Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

Quite like Querry 33/1 for first quarter with baldy. First two matches vs weak opponents, then likely Tsonga, then maybe Stan. Big serve, seems to like grass, quarterfinalist last year.
https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Murray looks big at 7/4 with bald.  That makes him a 6/4 shot at the semi final stage based on his current price.  He could limp into the 1/4 finals on one leg his draw is that easy.  Fed at 4/5 for his quarter with bald.  That makes him a 5/6 shot outright at the semi final stage when he could still have to face Muz and Djok!  Think Bald have dropped some maths clangers here.  loltraders in warrington going to lolcompile as usual.  Their pin isn't very sharp today.

4/1 double Fed and Muz make the Wimbledon semis!  Seems too good to be true!

[arbboy]

https://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/2017-07-01-towcester/19:01/winner

Paddy/bfsb (for those lucky enough have gone bigger than the 8/13 i put  up earlier in the week after there has been a non runner as well which gives our selection a better draw.  Worth mopping up some of this 4/6 if you can get it.  Closer to a 2/5 shot (esp now with a clearer run to the first bend)

[FUN4FRASER]

Interesting age stats..........


Wimbledon not a young mans game , Surprisingly Federer was the eldest to win in recent times at 30 but that was 6 years ago  Arthur Ashe oldest at 31 in "modern times "

Oldest recent Wimbledon winners

Rank    Player           Year   Tournament   Age

1  Arthur Ashe      1975   Wimbledon   31y 11m 25d
2   Roger Federer   2012   Wimbledon   30y 11m 0d
3   Rod Laver           1969   Wimbledon   30y 10m 26d
4   Rod Laver           1968   Wimbledon    29y 10m 27d
5   Jimmy Connors   1982   Wimbledon   29y 10m 12d
6   Goran Ivanisevic   2001   Wimbledon   29y 9m 26d
7   Pete Sampras   2000   Wimbledon   28y 10m 27d
8   Roger Federer   2009   Wimbledon   27y 10m 27d


I know advancements in science and nutrition etc mean longer fitness levels however Trends dictate its a big ask to win Wimbledon at 36

[FUN4FRASER]

Murray limped through a practice session this morning, there is film online of it,wincing every time he extended himself

Fed is 36

Djok no form

Nadal not his surface

Warinka has 1 win over a top 20 player on grass, ever. Amazed when i read that

Which is why the likes of Raonic (wrong part of draw though) and Cilic at nice prices are getting attention

just very very open indeed,and the women's is more open still

I posted this Wednesday Rich   

Agreed , even more so in the mens

Thats whys Federer who is nearly 36 in has to be a lay at 5 - 2 with all the younger players snapping

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.125549192

Quite like these two coupled ........  Cilic @ 24s and Raonic @ 22s

[arbboy]

Quite like Querry 33/1 for first quarter with baldy. First two matches vs weak opponents, then likely Tsonga, then maybe Stan. Big serve, seems to like grass, quarterfinalist last year.
https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Murray looks big at 7/4 with bald.  That makes him a 6/4 shot at the semi final stage based on his current price.  He could limp into the 1/4 finals on one leg his draw is that easy.  Fed at 4/5 for his quarter with bald.  That makes him a 5/6 shot outright at the semi final stage when he could still have to face Muz and Djok!  Think Bald have dropped some maths clangers here.  loltraders in warrington going to lolcompile as usual.  Their pin isn't very sharp today.

4/1 double Fed and Muz make the Wimbledon semis!  Seems too good to be true!

Bald lols didn't take long to take action on their maths ricks!  Nice work lads.   Three minutes after the initial post per oddschecker history times.  Even Mrs Bandit couldn't get a husband to get the dough down in 3 minutes.  Nice to see you are still tuning into TFT in Warrington lads.  Keep guessing for your wages and sharpen the pin.

[FUN4FRASER]

Quite like Querry 33/1 for first quarter with baldy. First two matches vs weak opponents, then likely Tsonga, then maybe Stan. Big serve, seems to like grass, quarterfinalist last year.
https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Murray looks big at 7/4 with bald.  That makes him a 6/4 shot at the semi final stage based on his current price.  He could limp into the 1/4 finals on one leg his draw is that easy.  Fed at 4/5 for his quarter with bald.  That makes him a 5/6 shot outright at the semi final stage when he could still have to face Muz and Djok!  Think Bald have dropped some maths clangers here.  loltraders in warrington going to lolcompile as usual.  Their pin isn't very sharp today.

