poker news
blondepedia
card room
tournament schedule
uk results
galleries
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
October 31, 2024, 11:35:26 PM
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Search:
Advanced search
Order through Amazon and help blonde Poker
2274241
Posts in
66768
Topics by
16955
Members
Latest Member:
Airdraken
blonde poker forum
Community Forums
Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 21 Guests are viewing this topic.
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
...
8116
8117
8118
8119
[
8120
]
8121
8122
8123
8124
...
9208
Author
Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 14315192 times)
pleno1
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 19107
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121785 on:
September 22, 2016, 08:41:42 AM »
Click to see full-size image.
kenny hallert, big bet.
Logged
Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
BigAdz
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8152
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121786 on:
September 22, 2016, 08:48:57 AM »
Quote from: pleno1 on September 22, 2016, 08:41:42 AM
Click to see full-size image.
kenny hallert, big bet.
Will follow you in, but any particular reason?
Has he been cleaning up since qualifying, getting coaching from the right people, bought up all the lucky beads from Downtown?
Cheers.
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
pleno1
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 19107
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121787 on:
September 22, 2016, 09:12:29 AM »
he won the party 4000+ runner 109$ gran priz for $60k last week.
«
Last Edit: September 22, 2016, 09:18:56 AM by pleno1
»
Logged
Quote from: TightEnd on December 16, 2013, 12:59:59 AM
Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
craigbetts
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1240
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121788 on:
September 22, 2016, 09:46:22 AM »
Okay let's have a go at a bet suggestion. This would be my second bet for thread so I know it's at the discretion of the elders and open to opinion.
Leeds v Leigh in the last round of the qualifiers is tonight. Essentially it is a dead rubber as both teams have super league status next year. So I was surprised by the match betting. Leeds generally 2/7, Leigh 100/30 in a place or two, with 11/4 widely available. Who would like to win this match more? IMO Leigh would be motivated to maintain a 100% play off record, plus Leeds have a number of injuries, Burrow, McGuire are the heartbeat and two big men in Aitchurch and Ablett are both out. Leigh have players back and should win the front row metres in the middle of the park.
One additional factor is a number of Leeds players have attended a memorial service this morning. Not always the best prep and one which takes a lot out of the club. I know McDermott will tell his players to win in honour of Harry but history shows emotion can often get the better of teams, certainly ones with a few youngsters in. They may not have that affinity anyway. All in, I think the 100/30 is a cracking price on Leigh. I see it much closer and would expect Fred's rugby league expert to have an opinion to. Suggest £15 win at anything bigger than 11/4.
Logged
"We're not here to take part, we're here to take over"
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16653
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121789 on:
September 22, 2016, 09:59:18 AM »
But he has $1.3m in total earnings already.
Gordon Vayo won $600,000 the other week and has more chips. So those two prices don't look out of line with each other
Josephy can obviously play, though looks very short. Benger is no mug.
What should the price be on ICM? I suspect Benger is the best, but he looks likely to be put in an ICM coffin a bit with that stack.
Overall these 4 are a huge chunk of a 100% book. So unless prices are obviously way out of line I am not sure it is worth spending much time on it. Even if we say Josephy is too short, he'd have to be massively wrong to make the rest value and he isn't ever above 7/2 if the Vayo/Hallaert prices are right. And if you sub 7/2 in that table the bookie still has a big overround.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
hector62
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 2359
Homo doctus is se semper divitias habet
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121790 on:
September 22, 2016, 10:08:35 AM »
Quote from: craigbetts on September 22, 2016, 09:46:22 AM
Okay let's have a go at a bet suggestion. This would be my second bet for thread so I know it's at the discretion of the elders and open to opinion.
Leeds v Leigh in the last round of the qualifiers is tonight. Essentially it is a dead rubber as both teams have super league status next year. So I was surprised by the match betting. Leeds generally 2/7, Leigh 100/30 in a place or two, with 11/4 widely available. Who would like to win this match more? IMO Leigh would be motivated to maintain a 100% play off record, plus Leeds have a number of injuries, Burrow, McGuire are the heartbeat and two big men in Aitchurch and Ablett are both out. Leigh have players back and should win the front row metres in the middle of the park.
