Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

possible draw bias at newmarket with the two horses sticking to the stands rail in the first race being well clear.  I like Flying North in the next @ 12-1  EW,  drawn high and made all over a mile last time.    

Island Vision as well?  Let's go

Too easy.   

[Tal]

Click to see full-size image.

[exstream]

Keep antagonising doobs
Wp

[Doobs]

Keep antagonising doobs
Wp

It is down to doubleup really.  He picked out the main edge.  Welcome after yesterday, where everthing I mentioned ran appalingly.

[hhyftrftdr]

Braintree going off at 10/11 or 19/20 vs York pretty much across the board, only billy H has them at even money.

100% they ruin my 5fold

[Chompy]

Damn Poshies, never do what they're supposed to. Well, if you're gonna get it wrong, might as well do it spectacularly I guess.

[hhyftrftdr]

Braintree going off at 10/11 or 19/20 vs York pretty much across the board, only billy H has them at even money.

100% they ruin my 5fold

Right on cue!

[Tal]

Doobs, Teak is five places 125/1 with BMU. Is that better than 100/1 for 6 places?

[doubleup]

ceteris paribus ( edit prob not all other things, just that the horse is not a great deal more likely to be sixth than the other places)

125-1 is a good bit better

[Doobs]

ceteris paribus ( edit prob not all other things, just that the horse is not a great deal more likely to be sixth than the other places)

125-1 is a good bit better

I suspect it is significantly more likely to be 6th than 1st.  I wouldn't be surprised if it was 3x more likely.  Just a reflection that 125/1 is a long way from 33/1, which he would be if all places were equally likely. I'd probably still take the 125/1.   

[Tal]

No bet in Strictly tonight, btw. Movie Week is one of the specials they run and I've not seen any training footage this week.

Would say Lesley and Anton dressed as Judy Garland and Fred Astaire...dressed as beggars will be funnier than Judge Rinder as Fred Flinstone. Too early to be losing Lesley Joseph IMO.

[tikay]

possible draw bias at newmarket with the two horses sticking to the stands rail in the first race being well clear.  I like Flying North in the next @ 12-1  EW,  drawn high and made all over a mile last time.    

Island Vision as well?  Let's go

Crikey, nice one Doobs, wp.

[redsimon]

365 are back at 5 places.  Picked out a couple of low drawn horses at big prices in Blue Rambler (25/1) and The Minch (50/1). 

The former is probably a better bet, though the latter is a very interesting horse.  He has only run 4 times.  First race was a hot bumper at Aintree.  Sunce then he has run in two listed races and the Queen Alexandra at Ascot.  This is probably the most non standard route of any horse to get here.   He placed in the bumper at 100/1 and maybe hasn't ever really improved.  50/1 tho.

Got paid on Blue Rambler  on skuy, ty for tip (guessing it finished 6th for the rubdown?)

[Peter-27]

Looked through the markets, got no more bets to suggest for F1 or FE.

That is on the assumption you're all on:

Race Winner - Nico Rosberg - Over EVS (F1)
Race Winner - Jean-Eric Vergne - Over 2/1 (FE)
Top Six Finish - Sergio Perez - 13/10 minimum (F1)

Having said that, one spread bet to suggest:

Buying Perez against Hulkenberg at 4. Perez is the stronger driver this season, and on this circuit. Plus he starts three grid spots ahead. This should be more like 6 or 7.

[atdc21]

New 410 Cesarewitch
WH first 6places
Rest 5 places
My selection would be SEA OF HEAVEN 12/1
Trainer master of big handicaps, on potential decent mark, ground fine jockey good, extra 2 furlongs should help,oh and they have the fav too
gotta be worth a score e/w ?

10/1 now.

been out all day, watched race thought was gonna win 2/3 out but didnt pick up enough, nice run tho

leave it?

Tighty - I had £25 EW at around 11pm last night on Sea of Heaven @ 12/1 (qtr odds, 6 places) with WH. Fred can have that if you want - it obv makes not a dot of difference to me.

I think I saw the suggestion (& one other) on Road to Riches.