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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13445045 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #128655 on: July 01, 2017, 02:22:33 PM »

I'd like to suggest one at Towcester this evening in the 8-04.

Paul Hennessy's lightly raced Jaytee Yankee runs again after being knocked out of the derby, he really impressed me in winning his heat on 10th June and has improved around the track apart from his exit race where he was badly drew and just messed the start up. I think he's worth taking another chance on at @ 5/2 with 635

Very likely gonna be a tussle for the corner with droopys gold but hopefully slips around in front and does the business.

Recommend £20 at 5/2 635.

100% agree.  Got an awesome draw tonight in t1 with 2 middles and 3 wides in the race.  4 will lead 3 up imo.  Don't see D Gold as a danger at all (got several 5.30 sectionals over C&D) which isn't enough to get involved early doors.
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Micko
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« Reply #128656 on: July 01, 2017, 02:31:22 PM »

I'd like to suggest one at Towcester this evening in the 8-04.

Paul Hennessy's lightly raced Jaytee Yankee runs again after being knocked out of the derby, he really impressed me in winning his heat on 10th June and has improved around the track apart from his exit race where he was badly drew and just messed the start up. I think he's worth taking another chance on at @ 5/2 with 635

Very likely gonna be a tussle for the corner with droopys gold but hopefully slips around in front and does the business.

Recommend £20 at 5/2 635.

100% agree.  Got an awesome draw tonight in t1 with 2 middles and 3 wides in the race.  4 will lead 3 up imo.  Don't see D Gold as a danger at all (got several 5.30 sectionals over C&D) which isn't enough to get involved early doors.

If Yankee can reproduce his 5-14 sectional we will hopefully be ok👍
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arbboy
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« Reply #128657 on: July 01, 2017, 02:55:31 PM »

Going to Towcester tonight and just finished doing the card.  My thoughts on each race as follows for those who want an interest on the biggest night of the greyhound year on sky sports 5 tonight.

628 - t3 got a dream draw to lead the inside.  Second fav looks badly drawn surrounded by early pace.  6/4 t3 more than fair.  
648 - Backing t2/t5 coupled at 7/2 and 4/1.  t1/3 look rock solid lays win and place to me at the early prices.
701 - Not too far Wildcat!  We already full of this at much better prices
716 - No bet
731 - Surprised the fav is odds against here.  Smash in odds against.  Lovely draw with 5 railers in the event given it will lead 1 up on the rail early.
748 - t2 looks badly drawn outside 1 here.  Bet t1 at 5/2
804 - Already discussed by Micko
821 - Tough race here with 5 railers.  t1 will lead inside but shouldn't last home against better stayers.  t3/t5 are place lays for me in this event.  Really like t2 but he is badly drawn and looks booked for more carnage in running after a tough derby campaign.
838 - No bet

856 - Derby Final.  We are already on the match bet earlier in the week.  At the prices.  t5 ew with skybet 1/5 1,2,3 place terms at 2/1 or bigger looks a stonking bet to me.  There is no way this is 2/5 to place in the top 3 for me.  Close to bf price for the win part as well.  
925 - no bet
945 - t3 9/4 to power home.  If it leads early it will be a case of how far.
1010 - Trainer should have the fav in t1 in tip top shape after a lay off/trial last week.  Holds t2 comfortably on Sheffield form over same distance.  t2 looks a decent place lay to me at the prices.  Given the draw he looks a bad 2nd fav to me.  I would make t4 the danger to the jolly.  t1 bet at 6/4.
1030 - No bet

Good luck all.  Hope tighty can bet as many of the selections as possible if he is around.  Stakes up to him as usual.
« Last Edit: July 01, 2017, 03:11:33 PM by arbboy » Logged
Micko
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« Reply #128658 on: July 01, 2017, 03:02:22 PM »

Going to Towcester tonight and just finished doing the card.  My thoughts on each race as follows for those who want an interest on the biggest night of the greyhound year on sky sports 5 tonight.

