished at Tao and I headed straight over to watch the test, which was memorable for Kurtley Beale missing two kicks to win it at the death.

Click to see full-size image.

Look at Paul O'Connell's face when he slips. You can see how he shares Beale's pain and recognises what a terrible moment it is for the lad. Ish.

[tikay]

^^^

Don't recall being able to watch Royal Ascot from here for at least 6 or 7 years.

Life is so unfair.......

[tikay]

Bloody hell, my boss is reading this thread, cover for me lads.

I've been working hard, right?

[Peter-27]

Okay, Canadian GP Race Bets:

Much to my surprise, there's not really much value around today

Podium Finish - Nico Hulkenberg @ 33/1 with various. Going back to our discussion from earlier, I am aware that Nico is 300/1 for the win. However, the EW portion of that bet is two places, not three, which is actually always the case and why I tend not to consider the race winner EW strategy. Forgot this when typing my previous message. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/podium-finish

Winning Margin - 11-15.999 Seconds @ 7/1 with beewin. If we do indeed get a wet race, I can see Lewis pulling away at the front causing quite a large gap to second. It is possible that a late safety car could ruin this bet, but 7/1 is worth it in my eyes. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/winning-margin

Group C (PER/BUT/SAI/KVY) - Carlos Sainz @ 4/1 with 366. Sergio Perez should win this group. However, with track temperatures looking like they will be sub 10 degrees, that does play into the hands of Toro Rosso more than Force India. 4/1 is too high. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/group-c

Leader After First Lap - Sebastian Vettel @ 9/1 with 366. The simulations suggest that there are multiple scenarios where Vettel leads at turn three, price is too high. Suggest £10.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/leader-after-1st-lap

Nothing standing out on the spreads.

You missed the value on the each way because you didn't look.  It wasn't because they always only bet 2 places.   Hills were laying a fifth first 3 up until today, as I pointed out 2 weeks ago and yesterday.   2 weeks ago, bet365 did this too.  

Where you were correct is that 250/1 wasn't available earlier in the week on Perez and Hulkenberg.   The original price was 150/1 with Hills.  But that still means I got 30/1 the place rather than 14/1.  As pointed out last night, if I had waited until last night, I would have got 50/1.  But in the real world, that wakting strategy had risks, as Hills could always have moved to 2 places yesterday, or the Force Indias could have qualified much better resulting in lower prices etc.  

Cheers

Interesting .. I can't ever remember seeing three places EW, but maybe that's because I never look early enough! Will bear that it mind, thanks

In a moment of potential madness and possibly fueled a little by a lunchtime beer and some nostalgia I've just backed Jolyon Palmer to finish in the points in the Canadian Grand Prix @ 12/1 (generally available)

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/canadian-grand-prix/points-finish

Despite the difficult start he's had to his F1 career I'm not having it that he's double the odds of his team mate in this spot or that he's considerably less likely to score points than one of the Manor drivers - some firms have priced up Pascal Wehrlein at 8/1!.  

In junior formula Jolyon's been generally pretty quick and reliable in the wet which is forecast for tonight's race.

Comparisons with his team-mate Magnussen have been a little unfair so far imho.  Magnussen's respected as a seriously quick pedaller by his peers, you don't get a drive with Mclaren unless you know the time of day.  "KMag" obviously has much more F1 experience than JP and, crucially, has benefited from circuit knowledge at those tracks that Jolyon has never raced on, including here in Canada sadly!  Magnussen also had the benefit of the upgraded Renault engine for one of the races as I recall.  I see Jolyon closing the gap on him rapidly as the circus moves into the European season.  It's worth remembering that Jolyon was also severely compromised in the first few races this season before his car had the new floor fitted, these tiny margins are what can make or break careers in F1.

JP was a little unlucky not to make Q2 yesterday having found a decent set-up for the car that suits his driving style, I'm hoping that's given him the confidence to finally show us what he's capable of.  I've not forgotten that in his GP2 Championship winning year he dominated the season like no other driver has ever done before - the kid's a much better racer than he's been given credit for so far.