4/1 double Fed and Muz make the Wimbledon semis!  Seems too good to be true!

Bald lols didn't take long to take action on their maths ricks!  Nice work lads.   Three minutes after the initial post.  Nice to see you are still tuning into TFT in Warrington lads.  Keep guessing for your wages and sharpen the pin.

Ive Said before Arb , they read here for sure...Bald Head Quarters  is in Warrington called "The Studio"...how did you know  ?

[arbboy]

Quite like Querry 33/1 for first quarter with baldy. First two matches vs weak opponents, then likely Tsonga, then maybe Stan. Big serve, seems to like grass, quarterfinalist last year.
https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Murray looks big at 7/4 with bald.  That makes him a 6/4 shot at the semi final stage based on his current price.  He could limp into the 1/4 finals on one leg his draw is that easy.  Fed at 4/5 for his quarter with bald.  That makes him a 5/6 shot outright at the semi final stage when he could still have to face Muz and Djok!  Think Bald have dropped some maths clangers here.  loltraders in warrington going to lolcompile as usual.  Their pin isn't very sharp today.

4/1 double Fed and Muz make the Wimbledon semis!  Seems too good to be true!

Bald lols didn't take long to take action on their maths ricks!  Nice work lads.   Three minutes after the initial post.  Nice to see you are still tuning into TFT in Warrington lads.  Keep guessing for your wages and sharpen the pin.

Ive Said before Arb , they read here for sure...Bald Head Quarters  is in Warrington called "The Studio"...how did you know  ?

Many many years ago i went to their for an interview just after i left 365.  The little bald miser didn't even pay interview expenses after agreeing to prior to attending and even though he knew my salary expectations offered me less than half of what i was currently earning at the time.  Safe to say it always has been the same joke sweat shop outfit it still is now.  Most of the staff at have to wear the horrid betting shop uniform as well on the call centre/customer service.  Well they did back then.  You could smell the 'them and us' culture in the firm sent right from the top from the odious bald one. Since then he has been exposed as offering his own betting shop staff loan shark rate payday style loans from his wholly owned 'wonga' style loan company without them knowing they were borrowing from the boss.  The seniors lols that interviewed me were clueless to say the least.  Some of the stuff they said, even in 2004, was mind bendingly bad for people in such senior positions of a major firm.  Without the FOBT's i doubt betfred would be anything like what they are nowadays brand wise.

[FUN4FRASER]

Quite like Querry 33/1 for first quarter with baldy. First two matches vs weak opponents, then likely Tsonga, then maybe Stan. Big serve, seems to like grass, quarterfinalist last year.
https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon/player-to-win-1st-quarter

Murray looks big at 7/4 with bald.  That makes him a 6/4 shot at the semi final stage based on his current price.  He could limp into the 1/4 finals on one leg his draw is that easy.  Fed at 4/5 for his quarter with bald.  That makes him a 5/6 shot outright at the semi final stage when he could still have to face Muz and Djok!  Think Bald have dropped some maths clangers here.  loltraders in warrington going to lolcompile as usual.  Their pin isn't very sharp today.

4/1 double Fed and Muz make the Wimbledon semis!  Seems too good to be true!

Bald lols didn't take long to take action on their maths ricks!  Nice work lads.   Three minutes after the initial post.  Nice to see you are still tuning into TFT in Warrington lads.  Keep guessing for your wages and sharpen the pin.

Ive Said before Arb , they read here for sure...Bald Head Quarters  is in Warrington called "The Studio"...how did you know  ?

Many many years ago i went to their for an interview just after i left 365.  The little bald miser didn't even pay interview expenses after agreeing to prior to attending and even though he knew my salary expectations offered me less than half of what i was currently earning at the time.  Safe to say it always has been the same joke sweat shop outfit it still is now.  Most of the staff at have to wear the horrid betting shop uniform as well on the call centre/customer service.  Well they did back then.  You could smell the 'them and us' culture in the firm sent right from the top from the odious bald one. The seniors lols that interviewed me were clueless to say the least.  Some of the stuff they said, even in 2004, was mind bendingly bad for people in such senior positions of a major firm.  Without the FOBT's i doubt betfred would be anything like what they are nowadays brand wise.