628 - t3 got a dream draw to lead the inside.  Second fav looks badly drawn surrounded by early pace.  6/4 t3 more than fair.  
648 - Backing t2/t5 coupled at 7/2 and 4/1.  t1/3 look rock solid lays win and place to me at the early prices.
701 - Not too far Wildcat!  We already full of this at much better prices
716 - No bet
731 - Surprised the fav is odds against here.  Smash in odds against.  Lovely draw with 5 railers in the event given it will lead 1 up on the rail early.
748 - t2 looks badly drawn outside 1 here.  Bet t1 at 5/2
804 - Already discussed by Micko
821 - Tough race here with 5 railers.  t1 will lead inside but shouldn't last home against better stayers.  t3/t5 are place lays for me in this event.  Really like t2 but he is badly drawn and looks booked for more carnage in running after a tough derby campaign.
838 - No bet

856 - Derby Final.  We are already on the match bet earlier in the week.  At the prices.  t5 ew with skybet 1/5 1,2,3 place terms at 2/1 or bigger looks a stonking bet to me.  There is no way this is 2/5 to place in the top 3 for me.  Close to bf price for the win part as well.  
925 - no bet
945 - t3 9/4 to power home.  If it leads early it will be a case of how far.
1010 - Trainer should have the fav in t1 in tip top shape after a lay off/trial last week.  Holds t2 comfortably on Sheffield form over same distance.  t2 looks a decent place lay to me at the prices.  Given the draw he looks a bad 2nd fav to me.  I would make t4 the danger to the jolly.  t1 bet at 6/4.
1030 - No bet

Good luck all.

Good luck Arb thumbs up
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SuuPRlim
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« Reply #128659 on: July 01, 2017, 04:19:49 PM »

Going to Towcester tonight and just finished doing the card.  My thoughts on each race as follows for those who want an interest on the biggest night of the greyhound year on sky sports 5 tonight.

628 - t3 got a dream draw to lead the inside.  Second fav looks badly drawn surrounded by early pace.  6/4 t3 more than fair.  
648 - Backing t2/t5 coupled at 7/2 and 4/1.  t1/3 look rock solid lays win and place to me at the early prices.
701 - Not too far Wildcat!  We already full of this at much better prices
716 - No bet
731 - Surprised the fav is odds against here.  Smash in odds against.  Lovely draw with 5 railers in the event given it will lead 1 up on the rail early.
748 - t2 looks badly drawn outside 1 here.  Bet t1 at 5/2
804 - Already discussed by Micko
821 - Tough race here with 5 railers.  t1 will lead inside but shouldn't last home against better stayers.  t3/t5 are place lays for me in this event.  Really like t2 but he is badly drawn and looks booked for more carnage in running after a tough derby campaign.
838 - No bet

856 - Derby Final.  We are already on the match bet earlier in the week.  At the prices.  t5 ew with skybet 1/5 1,2,3 place terms at 2/1 or bigger looks a stonking bet to me.  There is no way this is 2/5 to place in the top 3 for me.  Close to bf price for the win part as well.  
925 - no bet
945 - t3 9/4 to power home.  If it leads early it will be a case of how far.
1010 - Trainer should have the fav in t1 in tip top shape after a lay off/trial last week.  Holds t2 comfortably on Sheffield form over same distance.  t2 looks a decent place lay to me at the prices.  Given the draw he looks a bad 2nd fav to me.  I would make t4 the danger to the jolly.  t1 bet at 6/4.
1030 - No bet

Good luck all.  Hope tighty can bet as many of the selections as possible if he is around.  Stakes up to him as usual.

Jesus, gotta get on board with this Smiley
ty arbs
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nuros
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« Reply #128660 on: July 01, 2017, 05:28:33 PM »

And there was me thinking there wasn't too much to rail tonight! Ty Arb
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Omm
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« Reply #128661 on: July 01, 2017, 05:50:16 PM »

Going to Towcester tonight and just finished doing the card.  My thoughts on each race as follows for those who want an interest on the biggest night of the greyhound year on sky sports 5 tonight.