One additional factor is a number of Leeds players have attended a memorial service this morning. Not always the best prep and one which takes a lot out of the club. I know McDermott will tell his players to win in honour of Harry but history shows emotion can often get the better of teams, certainly ones with a few youngsters in. They may not have that affinity anyway. All in, I think the 100/30 is a cracking price on Leigh. I see it much closer and would expect Fred's rugby league expert to have an opinion to. Suggest £15 win at anything bigger than 11/4.
I like this bet too. Couldn't touch Leeds at that price, and if Leigh are up for it then I think they will win. Their offence is very potent, but I do have reservations about their fitness levels. On one of the Leeds forums I read they have a bit of a coup going with several of them backing Leigh to win by 13+ points at 11-1. I think I prefer the straight win in a game with lots of points.
Logged
Puristville, Arizona. Population (1)
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121791 on:
September 22, 2016, 11:33:35 AM »
Quote from: craigbetts on September 22, 2016, 09:46:22 AM
Okay let's have a go at a bet suggestion. This would be my second bet for thread so I know it's at the discretion of the elders and open to opinion.
Leeds v Leigh in the last round of the qualifiers is tonight. Essentially it is a dead rubber as both teams have super league status next year. So I was surprised by the match betting. Leeds generally 2/7, Leigh 100/30 in a place or two, with 11/4 widely available. Who would like to win this match more? IMO Leigh would be motivated to maintain a 100% play off record, plus Leeds have a number of injuries, Burrow, McGuire are the heartbeat and two big men in Aitchurch and Ablett are both out. Leigh have players back and should win the front row metres in the middle of the park.
One additional factor is a number of Leeds players have attended a memorial service this morning. Not always the best prep and one which takes a lot out of the club. I know McDermott will tell his players to win in honour of Harry but history shows emotion can often get the better of teams, certainly ones with a few youngsters in. They may not have that affinity anyway. All in, I think the 100/30 is a cracking price on Leigh. I see it much closer and would expect Fred's rugby league expert to have an opinion to. Suggest £15 win at anything bigger than 11/4.
Leigh Leeds v Leigh Winner
11/4
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £75.00
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22814
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121792 on:
September 22, 2016, 02:00:27 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on September 22, 2016, 09:59:18 AM
But he has $1.3m in total earnings already.
Gordon Vayo won $600,000 the other week and has more chips. So those two prices don't look out of line with each other
Josephy can obviously play, though looks very short. Benger is no mug.
What should the price be on ICM? I suspect Benger is the best, but he looks likely to be put in an ICM coffin a bit with that stack.
Overall these 4 are a huge chunk of a 100% book. So unless prices are obviously way out of line I am not sure it is worth spending much time on it. Even if we say Josephy is too short, he'd have to be massively wrong to make the rest value and he isn't ever above 7/2 if the Vayo/Hallaert prices are right. And if you sub 7/2 in that table the bookie still has a big overround.
Fred has £50 on Benger @ 10/1
Logged
Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
Ironside
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 41860
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121793 on:
September 22, 2016, 05:34:49 PM »
did red get on the dons against servco at the weekend if not i would recommend hanging fire on the bet
aberdeen play in the cup tonight rangers played 2 days ago if the dons put out a full team tonight as is expected the team could be a bit jaded before sunday
good news is though as i have now come out infavour of not betting the bet will come in LMAO
Logged
lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121794 on:
September 22, 2016, 07:37:48 PM »
Quote from: Ironside on September 22, 2016, 05:34:49 PM
did red get on the dons against servco at the weekend if not i would recommend hanging fire on the bet
aberdeen play in the cup tonight rangers played 2 days ago if the dons put out a full team tonight as is expected the team could be a bit jaded before sunday
good news is though as i have now come out infavour of not betting the bet will come in LMAO
i hadn't yet. missed the recommended price and asked the question what the lowest price to take was....(15/8 at the time)
Logged
My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Ironside
Administrator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 41860
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121795 on:
September 22, 2016, 08:41:23 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on September 22, 2016, 07:37:48 PM
Quote from: Ironside on September 22, 2016, 05:34:49 PM
did red get on the dons against servco at the weekend if not i would recommend hanging fire on the bet
aberdeen play in the cup tonight rangers played 2 days ago if the dons put out a full team tonight as is expected the team could be a bit jaded before sunday
good news is though as i have now come out infavour of not betting the bet will come in LMAO
i hadn't yet. missed the recommended price and asked the question what the lowest price to take was....(15/8 at the time)
our most creative player out with a hamstring problem in warm up tonight we have our first team out there i am not sure the price of an aberdeen win but i am going to be watching the game on sunday with my eyes closed and praying
Logged
lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121796 on:
September 22, 2016, 09:10:54 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on September 22, 2016, 08:09:33 AM
Think you have put under where you meant over Peter
Anyway all about opinions
Hahaha .. no.
