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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16553457 times)
Cavey007
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« Reply #122205 on: October 07, 2016, 09:50:42 AM »

I had a little on Johnson top td scorer at 11/1 that took a good step forward last night. He's one of my favourite in the league to watch at the moment
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« Reply #122206 on: October 07, 2016, 10:43:01 AM »

Since 2003, the Dolphins have gone just 18-47 ATS (27.7%) as home favorites.

haven't been a great team for many years, and again are quite disappointing this. 

anyway they are meant to be at home to the Titans on Sunday, but the small matter of Hurricane Matthew is on the agenda

 Click to see full-size image.


firstly, its not easy to instal a game plan and prepare for a match when players are thinking about evacuation/families

last night the NFL said

"In light of Hurricane Matthew, Roger Goodell met this afternoon with league officials to conduct contingency planning for Sunday’s Tennessee at Miami game as well as Monday’s Tampa Bay at Carolina game, according to NFL senior VP of communication Natalie Ravitz. No decisions are expected until tomorrow, at the earliest, per Ravitz. The league is staying in close contact with local and state authorities about the hurricane. The league does not want to do anything that will divert important resources away from communities that may be in distress."

so its likely the game will be moved, which affects both teams but the line on the home team has to worsen on a neutral field. all the away team has to do is land at a different airport, after all

The Titans have their own problems, mainly in their passing game, but these are two struggling teams. One though is -4 and going through a logistical upheaval

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/tennessee-titans-at-miami-dolphins/point-spread
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« Reply #122207 on: October 07, 2016, 10:52:27 AM »

Okay, first of all, Formula E bets:

Ladsbrooks appear to be the only bookie offering markets - but either way, I'm satisfied with their pricing. Two bets to suggest this weekend:

Championship Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 4/1. Suggest max bet. There's good reason for me suggesting a max. bet. 4/1 is way bigger than where it should be. Sebastian Buemi is 6/4, and while he is the reigning champion, the Renault e.Dams and Techeetah cars are identical this season; same aero for all teams, and as per contractual agreement, Renault are obliged to supply both teams with the same powertrain (Z.E 16). Given Sebastien's propensity to make mistakes, I would make Jean-Eric the favourite. I don't believe their team mates; Nico Prost (Renault) and Ma Qing Hua (Techeetah) will have the pace over a season to challenge Sebastian and Jean-Eric.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/

Hong Kong ePrix Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne, same reason as above, price is 9/2. Suggest £100 for this one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/

F1 stuff later.
« Last Edit: October 07, 2016, 10:56:01 AM by Peter-27 » Logged

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« Reply #122208 on: October 07, 2016, 11:21:49 AM »

Suggest £10 each way Alonso at the japanese gp with hills at 200/1.  McLaren have put an upgrade on Alonso's car making it quicker.  I think 7th on the grid or thereabouts is possible.  Again there is a bit of rain about so we could get lucky.  As shown at the start of last week's gp there can always be an incident at the start too.  And we have one of the very best drivers in the race if his car is on a par with the force indias and not far off the ferrari and red bull.

Anyway 40/1 top 3 is clearly too big.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #122209 on: October 07, 2016, 11:23:01 AM »

Okay, first of all, Formula E bets:

Ladsbrooks appear to be the only bookie offering markets - but either way, I'm satisfied with their pricing. Two bets to suggest this weekend:

Championship Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 4/1. Suggest max bet. There's good reason for me suggesting a max. bet. 4/1 is way bigger than where it should be. Sebastian Buemi is 6/4, and while he is the reigning champion, the Renault e.Dams and Techeetah cars are identical this season; same aero for all teams, and as per contractual agreement, Renault are obliged to supply both teams with the same powertrain (Z.E 16). Given Sebastien's propensity to make mistakes, I would make Jean-Eric the favourite. I don't believe their team mates; Nico Prost (Renault) and Ma Qing Hua (Techeetah) will have the pace over a season to challenge Sebastian and Jean-Eric.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/

Hong Kong ePrix Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne, same reason as above, price is 9/2. Suggest £100 for this one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/

F1 stuff later.