I'm certainly not suggesting the thread follows me in on this but rather than lurking I thought I'd post my thoughts on here.

For the bet to come off we'll almost certainly need some rain, a safety car or two to keep the field bunched, a couple of drivers to visit the wall of champions and a smattering of the traditional Canadian GP brake problems/failures.  We'll also need JP to avoid visiting the scenery himself as he did so pathetically at Monaco.

Is he "likely" to score points?  No, but I'm happy to have a punt at the odds for a fun, potentially race-long sweat at the odds.  

The only thing I am totally sure of is that at 12/1 he's over-priced in this market. At this circuit, with a bit of inclement weather I'd have him scraping into the points at one in seven or eight runnings of the race.

I'm on!

12/1 is about right on Jolyon in my opinion. His best chance of points is mixed conditions and good strategy. In the wet, he has been quick in junior categories. However, it takes Jolyon several seasons to get used to a car, he's no-where near with F1 yet, and will struggle in the wet. Jolyon is an interesting case actually, if he can keep hold of a drive in F1 until 2018, he could well become a Champion in the future - but until that point, he'll be constantly under pressure.

I will just add the latest weather forecasts for Montreal aren't great for the bets.  It is raining about now, but there isn't that much chance of rain at the start.  Maybe the best we can hope for is just enough of a shower to make it tricky at various points (preferably as the leaders approach the wall of champions).

The current forecasts suggests a 90% chance of precipitation during the race. It's looking like a case of when, not if now. Also, when I say precipitation here, I don't necessarily mean rain either - there is snow in the area, but unless the wind speed changes drastically, that is unlikely to hit the circuit.

The bets I've put up are good in either the wet or dry to be fair. I'm not convinced the rain will make a massive difference to the end result here because there are three clear groups pace wise.

I will just add the latest weather forecasts for Montreal aren't great for the bets.  It is raining about now, but there isn't that much chance of rain at the start.  Maybe the best we can hope for is just enough of a shower to make it tricky at various points (preferably as the leaders approach the wall of champions).

Marvellous!  

I always look forward to the Canadian GP more than any race other than Monaco.  It often throws up really exciting races and it won't take much bad weather to have a bearing on the outcome.  Have faith.  GL.

Yep, this circuit is fantastic, one of the classics  

FTAO Peter


Can't tell if that's sarcasm because I should be better at stake sizing by now - or a genuine comment. I'm going to assume the latter, so thank you very much

That was in reply to sonour.

sonour does not really do sarcasm, Peter, & certainly does not "lolzz" the regulars here, so I think you can safely assume she was being genuinely complimentary.

Keep the stuff coming, the debate on bets for this race in the last few days have benefitted many of us.

Thanks for that, Tikay.

As Dekka said, NBC Sports are showing the race live. One of my friends is a commentator for them, and he confirmed by text Race begins at 7PM UK time.

[Tal]

Anyone watching the F1 coverage?

Interviewing Patriots Quarterback, Tom Brady. After a brief chat about his experience of motor racing, the humdinger:

"What about you? What are you up to at the moment?"

Brilliant. I believe I've just fallen in love with Rachel Brooks. Given she does sometimes work on Sky Sports News, surely it's 1000/1 she didn't realise what she was asking?

Brady just looked at her with a perfect Not Sure if Serious meme face.

Well played, Miss Brooks. Well played.

[booder]

You pokering tonight Pops ?

[tikay]

You pokering tonight Pops ?

Will reply on my Diary Boo, to avoid getting Fred too far off topic.

[Dekka]

Bloody hell, my boss is reading this thread, cover for me lads.

I've been working hard, right?

Yes ... as you seemed to be very strongly indicating earlier ... it's much wiser and more conscientious to focus on getting that blog finished than watching the Grand Prix.  Good decision Tikay, I'm sure your employers will be rightly proud of you.

[DMorgan]

oioiiiiiiiii

Vettel leads after lap 1

[AndrewT]

Great pick on Vettel first lap leader Peter - easy as you like.