Logged
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
https://twitter.com/DownforceBets
craigbetts
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1240
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121797 on:
September 22, 2016, 10:52:22 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on September 22, 2016, 11:33:35 AM
Quote from: craigbetts on September 22, 2016, 09:46:22 AM
Okay let's have a go at a bet suggestion. This would be my second bet for thread so I know it's at the discretion of the elders and open to opinion.
Leeds v Leigh in the last round of the qualifiers is tonight. Essentially it is a dead rubber as both teams have super league status next year. So I was surprised by the match betting. Leeds generally 2/7, Leigh 100/30 in a place or two, with 11/4 widely available. Who would like to win this match more? IMO Leigh would be motivated to maintain a 100% play off record, plus Leeds have a number of injuries, Burrow, McGuire are the heartbeat and two big men in Aitchurch and Ablett are both out. Leigh have players back and should win the front row metres in the middle of the park.
One additional factor is a number of Leeds players have attended a memorial service this morning. Not always the best prep and one which takes a lot out of the club. I know McDermott will tell his players to win in honour of Harry but history shows emotion can often get the better of teams, certainly ones with a few youngsters in. They may not have that affinity anyway. All in, I think the 100/30 is a cracking price on Leigh. I see it much closer and would expect Fred's rugby league expert to have an opinion to. Suggest £15 win at anything bigger than 11/4.
Leigh Leeds v Leigh Winner
11/4
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £75.00
Leeds too good and very much up for it, albeit a weakened team. Leigh were on the plane and not helped by gifting too many penalties. Apologies all.
Logged
"We're not here to take part, we're here to take over"
PokerBroker
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1189
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121798 on:
September 22, 2016, 11:14:04 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on September 22, 2016, 07:37:48 PM
Quote from: Ironside on September 22, 2016, 05:34:49 PM
did red get on the dons against servco at the weekend if not i would recommend hanging fire on the bet
aberdeen play in the cup tonight rangers played 2 days ago if the dons put out a full team tonight as is expected the team could be a bit jaded before sunday
good news is though as i have now come out infavour of not betting the bet will come in LMAO
i hadn't yet. missed the recommended price and asked the question what the lowest price to take was....(15/8 at the time)
Missed this as been mega busy with work all week. I'd day 15/8 as marginal. Probably still a bet but for smaller stakes. Part of the appeal was the price was just so good ast weekend.
Logged
Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24354
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #121799 on:
September 22, 2016, 11:17:28 PM »
Any inside info on whether Mrs VCM is getting the Bake Off gig?
«
Last Edit: September 22, 2016, 11:20:36 PM by Tal
»
Logged
"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Pages:
1
...
8116
8117
8118
8119
[
8120
]
8121
8122
8123
8124
...
9208
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Poker Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Rail
===> past blonde Bashes
===> Best of blonde
=> Diaries and Blogs
=> Live Tournament Updates
=> Live poker
===> Live Tournament Staking
=> Internet Poker
===> Online Tournament Staking
=> Poker Hand Analysis
===> Learning Centre
-----------------------------
Community Forums
-----------------------------
=> The Lounge
=> Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Loading...