As per yesterday's list we are closed at Ladbrokes, so unable to do these

Obviously if someone wants to help, great, but wouldn't expect anything like £100+ to be placed for the thread.

Likely to be thin markets anyway
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« Reply #122210 on: October 07, 2016, 11:44:45 AM »

Okay, first of all, Formula E bets:

Ladsbrooks appear to be the only bookie offering markets - but either way, I'm satisfied with their pricing. Two bets to suggest this weekend:

Championship Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 4/1. Suggest max bet. There's good reason for me suggesting a max. bet. 4/1 is way bigger than where it should be. Sebastian Buemi is 6/4, and while he is the reigning champion, the Renault e.Dams and Techeetah cars are identical this season; same aero for all teams, and as per contractual agreement, Renault are obliged to supply both teams with the same powertrain (Z.E 16). Given Sebastien's propensity to make mistakes, I would make Jean-Eric the favourite. I don't believe their team mates; Nico Prost (Renault) and Ma Qing Hua (Techeetah) will have the pace over a season to challenge Sebastian and Jean-Eric.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/

Hong Kong ePrix Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne, same reason as above, price is 9/2. Suggest £100 for this one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/

F1 stuff later.

As per yesterday's list we are closed at Ladbrokes, so unable to do these

Obviously if someone wants to help, great, but wouldn't expect anything like £100+ to be placed for the thread.

Likely to be thin markets anyway

Do you want £50 on each ?
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« Reply #122211 on: October 07, 2016, 11:49:23 AM »

Suggest £10 each way Alonso at the japanese gp with hills at 200/1.  McLaren have put an upgrade on Alonso's car making it quicker.  I think 7th on the grid or thereabouts is possible.  Again there is a bit of rain about so we could get lucky.  As shown at the start of last week's gp there can always be an incident at the start too.  And we have one of the very best drivers in the race if his car is on a par with the force indias and not far off the ferrari and red bull.

Anyway 40/1 top 3 is clearly too big.

Those that can bet with stars can get 28/1 hulkenburg and perez top 3, without even bothering with the each way.  Think they are a bit more marginal at those prices, but have still had a bet.
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« Reply #122212 on: October 07, 2016, 11:58:00 AM »

Okay, first of all, Formula E bets:

Ladsbrooks appear to be the only bookie offering markets - but either way, I'm satisfied with their pricing. Two bets to suggest this weekend:

Championship Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 4/1. Suggest max bet. There's good reason for me suggesting a max. bet. 4/1 is way bigger than where it should be. Sebastian Buemi is 6/4, and while he is the reigning champion, the Renault e.Dams and Techeetah cars are identical this season; same aero for all teams, and as per contractual agreement, Renault are obliged to supply both teams with the same powertrain (Z.E 16). Given Sebastien's propensity to make mistakes, I would make Jean-Eric the favourite. I don't believe their team mates; Nico Prost (Renault) and Ma Qing Hua (Techeetah) will have the pace over a season to challenge Sebastian and Jean-Eric.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/

Hong Kong ePrix Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne, same reason as above, price is 9/2. Suggest £100 for this one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/

F1 stuff later.

As per yesterday's list we are closed at Ladbrokes, so unable to do these

Obviously if someone wants to help, great, but wouldn't expect anything like £100+ to be placed for the thread.

Likely to be thin markets anyway

Do you want £50 on each ?

yes please thank you
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« Reply #122213 on: October 07, 2016, 11:59:55 AM »

Okay, first of all, Formula E bets:

Ladsbrooks appear to be the only bookie offering markets - but either way, I'm satisfied with their pricing. Two bets to suggest this weekend:

Championship Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne @ 4/1. Suggest max bet. There's good reason for me suggesting a max. bet. 4/1 is way bigger than where it should be. Sebastian Buemi is 6/4, and while he is the reigning champion, the Renault e.Dams and Techeetah cars are identical this season; same aero for all teams, and as per contractual agreement, Renault are obliged to supply both teams with the same powertrain (Z.E 16). Given Sebastien's propensity to make mistakes, I would make Jean-Eric the favourite. I don't believe their team mates; Nico Prost (Renault) and Ma Qing Hua (Techeetah) will have the pace over a season to challenge Sebastian and Jean-Eric.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/

Hong Kong ePrix Winner: Jean Eric-Vergne, same reason as above, price is 9/2. Suggest £100 for this one.