I agree . very similar business model to Paddys

Try and place a decent bet on a visible market such as Premier League or a World Cup and they mess you about offering peanuts and the balance at whatever even if others firms are going the same price

Hard work for sure

Ive heard all about the Wonga style staff loans too , a senior guy borrowed house deposit money  at XXX rate

[SuuPRlim]

Risk management is very easy, and the principal is even easier.

I can only assume that the incredible inefficiencies the big firms demonstrate in this area is due to the sheer size of their business, they can't be completely clueless as they are all worth more than £5bn between them so it must be +£ to have someone who doesn't understand RM running it where they ban a load of great customers by mistake rather than paying a team to do it properly. I can't see how it's possibly the case but it must be.

The biggest part of RM is the market liability and when you can take £2m worth of dozy footy accas on a saturday thats not that difficult either.

I know a load of pro punters, and they are all getting on with the UK firms online. I also know of a few people for whom it is almost impossible for them to be net positive from gambling in a single year, and they've had multiple accounts banned because they got a good horse tip, backed it at 10am at 12/1, set off 11/2 and won.

Systems gone wrong lads...

[SuuPRlim]

also what's gone on in the Wimbledon betting???

Murray 4/1 and 6/1 - not looking that great this year? Got a good draw though seems like GTD 1/4??/

You think there's some value in the outsiders, there's doubts about Djokovic & Murray, Nadal's fitness, Federer looks a $1m but he's still old, Stan not a grass man?

Sorry if this already been covered.

[TightEnd]

End of June 2017

Year to Date Profit of £2337.59
ROI of 29.1% on 223 completed bets

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39
May £518.59
June £337.40

so far this year....

Top Sports NFL +£690 Cricket +£652 Football +£490
Worst sports Golf -£230 Basketball -£135 Tennis -£118

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £15,547.83
ROI of 8.07%
6345 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £6188 at 14%
Horses £2688 at 5.3%
NFL £1867 at 15%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1229 at 15%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
RU -£482
Basketball -£428
Snooker -£245
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £786.52

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

[PokerBroker]

also what's gone on in the Wimbledon betting???

Murray 4/1 and 6/1 - not looking that great this year? Got a good draw though seems like GTD 1/4??/

You think there's some value in the outsiders, there's doubts about Djokovic & Murray, Nadal's fitness, Federer looks a $1m but he's still old, Stan not a grass man?

Sorry if this already been covered.

Rafa defo back on the blood work, Muzza looks as if he's off his. 

I'd love to see Fed win it.

[arbboy]

End of June 2017

Year to Date Profit of £2337.59
ROI of 29.1% on 223 completed bets

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39
May £518.59
June £337.40

so far this year....

Top Sports NFL +£690 Cricket +£652 Football +£490
Worst sports Golf -£230 Basketball -£135 Tennis -£118

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £15,547.83
ROI of 8.07%
6345 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £6188 at 14%
Horses £2688 at 5.3%
NFL £1867 at 15%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1229 at 15%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
RU -£482
Basketball -£428
Snooker -£245
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £786.52

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Will try and find another dog bet for tonight's Derby meeting to get the all time dog figure into the black.  Tick another sport off the losers list.

[arbboy]

https://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/2017-07-01-towcester/19:01/winner

Paddy/bfsb (for those lucky enough have gone bigger than the 8/13 i put  up earlier in the week after there has been a non runner as well which gives our selection a better draw.  Worth mopping up some of this 4/6 if you can get it.  Closer to a 2/5 shot (esp now with a clearer run to the first bend)

https://www.oddschecker.com/greyhounds/towcester/19:01/winner

Another non runner in the field (both the rags have withdrawn now) and the field is down to 4 and best price 1/2.

[Micko]

I'd like to suggest one at Towcester this evening in the 8-04.

Paul Hennessy's lightly raced Jaytee Yankee runs again after being knocked out of the derby, he really impressed me in winning his heat on 10th June and has improved around the track apart from his exit race where he was badly drew and just messed the start up. I think he's worth taking another chance on at @ 5/2 with 635

Very likely gonna be a tussle for the corner with droopys gold but hopefully slips around in front and does the business.

Recommend £20 at 5/2 635.