628 - t3 got a dream draw to lead the inside.  Second fav looks badly drawn surrounded by early pace.  6/4 t3 more than fair.  
648 - Backing t2/t5 coupled at 7/2 and 4/1.  t1/3 look rock solid lays win and place to me at the early prices.
701 - Not too far Wildcat!  We already full of this at much better prices
716 - No bet
731 - Surprised the fav is odds against here.  Smash in odds against.  Lovely draw with 5 railers in the event given it will lead 1 up on the rail early.
748 - t2 looks badly drawn outside 1 here.  Bet t1 at 5/2
804 - Already discussed by Micko
821 - Tough race here with 5 railers.  t1 will lead inside but shouldn't last home against better stayers.  t3/t5 are place lays for me in this event.  Really like t2 but he is badly drawn and looks booked for more carnage in running after a tough derby campaign.
838 - No bet

856 - Derby Final.  We are already on the match bet earlier in the week.  At the prices.  t5 ew with skybet 1/5 1,2,3 place terms at 2/1 or bigger looks a stonking bet to me.  There is no way this is 2/5 to place in the top 3 for me.  Close to bf price for the win part as well.  
925 - no bet
945 - t3 9/4 to power home.  If it leads early it will be a case of how far.
1010 - Trainer should have the fav in t1 in tip top shape after a lay off/trial last week.  Holds t2 comfortably on Sheffield form over same distance.  t2 looks a decent place lay to me at the prices.  Given the draw he looks a bad 2nd fav to me.  I would make t4 the danger to the jolly.  t1 bet at 6/4.
1030 - No bet

Good luck all.  Hope tighty can bet as many of the selections as possible if he is around.  Stakes up to him as usual.

Def a night for the ultimate accumulator. Thanks Arb.
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StuartHopkin
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« Reply #128662 on: July 01, 2017, 07:07:21 PM »

Oi oi
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StuartHopkin
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« Reply #128663 on: July 01, 2017, 07:11:48 PM »

Cancel that oi oi

If I placed the bet at 4/6 on PPooer what price should this have been settled at?
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sonour
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« Reply #128664 on: July 01, 2017, 07:12:51 PM »

In

Thank you very much for posting.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #128665 on: July 01, 2017, 08:12:56 PM »

Cancel that oi oi

If I placed the bet at 4/6 on PPooer what price should this have been settled at?

Depends if it was an ante-post bet(4/6) or a "day of race" market(-rule4).
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tikay
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« Reply #128666 on: July 01, 2017, 08:23:57 PM »

End of June 2017

Year to Date Profit of £2337.59
ROI of 29.1% on 223 completed bets

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00

April -£250.39
May £518.59
June £337.40

so far this year....

Top Sports NFL +£690 Cricket +£652 Football +£490
Worst sports Golf -£230 Basketball -£135 Tennis -£118

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012


Profit of £15,547.83

ROI of 8.07%
6345 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £6188 at 14%
Horses £2688 at 5.3%
NFL £1867 at 15%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1229 at 15%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
RU -£482
Basketball -£428
Snooker -£245
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £786.52

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Fabulous numbers, & a special thanks to Tighty for all his work on the thread. Not an easy job, that.

Well done all the tipsters too - we have at last broached the 8% barrier. Pretty tidy that, over a sample size of 6,345 bets. 

29% in 2017 looks pretty neat, too, but I suppose 223 bets is not really a proper sample size.

Big thanks to everyone. It really behoves us all to look after this thread. It's free money & great craic.
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StuartHopkin
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« Reply #128667 on: July 01, 2017, 08:26:50 PM »

Cancel that oi oi

If I placed the bet at 4/6 on PPooer what price should this have been settled at?

Depends if it was an ante-post bet(4/6) or a "day of race" market(-rule4).

Bet was placed yesterday at 7.30pm at 4/6
Doesn't show a rule 4 on the receipt, just looks like they changed the odds to 2/5.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #128668 on: July 01, 2017, 08:30:11 PM »

I never thought I'd ever see an 8-dog Open race let alone an 8-dog Open race on the TV card on Derby night.  
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Karabiner
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« Reply #128669 on: July 01, 2017, 08:33:34 PM »

Cancel that oi oi

If I placed the bet at 4/6 on PPooer what price should this have been settled at?

Depends if it was an ante-post bet(4/6) or a "day of race" market(-rule4).

Bet was placed yesterday at 7.30pm at 4/6
Doesn't show a rule 4 on the receipt, just looks like they changed the odds to 2/5.

You obviously bet before they had "adjusted the market" due to the latest non-runner and the bet was settled @ SP according to their T&C's.
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