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/

F1 stuff later.

As per yesterday's list we are closed at Ladbrokes, so unable to do these

Obviously if someone wants to help, great, but wouldn't expect anything like £100+ to be placed for the thread.

Likely to be thin markets anyway

Do you want £50 on each ?

yes please thank you

Booked.
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« Reply #122214 on: October 07, 2016, 12:00:50 PM »

Suggest £10 each way Alonso at the japanese gp with hills at 200/1.  McLaren have put an upgrade on Alonso's car making it quicker.  I think 7th on the grid or thereabouts is possible.  Again there is a bit of rain about so we could get lucky.  As shown at the start of last week's gp there can always be an incident at the start too.  And we have one of the very best drivers in the race if his car is on a par with the force indias and not far off the ferrari and red bull.

Anyway 40/1 top 3 is clearly too big.

Fernando Alonso Japanese Grand Prix Winner
200/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/5 Odds)
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £2,420.00
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« Reply #122215 on: October 07, 2016, 12:51:22 PM »

Superb stuff from stokes this morning
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« Reply #122216 on: October 07, 2016, 01:06:20 PM »

There are 3 16+ runner handicaps at York today that I need to have a look at.  Unfortunately the one at Newmarket has already lost 2 runners, so will leave that to last if I have time.

In the interim, I think we should have 25 each way on First Selection at 33/1 in the 2.40 at Newmarket.  He ran well in both the 2000 gunieas and french 2000 before floundering around on soft a couple of times.  Maybe he has deteriorated, but a mile on soft is probably too far for him too.

Only 365 (and racebets) are quarter first 3.  So you'll have to go through me.  Please confirm if you want this

The 3.10 is also intersting, as a few are offering quarter 3 places and there are a couple of rags.

There are probably 3 or 4 promising fillies I could pick out, and probably 3 are each way value, as the place value is so good..  I am going for spacial though.  She beat Sobetsu in teh last race, before the latter went on to win by 10 lengths (and is favourite here).

Suggest 25 each way Spacial 5/1 with corals.


FWIW I have an each way double on.
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« Reply #122217 on: October 07, 2016, 01:29:37 PM »

There are 3 16+ runner handicaps at York today that I need to have a look at.  Unfortunately the one at Newmarket has already lost 2 runners, so will leave that to last if I have time.

In the interim, I think we should have 25 each way on First Selection at 33/1 in the 2.40 at Newmarket.  He ran well in both the 2000 gunieas and french 2000 before floundering around on soft a couple of times.  Maybe he has deteriorated, but a mile on soft is probably too far for him too.

Only 365 (and racebets) are quarter first 3.  So you'll have to go through me.  Please confirm if you want this

The 3.10 is also intersting, as a few are offering quarter 3 places and there are a couple of rags.

There are probably 3 or 4 promising fillies I could pick out, and probably 3 are each way value, as the place value is so good..  I am going for spacial though.  She beat Sobetsu in teh last race, before the latter went on to win by 10 lengths (and is favourite here).

Suggest 25 each way Spacial 5/1 with corals.


FWIW I have an each way double on.

First selection with you

Spatial Newmarket 15:10 Winner
5/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £206.25
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« Reply #122218 on: October 07, 2016, 03:03:43 PM »

Graham Westley is back....
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« Reply #122219 on: October 07, 2016, 03:27:59 PM »

Graham Westley is back....

Got the Newport gig? Feels like a good fit. A squad of upgraded non-leaguers hoofing it for 90mins.
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